What is Tom Lacey's strike rate?

Tom Lacey has won 165 of 959 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 17.2% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tom Lacey do best at?

Market Rasen by strike rate: 10 wins from 34 runners (29.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Tom Lacey?

Stan Sheppard, with 641 runners since 2022 — 67% of the total. That pairing has won 116 (18.1%).

Is Tom Lacey in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Tom Lacey's Fair A/E?

1.07, from 958 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Tom Lacey

959 runners in the last 5 seasons · 144 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 11.5% of 226 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 21 Oct 2026.

Last runner 4 days ago 97% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2022

165–959

Wins / Runs

17.2%

Strike rate

n=959

371 (39%)

Placed

1.07

Fair A/E

n=958 · 0.92 incl. margin

+72.96

£1 level stake

n=959 at SP · +7.6%

£2.40m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 190 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 17% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.07). New recruits from other yards win at 28% first time out (39 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 959 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–May Fresh horses: 19% 38.4% when favourite Stan Sheppard: 18.1% from 641 New recruits: 28.2% Claiming riders: 17.8% Sends off the favourite in 19% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Market Rasen (29.4%, n=34), clear of the yard's 17.2% baseline. It is weakest at Aintree (6.3% over 32 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 28.2% (n=39, Fair A/E 1.55), but debutants struggle at 6% (n=67, Fair A/E 0.40). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 19% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.24 and +34.71 to a £1 stake over 253 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Stan Sheppard rides 67% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (18.1%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (27.3%, n=44). The record reads poorly in Flat races — 6.1% over 33 runners, 11.1pts below the baseline. 14 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betfair Hurdle at Newbury (Feb 2022, £87,219). The stable star of the record: Flashing Glance (GB) — 8 wins from 40 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 17.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

19%+1.8

n=253 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +34.71

New recruits · first run for the yard

28.2%+11.0

n=39 · A/E 1.55 · £1 +1.69

Debutants · first career start

6%−11.2

n=67 · A/E 0.40 · £1 −54.24

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.7%−6.5

n=56 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −30.56

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.3%−8.9

n=24 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −20.17

When favourite

38.4%

n=185 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −1.59

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

17.8%+0.6

n=163 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −17.32

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.9%−5.3

n=42 · A/E 1.06 · £1 +12.84

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 17.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With debutants 6% vs 17.2% · n=67

At Market Rasen 29.4% vs 17.2% · n=34

With new recruits 28.2% vs 17.2% · n=39

In Flat races 6.1% vs 17.2% · n=33

Off a 8-14-day break 27.3% vs 17.2% · n=44

At Aintree 6.3% vs 17.2% · n=32

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 610 114 18.7% +143.79

Chase 245 41 16.7% −5.40

NH Flat 71 8 11.3% −42.93

Flat 33 2 6.1% −22.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 387 74 19.1% −44.29

Good to Soft 267 35 13.1% −40.08

Soft 204 37 18.1% −18.01

Heavy 61 13 21.3% +196.46

Good to Firm 26 4 15.4% −17.62

Standard (AW) 14 2 14.3% −3.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 89 13 14.6% −30.93

Chepstow 79 11 13.9% −17.81

Hereford 47 5 10.6% −27.10

Huntingdon 45 11 24.4% +10.11

Warwick 39 8 20.5% +10.16

Southwell 37 7 18.9% −4.01

Exeter 35 4 11.4% +184.16

Market Rasen 34 10 29.4% +4.38

Taunton 34 6 17.6% −3.38

Kempton 32 8 25% −1.56

Aintree 32 2 6.3% −11.00

Ffos Las 31 3 9.7% −19.88

Doncaster 30 6 20% +8.00

Worcester 29 4 13.8% −10.92

Cheltenham 25 0 0% −25.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 342 61 17.8% −77.06

Class 5 272 48 17.6% −88.84

Class 3 156 28 17.9% +14.06

Class 2 98 17 17.3% +208.13

Class 1 75 8 10.7% +5.17

Class 6 13 2 15.4% −2.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 207 74 35.7% 1.08 −12.96

2nd–3rd fav 332 64 19.3% 1.10 −22.58

4th–6th fav 247 19 7.7% 0.90 −45.50

7th+ in betting 173 8 4.6% 1.47 +154.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

90.8% completed · 855 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 245 83.7% 7 3 29 0 1

Hurdle 610 93.6% 8 3 28 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Nocte Volatus (GB) 26 6 13 14 Oct 26

Imperial Alex (IRE)from Miss Elizabeth Anne Lalor 26 7 14 26 Jul 26

Luttrell Lad (IRE)from Philip Hobbs 26 3 8 15 May 26

Cruz Control (FR) 23 7 10 14 Oct 26

My Friend Sean (IRE) 23 5 9 15 Aug 26

Tune In A Box (IRE) 21 4 10 11 Oct 26

Pounding Poet (IRE)from Dai Burchell 20 4 8 18 Apr 26

Buxted Reel (IRE)from Ian Williams 19 3 8 26 Sep 26

Roger Rarebit (GB) 19 3 11 26 Feb 26

Blow Your Wad (IRE)then Gary & Josh Moore 18 4 9 20 Dec 25

Dibble Decker (IRE) 18 5 9 15 Mar 25

Bluebella (GB)then Samuel Drinkwater 17 1 4 12 Nov 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 144 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Michael Appleby (2); 40 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for Samuel Drinkwater (2); 52 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 12

Only 12 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

171920212514151613121713

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderStan Sheppard

67% of all rides
18.1% SR · A/E 1.09

RiderRWSR£1

Stan Sheppard 641 116 18.1% +128.95

Cameron Iles 92 19 20.7% −19.79

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

360

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.27m

Prize money

2018

Best season · 44 wins

Glory And Fortune (IRE) — Betfair Hurdle (Grade 3 Handicap) (GBB Race) Newbury · Feb 2022 · Grade 3

£87,219

Montregard (FR) — Betfair Swinley Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Ascot · Feb 2026 · Class 1

£56,950

Cruz Control (FR) — William Hill Handicap Chase (Registered As The Freebooter Handicap Chase) (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2025 · Class 1

£56,270

Notable horses

Flashing Glance (GB) Sebastopol (IRE) Nocte Volatus (GB) Neville's Cross (IRE) Dorking Boy (GB) Imperial Alex (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Fame And Glory (GB) 23.9% · 11–46

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,203 runs since 2008 (504 horses).

Walk In The Park (IRE) 10.5% · 4–38

Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,933 runs since 2008 (689 horses).

Stowaway (GB) 5.4% · 2–37

Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.

Yeats (IRE) 22.9% · 8–35

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,807 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.

Sholokhov (IRE) 25% · 8–32

Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,258 runs since 2008 (419 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.

Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 12.9% · 4–31

Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,682 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,083 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,083 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 February 2013 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Myrighthandman (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Bet With The On Course Bookies Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 4/1

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las Cruz Control (FR)J: Stan Sheppard Adept GRP Cabinets Native River Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Soft · 6 ran PU 8/1

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las Nocte Volatus (GB)J: Stan Sheppard RWK Goodman Veterans' Handicap Steeple Chase (Leg 6 Of The Stayers' Veterans' Chase Series)Class 2 · 24f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 15/2

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las Wannabe (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Ethical Packaging Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 10 ran UR 4/1

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Tune In A Box (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Dragonbet Cefnogi Rasio Ceffylau Cymreig Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 13/2

11 Oct 26 Chepstow One Cool Kid (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Dragonbet / Ebf 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 3rd 6/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Marlacoo (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard LSL Racing Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 5th 5/2F

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Unjeu Royal (FR)J: Stan Sheppard Dragonbet Daily Dragonboosts Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 15 ran UR 11/2

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Gibbs Island (GB)J: Stan Sheppard DragonBet 'Welsh Champion' Hurdle Race (A Limited Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 7th 11/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Seven Kites (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Good Intents Marquee Hire Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 2/1F

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Hive Runner (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Wasdell Group Novices' Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 5/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Herbies Sock (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Wasdell Group Novices' Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 9/2

29 Sep 26 Bath Courseyoudo (FR)J: Charles Bishop Power Logistics Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 11th 50/1

27 Sep 26 Ffos Las Wolf's Gallop (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Bridge, The Home Of The Carvery Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 10/1

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Squeezebox (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Block Free Services Lincoln Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16.5f · Good · 12 ran PU 16/1

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Howth (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Block Free Services Lincoln Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16.5f · Good · 12 ran 9th 20/1

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Buxted Reel (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard £10 County Racedays Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 6/1

20 Sep 26 Plumpton Eternal Angel (FR)J: Stan Sheppard Friends & Family Remembering Norman Sharpe Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 1st 2/1

31 Aug 26 Chepstow Courseyoudo (FR)J: William Cox Dragonbet Welsh Racing Festival 9th-11th Oct Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 5th 28/1

27 Aug 26 Newton Abbot Buxted Reel (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Itus Event Support Services Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 1st 11/8F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tom Lacey's strike rate?: Tom Lacey has won 165 of 959 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 17.2% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tom Lacey do best at?: Market Rasen by strike rate: 10 wins from 34 runners (29.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Tom Lacey?: Stan Sheppard, with 641 runners since 2022 — 67% of the total. That pairing has won 116 (18.1%).
Is Tom Lacey in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Tom Lacey's Fair A/E?: 1.07, from 958 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.