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Trainer profile

Olly Williams

249 runners in the last 5 seasons · 28 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)
from 1 Jan 2022
6–249
Wins / Runs
2.4%
Strike rate
n=249
28 (11%)
Placed
0.40
Fair A/E
n=246 · 0.40 incl. margin
−137.00
£1 level stake
n=249 at SP · −55.0%
£79,753
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.40).

Deterministic profile computed from 249 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (5.8%, n=69), clear of the yard's 2.4% baseline. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 0.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.19 and −103.00 to a £1 stake over 115 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 0.00 across 62 runners (0% strike, −62.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Tricky Dicky (GB) — 7 wins from 41 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.4
n=32 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −32.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.4
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.4
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.4
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.4
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
When favourite
0%
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0.9%−1.5
n=115 · A/E 0.19 · £1 −103.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Southwell (AW) 5.8% vs 2.4% · n=69
With Duran Fentiman 5.4% vs 2.4% · n=37
On Good going 0% vs 2.4% · n=62
In Hurdle races 0% vs 2.4% · n=49
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 2.4% · n=44
Over 6f – 7f 4.5% vs 2.4% · n=67
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 189 6 3.2% −77.00
Hurdle 49 0 0% −49.00
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00
Chase 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 96 4 4.2% +1.50
Good 62 0 0% −62.00
Good to Firm 33 1 3% −24.50
Good to Soft 31 0 0% −31.00
Soft 18 0 0% −18.00
Heavy 9 1 11.1% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW) 69 4 5.8% +28.50
Market Rasen 22 0 0% −22.00
Leicester 19 0 0% −19.00
Newcastle (AW) 16 0 0% −16.00
Beverley 15 0 0% −15.00
Doncaster 13 0 0% −13.00
Catterick 13 1 7.7% −4.50
Yarmouth 11 0 0% −11.00
Southwell 10 0 0% −10.00
Pontefract 8 0 0% −8.00
Nottingham 7 1 14.3% −1.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Thirsk 6 0 0% −6.00
Redcar 5 0 0% −5.00
Wetherby 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 146 5 3.4% −42.50
Class 5 56 1 1.8% −47.50
Class 4 34 0 0% −34.00
Class 3 10 0 0% −10.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
2nd–3rd fav 23 1 4.3% 0.31 −17.00
4th–6th fav 71 4 5.6% 0.94 −32.00
7th+ in betting 148 1 0.7% 0.00 −81.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mickey Mongoose (GB)from Charlie Johnston 40 4 6 15 Oct 26
Muhib (GB)from John & Thady Gosden 29 0 4 30 Sep 26
Foursome (GB)from William Haggas · then Daragh Bourke 28 1 6 16 Sep 24
Cubanista (GB)from Pam Sly 23 0 6 21 Jul 25
Bovey Belle (GB) 12 0 0 24 Jan 26
Lincoln Red (GB) 11 0 2 7 Nov 23
Little Soiree (IRE)from Chris Gordon 10 0 0 19 Jun 26
Storm Nelson (IRE)from Sandy Thomson 10 0 1 12 May 25
Coriano Ridge (GB) 9 0 0 2 Sep 23
Southern Warrior (IRE)from George Scott 6 0 0 24 Sep 26
Falcon (GB)from Ralph Beckett 6 0 0 15 Jan 25
Ohnojoe (IRE)then Jessica Macey 6 1 2 17 Feb 23
All 28 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 28 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Pam Sly (3); 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 24 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0115040500500
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDuran Fentiman
15% of all rides
5.4% SR · A/E 0.60
RiderRWSR£1
Duran Fentiman 37 2 5.4% +39.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→
24
Archived wins
£215k
Prize money
2019
Best season · 6 wins
Tricky Dicky (GB) — Betway Handicap Southwell (AW) · Mar 2019 · Class 4
£5,531
Mickey Mongoose (GB) — BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap (Div 2) Southwell (AW) · Feb 2025 · Class 6
£4,711
Raspberry (GB) — Weddings At Western House Hotel Maiden Fillies' Stakes Ayr · May 2019 · Class 5
£4,464
Notable horses
Tricky Dicky (GB) Going Native (GB) Mickey Mongoose (GB) Lincoln Red (GB) Viking Way (IRE) Foursome (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Lope De Vega (IRE) 10% · 4–40
Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,150 runs since 2008 (1,099 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 953.
Too Darn Hot (GB) 0% · 0–29
Progeny have won 14.1% of 2,317 runs since 2008 (319 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.4% from 117.
Highland Reel (IRE) 3.6% · 1–28
Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,505 runs since 2008 (161 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.4% from 144.
Havana Gold (IRE) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,049 runs since 2008 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.3% from 116. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 522. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.
Nathaniel (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,062 runs since 2008 (634 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.2% from 324.
Monsieur Bond (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 8.9% of 5,979 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 613 · newest first

The latest 50 of 613 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 August 2015 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mickey Mongoose (GB)J: Duran Fentiman Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 9/1
13 Oct 26 Leicester Fenlander (GB)J: Warren Fentiman Join Racing TV Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 3rd 13/2
06 Oct 26 Leicester Fenlander (GB)J: Warren Fentiman Mario & Traci Plough Duxford Last Orders Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 12/1
30 Sep 26 Catterick Muhib (GB)J: Warren Fentiman Watch All Races Live On Racingtv Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 5th 8/1
28 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Mickey Mongoose (GB)J: Cian Horgan Cavani Style & Speed Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 33/1
26 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Fenlander (GB)J: Christian Howarth Golf & Gallop Southwell Golf Club Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 40/1
24 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Southern Warrior (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Weekend Winners On At The Races Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 40/1
14 Sep 26 Thirsk Muhib (GB)J: Warren Fentiman Constant Security Services Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good · 12 ran 4th 11/1
03 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Southern Warrior (IRE)J: Warren Fentiman Bettingsites.co.uk Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 150/1
20 Aug 26 Newcastle (AW) Muhib (GB)J: Warren Fentiman Harry Potter Droneart Show Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 16/1
16 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Southern Warrior (IRE)J: Jude Fernandes Gb Civil Engineering Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Apprentice Training Race - Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 100/1
12 Aug 26 Beverley Mickey Mongoose (GB)J: Duran Fentiman Clearanswer Call Centres Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7.5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 13th 33/1
04 Aug 26 Catterick Muhib (GB)J: Warren Fentiman Racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 3rd 7/1
21 Jul 26 Nottingham Southern Warrior (IRE)J: Warren Fentiman Construction Day 14th Oct Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 66/1
17 Jul 26 Pontefract Muhib (GB)J: Joe Bradnam Babs Woolford Memorial Apprentice Classified StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 4/1
07 Jul 26 Pontefract Muhib (GB)J: Warren Fentiman Pontefract Squash And Leisure Club HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 28/1
25 Jun 26 Nottingham Muhib (GB)J: Shay Farmer Martin Stonemans Final Furlong HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 3rd 15/2
19 Jun 26 Market Rasen Little Soiree (IRE)J: William Maggs Global Shipping Services Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 66/1
12 Jun 26 Sandown Southern Warrior (IRE)J: Liam Wright Ladies Day At Sandown Park 3 July HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 10th 150/1
06 Jun 26 Doncaster Mickey Mongoose (GB)J: Duran Fentiman Northwick Group HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 12th 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Olly Williams's strike rate?
Olly Williams has won 6 of 249 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Olly Williams do best at?
Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 69 runners (5.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Olly Williams in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Olly Williams's Fair A/E?
0.40, from 246 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).