Sammy's Guarantee (GB)
Sammy's Guarantee won a Class 4 novices hurdle at Doncaster in Jan 2024 on good to soft going over 1m5f to 2m. The mare holds a career record of one win and two places from eight starts on turf, all at Class 4. She ran off a mark of 113 at Aintree in May 2024, her last run, and never won again after that first success. Her highest official rating was 114.
- 1–8Wins / Runs
- 12.5%Strike rate
- 2 (25%)Placed
- +7.00£1 level staken=8 at SP
- 1.55Fair A/E n=8 · 1.34 incl. margin
- 114Highest OR
- 27dBetween runs (median)
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 102
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 3 | 93C | 86 | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 102B | 101 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 93C | 82 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 8 runs looked at, 3 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (2) · did not complete (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 8 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.3% of 4,687 runs since Mar 2008 (466 horses).
Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 4 | 0 | 0% | −10.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 112 | 10 | 8.9% | −1.4 | — |
| Good | 1,335 | 113 | 8.5% | −1.8 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 1,075 | 98 | 9.1% | −1.2 | 1 from 3 |
| Soft | 1,408 | 168 | 11.9% | +1.6 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 627 | 83 | 13.2% | +2.9 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 126 | 11 | 8.7% | −1.6 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | −3.2 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 29 | 2 | 6.9% | −3.4 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 145 | 8 | 5.5% | −4.8 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,308 | 152 | 11.6% | +1.3 | 1 from 3 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,499 | 142 | 9.5% | −0.8 | 0 from 4 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,321 | 141 | 10.7% | +0.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Over 3m | 371 | 37 | 10% | −0.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Mar 2008 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Briefly (GB) (1 win).
The wins came over 2m3½f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Briefly (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briefly (GB) | 11 | 1 | 2m3½f | Class 4 |
| Poppieholla (GB) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | +12.00 |
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 7 | 1 | 14% | +8.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aintree | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Huntingdon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hereford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 1 | 100% | +14.00 |
| Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Taunton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ludlow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 1 | 33% | +12.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stan Sheppard | 7 | 1 | 14% | +8.00 |
| Richard Patrick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hood + tongue tie | 5 | 1 | 20% | +10.00 |
| Tongue tie | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| None | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +10.00 |
| 2023 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Sammy's Guarantee won?
- Sammy's Guarantee (GB) won 1 of 8 archived starts between 2023 and 2024, a strike rate of 12.5%. Placed 2 times in total (25% of starts).
- Who trained Sammy's Guarantee?
- Sammy's Guarantee (GB) was trained by Tom Lacey on the most recent run on record, at Aintree on 17 May 2024.
- Who is Sammy's Guarantee's sire?
- Sammy's Guarantee (GB) is by Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) out of Dont Tell Val (GB), whose sire is Midnight Legend.
- What going does Sammy's Guarantee prefer?
- Sammy's Guarantee (GB) has the best record on good to soft going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Sammy's Guarantee's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 113, from the run on 17 May 2024. The highest on record is 114.
- What is Sammy's Guarantee's sire's record?
- Black Sam Bellamy (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.3% of 4,687 runs since Mar 2008 (466 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.
- Who are Sammy's Guarantee's siblings?
- Out of Dont Tell Val (GB), Sammy's Guarantee (GB) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Briefly (GB) (1). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Briefly (GB)). The wins came over 2m3½f. As at Nov 2026.