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Jockey profile

Paul Hanagan

429 rides in the last 5 seasons · 291 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Sep 2023 100% of rides on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
47–429
Wins / Runs
11%
Strike rate
n=429
108 (25%)
Placed
1.18
n=426 · 1.02 incl. margin
−56.03
£1 level stake
n=429 at SP · −13.1%
£611k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10.1%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 90 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.18).

Deterministic profile computed from 429 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May Fresh horses: 11.6% Richard Fahey: 15.3% from 85
The read

It is weakest at Pontefract (3.1% over 32 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.3% (n=69, Fair A/E 0.73). Richard Fahey supplies 20% of the rides and edges the rider's average (15.3% vs 11%, A/E 1.43) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a break of 180+ days (15.9%, n=44). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 5.4% over 37 rides, 5.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.67 across 72 rides (5.6% strike, −32.67 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 98 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Ascot (Jul 2014, £603,962). The standout partner of the record: Anna Pavlova (GB) — 8 wins from 16 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
8.1%−2.9
n=236 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −84.27
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
10.5%−0.5
n=38 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −15.25
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
11.6%+0.6
n=86 · A/E 1.58 · £1 +4.62
When favourite
38.1%
n=21 · A/E 1.27 · £1 +1.44
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.3%−6.7
n=69 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −57.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
13.3%+2.3
n=15 · A/E 2.05 · £1 +40.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Pontefract 3.1% vs 11% · n=32
Over 1m – 1m1f 5.6% vs 11% · n=72
With debutants 5% vs 11% · n=40
In Class 2 5.4% vs 11% · n=37
With Richard Fahey 15.3% vs 11% · n=85
Off a break of 180+ days 15.9% vs 11% · n=44
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 144 18 12.5% −36.79
Good to Firm 102 9 8.8% +3.25
Good to Soft 74 5 6.8% −45.92
Standard (AW) 65 9 13.8% +31.73
Soft 42 5 11.9% −8.92
Heavy 2 1 50% +0.62

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle (AW) 51 7 13.7% +35.00
Ripon 38 3 7.9% −25.25
Beverley 38 6 15.8% −5.50
Thirsk 37 5 13.5% −3.29
Pontefract 32 1 3.1% −25.00
Doncaster 30 2 6.7% −12.50
Redcar 28 1 3.6% −21.50
York 28 0 0% −28.00
Nottingham 22 3 13.6% −1.25
Haydock 16 1 6.3% +10.00
Hamilton 16 4 25% +2.33
Ayr 13 3 23.1% −0.50
Carlisle 13 2 15.4% −6.17
Musselburgh 13 2 15.4% −4.75
Southwell (AW) 12 2 16.7% −1.27

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 125 15 12% −9.90
Class 4 115 13 11.3% −29.21
Class 6 89 10 11.2% −11.67
Class 3 48 5 10.4% −20.75
Class 2 37 2 5.4% −25.00
Class 1 15 2 13.3% +40.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 29 12 41.4% 1.44 +10.69
2nd–3rd fav 81 21 25.9% 1.58 +25.28
4th–6th fav 161 11 6.8% 0.86 −27.00
7th+ in betting 158 3 1.9% 0.56 −65.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Makanah (GB) 8 1 3 23 Aug 23
Billyb (FR) 8 1 3 20 May 23
Biplane (USA) 7 2 5 17 Sep 23
Northbound (IRE) 7 1 4 2 Jun 23
Fortamour (IRE) 6 0 1 19 Aug 23
Havana By The Sea (IRE) 5 1 1 28 Jul 23
Good Luck Fox (IRE) 5 1 1 29 Jun 23
Rousing Encore (IRE) 5 2 4 8 Oct 22
Majeski Man (IRE) 4 1 2 15 Jul 23
Alfa Whiteburd (IRE) 4 0 1 8 Jul 23
Quercus (IRE) 4 0 1 5 Jul 23
James Watt (IRE) 4 0 1 12 May 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 291 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
··01317671965··
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardRichard Fahey
20% of all rides
15.3% SR · A/E 1.43
TrainerRWSR£1
Richard Fahey 85 13 15.3% +22.71
Julie Camacho 37 3 8.1% −21.42
Ann Duffield 34 4 11.8% +19.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
1,810
Archived wins
98
Pattern / graded wins
£27.4m
Prize money
2010
Best season · 206 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Taghrooda (GB) — King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Qipco British Champions Series) Ascot · Jul 2014 · Group 1
£603,962
Muhaarar (GB) — Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · Oct 2015 · Group 1
£358,694
Sands Of Mali (FR) — Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · Oct 2018 · Group 1
£358,691

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Fast Company (IRE) 13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,601 runs since 2014 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 558. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.
Dandy Man (IRE) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,980 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Kodiac (GB) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,598 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Mayson (GB) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,391 runs since 2016 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 1,731. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.
Havana Grey (GB) 27.3% · 3–11
Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,599 runs since 2022 (419 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 422.
Acclamation (GB) 20% · 2–10
Progeny have won 10% of 19,711 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 13,724 · newest first

The latest 50 of 13,724 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 17 September 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
25 Aug 23 York Wootton'sun (FR)T: Richard Fahey Sky Bet Handicap (Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 12f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 12th 5/1
23 Aug 23 York Haliphon (GB)T: Ian Williams Sky Bet Stayers Handicap (Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 11th 22/1
19 Aug 23 Ripon Lord Warburton (IRE)T: Mark Campion William Hill Pick Your Places HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 33/1
19 Aug 23 Ripon Purple Gown (IRE)T: Adam Nicol William Hill Epic Value HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 66/1
19 Aug 23 Ripon Fortamour (IRE)T: Ben Haslam William Hill Silver Trophy HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 7th 7/1
18 Aug 23 Thirsk Trailblazer (GB)T: Adam Nicol Ray McLean Memorial HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good · 15 ran 13th 28/1
17 Aug 23 Beverley Dragonball Prince (IRE)T: Hugo Palmer Churchill Tyres HandicapClass 5 · 16f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 22/1
01 Aug 23 Beverley Clotherholme (IRE)T: Ann Duffield Good Luck Lionesses HandicapClass 5 · 7.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 5/1
29 Jul 23 Newcastle (AW) Mr Coco Bean (USA)T: Helen Cuthbert Livello Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 16/1
29 Jul 23 Newcastle (AW) Tiger Spirit (IRE)T: Michael Herrington Vermont Hotel HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul Hanagan's strike rate?
Paul Hanagan has won 47 of 429 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paul Hanagan do best at?
Beverley by strike rate: 6 wins from 38 rides (15.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Paul Hanagan ride most for?
Richard Fahey, with 85 rides since 2022 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (15.3%).
What is Paul Hanagan's Fair A/E?
1.18, from 426 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).