Sovereign Sea (IRE)
Sovereign Sea is 1 from 10, the win coming at Class 5 level on Standard AW at Newcastle over 1m – 1m1f in Nov 2024. He has six places from his ten starts. The gelding, typically held up, finished 7 of 10 in a Class 3 handicap at Kempton in Feb 2026 when last raced off a career-high mark of 95. He is 0 from 4 on turf.
- 1–10Wins / Runs
- 10%Strike rate
- 6 (60%)Placed
- −8.71£1 level staken=10 at SP
- 0.44Fair A/E n=10 · 0.38 incl. margin
- 95Highest OR
- 37dBetween runs (median)longest 120 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 107
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 6 | 121B | 88 | 1 run · — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 102A | 82 | 1 run · — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 5 | 121B | 107 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 10 figures from 10 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 10 analysed runs since Nov 2024
- Mid-division 4 (40%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 4 (40%) · 1 win
- Held up 2 (20%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.9% of 1,613 runs since Apr 2023 (245 horses).
Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17% from 159. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 150.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 2 | 1 | 50% | +39.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 209 | 20 | 9.6% | −1.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 404 | 42 | 10.4% | −0.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 161 | 16 | 9.9% | −1 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 223 | 24 | 10.8% | −0.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 42 | 4 | 9.5% | −1.4 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 572 | 69 | 12.1% | +1.2 | 1 from 6 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 159 | 27 | 17% | +6.1 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 853 | 102 | 12% | +1.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 402 | 36 | 9% | −1.9 | 1 from 5 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 150 | 11 | 7.3% | −3.6 | 0 from 5 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 30 | 0 | 0% | −10.9 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 17 | 0 | 0% | −10.9 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −10.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2023 · as at 7 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
5 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Dakota Blue (FR) (1 win).
The wins came over 1m2f–1m5f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakota Blue (FR) | 6 | 1 | 1m2f | — |
| Point Nepean (IRE) | 2 | 1 | 1m5f | — |
| Legend Of Gods (FR) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
| Findon Rose (IRE) | 12 | 0 | — | — |
| Violet Star (FR) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 6 | 1 | 17% | −4.71 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 2 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.71 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.71 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| York | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 1 | 20% | −3.71 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Mitchell | 5 | 1 | 20% | −3.71 |
| Ray Dawson | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Warren Fentiman | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2025 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2024 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.29 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 04 Feb 26+120d | Kempton (AW) | Bet 20 Get 20 With Unibet Handicap Sluggish start - settled with the field - moved left when pressed for effort over 2f out - closed steadily in the final furlong to stay on for 7th | 7/10 | ¾ | 9-9 | 95 | 79A | 91A | Jack Mitchell | 5/1 |
| 2025 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 07 Oct 25+24d | Leicester | Kube - Leicester's Premier Event Hire Venue Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled towards the back and pulling hard early - made progress into contention 3f out - pushed along with 2f left - stayed on at one speed from the final furlong to finish fourth | 4/9 | 2 | 10-1 | 95 | 107A | 92A | Ray Dawson | 5/1 |
| 13 Sep 25+37d | Doncaster | Mastiff Manor Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled off the pace midfield - moved up on the outer approaching 2f out - hit the front inside the final furlong - overtaken close home to finish second by three-quarters of a length | 2/9 | ¾ | 9-0 | 93 | 97A | 99A | Ray Dawson | 4/1 |
| 07 Aug 25+55d | Chelmsford City (AW) | bet365 Chelmsford City Cup (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) Fought for control early - settled towards the back - drifted left under pressure but stayed on from the final furlong without enough speed to get on terms | 6/10 | nk | 9-2 | 93 | 121B | 88A | Silvestre De Sousa | 5/2F |
| 13 Jun 25+28d | York | Seat Unique Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled in the pack - asked for effort 3f out - moved closer behind the front group while drifting left 2f out - driven inside final furlongs but faded to finish 12th | 12/12 | 2 | 8-10 | 93 | 80C | 64C | Warren Fentiman | 13/2 |
| 16 May 25+58d | Newbury | Titan Wealth Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled midpack early - moved up inside approaching 2f out and drifted left to take second inside the final furlong - pressed the leader under pressure but couldn't find more close home - held to a half-length second | 2/14 | ½ | 9-6 | 85 | 109C | 102A | Ray Dawson | 14/1 |
| 19 Mar 25+36d | Southwell (AW) | Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap Sat just behind front group in 4th on the rail - asked for effort and drifted left 2f out - moved into 2nd shortly after - kept on at one gait but never troubled winner | 2/8 | 2 | 9-6 | 85 | 102A | 89A | Jack Mitchell | 3/1 |
| 11 Feb 25+32d | Wolverhampton (AW) | BetMGM: It's Showtime Novice Stakes Tracked pace-setter from outer - pressed for effort and lost touch 2f out - rallied to move into second inside final furlong - kept responding to the line but denied by a half-length | 2/12 | ½ | 9-11 | 85 | 94A | 98A | Jack Mitchell | 7/4F |
| 10 Jan 25+63d | Newcastle (AW) | Win 1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Novice Stakes Sat behind the front pack - moved through on the near flank to hit the front a furlong out - caught in the final strides - finished second beaten a nose | 2/9 | shd | 9-11 | — | 82A | 101A | Jack Mitchell | 10/3 |
| 2024 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 08 Nov 24 | Newcastle (AW) | Win 1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Sat just behind pace early - moved to front approaching final 2f and pulled away with a smart burst inside the last - impressive first-time success | 1/4 | 9-5 | — | 54C | 73B | Jack Mitchell | 2/7F | |
Quick answers
- How many races has Sovereign Sea won?
- Sovereign Sea (IRE) won 1 of 10 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 10%. Placed 6 times in total (60% of starts).
- Who trains Sovereign Sea?
- Sovereign Sea (IRE) is trained by Roger Varian, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 4 February 2026.
- Who is Sovereign Sea's sire?
- Sovereign Sea (IRE) is by Ten Sovereigns (IRE) out of Sea Goddess (IRE), whose sire is Galileo.
- What going does Sovereign Sea prefer?
- Sovereign Sea (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 1 win from 6 starts (16.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Sovereign Sea's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 95, from the run on 4 February 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Sovereign Sea's sire's record?
- Ten Sovereigns (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.9% of 1,613 runs since Apr 2023 (245 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17% from 159. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 150.
- Who are Sovereign Sea's siblings?
- Out of Sea Goddess (IRE), Sovereign Sea (IRE) has 5 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Dakota Blue (FR) (1). The wins came over 1m2f–1m5f. As at Nov 2026.