Storm Nelson (IRE)
Storm Nelson won six of 28 starts on turf, all in handicaps. Three of his wins came at Carlisle and three at Ayr, with three of those four victories at Carlisle over 3m on soft or good to soft. He also won twice over 2m5f-3m, once on heavy and once on good. The gelding, aged 12 at his last run in May 2025, finished second of three at Southwell off an official rating of 103, 31lb below his highest ever mark. Headgear returned at that run.
- 6–28Wins / Runs
- 21.4%Strike rate
- 10 (35.7%)Placed
- +2.58£1 level staken=28 at SP
- 1.97Fair A/E n=28 · 1.71 incl. margin
- 134Highest OR
- 112dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 131
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was.
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 9 | 132A | 87 | — |
| Heavy | 5 | 135B | 104 | — |
| Good | 3 | 123B | 107 | — |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 128C | 121 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 8 | 132A | 95.5 | — |
| Over 3m | 5 | 131A | 128 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 135B | 109 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 129A | 79 | — |
Of 28 runs looked at, 8 have no figure: did not complete (5) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (3).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 20 figures from 28 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 12.2% of 5,647 runs since Jan 2008 (363 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 124 | 14 | 11.3% | −0.9 | — |
| Good | 1,752 | 220 | 12.6% | +0.4 | 1 from 6 |
| Good to Soft | 979 | 121 | 12.4% | +0.2 | 1 from 4 |
| Soft | 1,792 | 194 | 10.8% | −1.4 | 3 from 12 |
| Heavy | 967 | 137 | 14.2% | +2 | 1 from 6 |
| Standard (AW) | 33 | 1 | 3% | −9.2 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −12.2 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 19 | 0 | 0% | −12.2 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 14 | 0 | 0% | −12.2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,213 | 146 | 12% | −0.2 | 0 from 4 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,898 | 243 | 12.8% | +0.6 | 1 from 5 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,966 | 229 | 11.6% | −0.6 | 2 from 14 |
| Over 3m | 535 | 69 | 12.9% | +0.7 | 3 from 5 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 14 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Danali (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 2m2f–2m4f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danali (IRE) | 23 | 2 | 2m2f–2m4f | — |
| Westcoast Tiger (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
| Intheboriscamp (IRE) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 12 | 3 | 25% | −0.15 |
| Good | 6 | 1 | 17% | +9.00 |
| Heavy | 6 | 1 | 17% | −3.80 |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.47 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 7 | 3 | 43% | +2.63 |
| Class 4 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Class 2 | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.80 |
| Class 5 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +13.75 |
| Class 6 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr | 8 | 3 | 38% | +12.95 |
| Carlisle | 4 | 3 | 75% | +5.63 |
| Aintree | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Perth | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Southwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Huntingdon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hexham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Towcester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 14 | 2 | 14% | +3.20 |
| Over 3m | 5 | 3 | 60% | +4.63 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.25 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Cockburn | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Ryan Mania | 5 | 3 | 60% | +5.30 |
| Charlie Maggs | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| William Maggs | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Charlie Hammond | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Richard Johnson | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Nico de Boinville | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Henry Brooke | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Brian Hughes | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.53 |
| Theo Gillard | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.75 |
| Mr Tommie M O'Brien | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Alexander Thorne | 1 | 1 | 100% | +14.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 17 | 1 | 6% | −2.00 |
| Tongue tie | 8 | 5 | 63% | +7.58 |
| Blinkers | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2024 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2023 | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.80 |
| 2022 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.00 |
| 2021 | 4 | 3 | 75% | +3.38 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2018 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +10.00 |
| 2017 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 24 | 6 | 25% | +6.58 |
| NH Flat | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Storm Nelson (IRE) won?
- Storm Nelson (IRE) won 6 of 28 archived starts between 2017 and 2025, a strike rate of 21.4%. Placed 10 times in total (35.7% of starts).
- Who trained Storm Nelson (IRE)?
- Storm Nelson (IRE) was trained by Olly Williams on the most recent run on record, at Southwell on 12 May 2025.
- Who is Storm Nelson (IRE)'s sire?
- Storm Nelson (IRE) is by Gold Well (GB) out of Dabiyra (IRE), whose sire is Linamix.
- What going does Storm Nelson (IRE) prefer?
- Storm Nelson (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 3 wins from 12 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Storm Nelson (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 103, from the run on 12 May 2025. The highest on record is 134.
- What is Storm Nelson (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Gold Well (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.2% of 5,647 runs since Jan 2008 (363 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Storm Nelson (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Dabiyra (IRE), Storm Nelson (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Danali (IRE) (2). The wins came over 2m2f–2m4f. As at Oct 2026.