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Horse profile

Spinola Bay (GB)

6yo gelding · Trainer Gordon Elliott · Owner David Lestrange
by Dragon Dancer (GB) out of Earth Lady (GB) (Presenting)
11 runs · 11 courses · from Mar 2024
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
2 wins · Leopardstown & Navan Last run 31 Aug 2026 · 4th of 7
KTB Profile

Spinola Bay is a gelding who has won two of 11 starts on turf. Both wins came in handicaps over 1m5f – 2m on soft and heavy ground, at Leopardstown in Dec 2025 off 106 and at Navan the same month off 98. Each success was on a first visit to the course. He finished fourth of seven in a beginners chase at Downpatrick in Aug 2026. He has reached an official rating of 113.

Based on 11 archived runs · run-style from 9 commented runs since Sep 2024 · updated 5 Nov 2026
Official rating112↓ 1lb off peak
112 98–113

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 96 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Ballinrobe (IRE), 21 Jul 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Jumps 11 figures · best 138B · median 85
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
Soft586B843 runs · 86 / 83
Good3102B962 runs · 96 / 81
Heavy2138B91.51 run · —
Good to Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
2m1f – 2m4f597A864 runs · 96 / 84.5
1m5f – 2m5138B842 runs · 138 / 99.5
2m5f – 3m1———

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 11 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 114A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Downpatrick (IRE), 31 Aug 2026 Official rating 112 at the last run, 21 Jul 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 11 figures · best 131A · median 110
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
Soft5129A1083 runs · 129 / 117
Good3114A1092 runs · 114 / 109.5
Heavy2131A1221 run · —
Good to Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
2m1f – 2m4f5117A1104 runs · 117 / 109.5
1m5f – 2m5131A1132 runs · 131 / 130
2m5f – 3m1———

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 11 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 9 analysed runs since Sep 2024

  • Prominent 4 (44%) · 2 wins
  • Held up 2 (22%) · 0 wins
  • Mid-division 2 (22%) · 0 wins
  • Led 1 (11%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Dragon Dancer (GB)

Progeny in our archive have won 9% of 576 runs since Sep 2013 (80 horses).

Strongest on good going: 12.4% from 161.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Good to Firm1700%−9—
Good1612012.4%+3.40 from 3
Good to Soft128107.8%−1.20 from 1
Soft140139.3%+0.31 from 5
Heavy81911.1%+2.11 from 2
Standard (AW)4900%−9—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f100%−9—
6f – 7f1500%−9—
1m – 1m1f3100%−9—
1m2f – 1m4f7311.4%−7.6—
1m5f – 2m1822011%+22 from 5
2m1f – 2m4f177158.5%−0.50 from 5
2m5f – 3m741114.9%+5.90 from 1
Over 3m23521.7%+12.7—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Sep 2013 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Earth Lady (GB) (Presenting)

No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Soft 5 1 20% −0.50
Good 3 0 0% −3.00
Heavy 2 1 50% +5.50
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Downpatrick (IRE) 1 0 0% −1.00
Ballinrobe (IRE) 1 0 0% −1.00
Down Royal 1 0 0% −1.00
Cork 1 0 0% −1.00
Leopardstown 1 1 100% +3.50
Navan 1 1 100% +6.50
Limerick 1 0 0% −1.00
Tramore 1 0 0% −1.00
Roscommon 1 0 0% −1.00
Killarney 1 0 0% −1.00
Fairyhouse 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f 5 0 0% −5.00
1m5f – 2m 5 2 40% +7.00
2m5f – 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Jack Kennedy 4 1 25% +0.50
Sam Ewing 3 1 33% +4.50
Mr H C Swan 2 0 0% −2.00
James Smith 1 0 0% −1.00
Jody McGarvey 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 8 2 25% +4.00
Cheekpieces 3 0 0% −3.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 4 0 0% −4.00
2025 2 2 100% +10.00
2024 5 0 0% −5.00

TypeRunsWinsSR£1
Hurdle 8 2 25% +4.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2026 · 4 runs
31 Aug 26+41d Downpatrick (IRE) Cosy Group Beginners Steeplechase 2m3½f · Good · 7 ran Towards the back early - fifth of six approaching the fourth last and still there at the third - under pressure from 2 out - kept on at one pace for 4th inside the final furlong 4/7 9½ 11-7 —66A114A James Smith 25/1
21 Jul 26+182d Ballinrobe (IRE) BOYLE Sports Home Of The Early Payout Handicap Hurdle 2m1½f · Good · 10 ran Close up early - 3rd at halfway - made ground at the skipped 2 out - driven and faded before the last then allowed to finish steadily in the run-in 7/10 6 11-4 11296A105A Jack Kennedy 16/1
20 Jan 26+17d Down Royal Franciscan Well Rated Novice Hurdle 2m1f · Soft · 8 ran Sat close up in second early - slipped back to fourth and blundered four out before needing urging - faded on the run-in to finish sixth 6/8 7 11-7 11383C103C Jack Kennedy 11/4F
03 Jan 26+8d Cork Goldcrop Rated Novice Hurdle 2m1f · Yielding To Soft · 7 ran Went straight to front - urged forward after 3 out then lost the advantage after a blunder at the following fence - asked for effort in 3rd approaching the last - unable to quicken and finished steadily to take 3rd 3/7 2½ 11-7 11386B117A Jack Kennedy 5/4F
2025 · 2 runs
26 Dec 25+12d Leopardstown E-Auctions Novice Handicap Hurdle 2m · Yielding · 18 ran Handy from the off - hit the front after 3rd and jumped awkwardly 4 out - driven up to level terms early in the straight - responded gamely to regain command close home 1/18 10-12 10661B129A Jack Kennedy 7/2F
14 Dec 25+421d Navan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Handicap Hurdle 2m · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran Sat just behind the front pack - 4th at halfway - shared 2nd spot with a small stumble two out then given a couple of taps - moving strongly to join the front before the last - pushed on to hit the front approaching the final fence - lost footing and clipped the last - stayed on strongly to prevail 1/15 10-4 98138B131A Sam Ewing 13/2
2024 · 5 runs
19 Oct 24+9d Limerick Great National South Court Hotel Maiden Hurdle 2m5f · Good · 18 ran Settled midpack - still 11th at halfway - urged forward after three out and improved to 6th at the two marker - moved to the rail after the last to edge into third late on 3/18 5½ 11-10 —102B109A Jody McGarvey 7/1
10 Oct 24+10d Tramore www.tramoreraces.ie Maiden Hurdle 2m · Yielding · 11 ran Settled towards the back early - into the pack by halfway - pushed along in 6th after three out with little response - stayed on same gait to finish 5th 5/11 1¾ 11-11 —84B108A Sam Ewing 6/1
30 Sep 24+141d Roscommon Guinness Maiden Hurdle 1m7½f · Yielding · 16 ran Settled midpack early - drifted left over 3rd - never a factor from four out - driven into 7th but made no further headway before finishing well held in 7th 7/16 6½ 11-7 —85C97C Sam Ewing 18/1
12 May 24+42d Killarney An Excellent Choice (Pro/Am) Flat Race 2m1f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 4/12 3 11-7 —97A110A Mr H C Swan 4/1
31 Mar 24 Fairyhouse Tattersalls Ireland George Mernagh Memorial Sales Bumper 2m · Heavy · 14 ran 11/14 16 10-13 —45C113C Mr H C Swan 10/3

Quick answers

How many races has Spinola Bay won?
Spinola Bay (GB) won 2 of 11 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 18.2%. Placed 3 times in total (27.3% of starts).
Who trains Spinola Bay?
Spinola Bay (GB) is trained by Gordon Elliott, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 31 August 2026.
Who is Spinola Bay's sire?
Spinola Bay (GB) is by Dragon Dancer (GB) out of Earth Lady (GB), whose sire is Presenting.
What going does Spinola Bay prefer?
Spinola Bay (GB) has the best record on soft going: 1 win from 5 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Spinola Bay's official rating?
Spinola Bay (GB)'s highest official rating on record is 113.
What is Spinola Bay's sire's record?
Dragon Dancer (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 9% of 576 runs since Sep 2013 (80 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good going: 12.4% from 161.

Record shown from March 2024. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.