What is Theo Gillard's strike rate?

Theo Gillard has won 107 of 1,049 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Theo Gillard do best at?

Haydock by strike rate: 7 wins from 31 rides (22.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Theo Gillard ride most for?

Donald McCain, with 830 rides since 2022 — 79% of the total. That pairing has won 86 (10.4%).

Is Theo Gillard in form?

In the last 14 days: 18 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5.6%. That is below the baseline of 10.2% since 2022.

What is Theo Gillard's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 1,048 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Theo Gillard

1,049 rides in the last 5 seasons · 388 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Won yesterday Last ride yesterday 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)

from 1 Jan 2022

107–1,049

Wins / Runs

10.2%

Strike rate

n=1,049

288 (28%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=1,048 · 0.85 incl. margin

−154.42

£1 level stake

n=1,049 at SP · −14.7%

£1.29m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 210 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.98). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 22% (122 rides). Rides mostly for Donald McCain — 79% of rides in the window. The rider is quiet just now — 1 winner in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,049 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 39.2% when favourite Donald McCain: 10.4% from 830 First rides: 10.3% LTO winners: 22.1% Claiming: 14.7% Rides the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Haydock (22.6%, n=31), Sedgefield (19.7%, n=71) and Musselburgh (20%, n=30) — all clear of the rider's 10.2% baseline. It is weakest at Carlisle (1.7% over 60 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 22.1% (n=122, Fair A/E 1.36), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.4% (n=93, Fair A/E 1.17). Claiming rides are the standout value angle: 14.7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.23 and +4.70 to a £1 stake over 258 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 1 from 18 rides in the last 14 days (5.6%, 4.6pts below the 10.2% baseline). Donald McCain supplies 79% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10.4%, A/E 0.95). The standout partner of the record: Brother Pat (GB) — 5 wins from 13 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

10.3%+0.1

n=340 · A/E 1.08 · £1 +59.68

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

22.1%+11.9

n=122 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +26.78

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.4%−2.8

n=215 · A/E 0.95 · £1 +93.00

When favourite

39.2%

n=51 · A/E 1.08 · £1 +1.28

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

14.7%+4.5

n=258 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +4.70

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.4%−4.8

n=93 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −33.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.2

n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 22.1% vs 10.2% · n=122

At Haydock 22.6% vs 10.2% · n=31

At Sedgefield 19.7% vs 10.2% · n=71

At Carlisle 1.7% vs 10.2% · n=60

At Musselburgh 20% vs 10.2% · n=30

With C&D winners 17.3% vs 10.2% · n=75

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 667 62 9.3% −44.38

Chase 339 43 12.7% −72.54

NH Flat 40 2 5% −34.50

Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 484 56 11.6% −71.22

Good to Soft 249 18 7.2% −15.30

Soft 247 25 10.1% −51.81

Heavy 57 4 7% −42.04

Good to Firm 12 4 33.3% +25.95

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Bangor-on-Dee 137 18 13.1% −5.25

Uttoxeter 89 8 9% −11.13

Sedgefield 71 14 19.7% +6.56

Carlisle 60 1 1.7% −55.67

Worcester 42 2 4.8% −22.00

Wetherby 42 5 11.9% −5.00

Doncaster 40 6 15% +88.03

Catterick 40 6 15% +4.71

Hexham 38 1 2.6% −23.00

Newcastle 37 5 13.5% −8.72

Kelso 37 2 5.4% −24.00

Market Rasen 32 2 6.3% −24.75

Haydock 31 7 22.6% +10.25

Musselburgh 30 6 20% +1.50

Ayr 29 2 6.9% −21.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 518 61 11.8% +30.96

Class 5 326 29 8.9% −81.55

Class 3 131 13 9.9% −62.16

Class 2 60 4 6.7% −27.67

Class 1 14 0 0% −14.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 61 24 39.3% 1.15 +7.78

2nd–3rd fav 264 35 13.3% 0.75 −102.20

4th–6th fav 401 36 9% 1.15 −47.00

7th+ in betting 323 12 3.7% 1.15 −13.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

89.7% completed · 1,006 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 339 84.4% 11 4 38 0 0

Hurdle 667 92.4% 7 3 38 1 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Could Be Trouble (IRE) 18 3 6 8 Oct 25

Guillaume (IRE) 15 0 5 28 Nov 25

Cartonne (FR) 15 4 7 18 Oct 25

Independent Jimmy (GB) 13 1 7 17 Jun 26

Malpas (IRE) 12 1 5 6 Sep 24

Gold Emery (FR) 11 0 5 15 Apr 26

Cenotice (GB) 11 2 2 27 May 23

American Empire (IRE) 10 0 3 3 Nov 26

Nora The Xplorer (GB) 10 2 3 16 Jun 23

Supreme George (IRE) 9 3 4 11 Nov 26

Cahier's Den (IRE) 9 0 3 27 Oct 26

Jiair Madrik (FR) 9 2 3 12 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 388 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

1 from 18 5.6% · −4.6pts vs baseline

Last 14 days5.6%

5-season base10.2%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

12101591111101447910

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardDonald McCain

79% of all rides
10.4% SR · A/E 0.95

TrainerRWSR£1

Donald McCain 830 86 10.4% −140.49

Mark Gillard 38 1 2.6% +13.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→

141

Archived wins

£1.61m

Prize money

2022

Best season · 33 wins

Cyclop (IRE) — Bet In-Running On Racing At BetVictor Veterans' Handicap Chase Newbury · Mar 2023 · Class 2

£18,211

Serious Chat (IRE) — Read Nicky Hendersons Unibet Blog Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Haydock · Apr 2026 · Class 2

£13,203

O'connell (IRE) — Pallinc Lincolnshire National Handicap Chase Market Rasen · Dec 2024 · Class 3

£11,618

Notable horses

Brother Pat (GB) Could Be Trouble (IRE) Cartonne (FR) Tim Pat (IRE) Supreme George (IRE) They Want Me (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Yeats (IRE) 7% · 4–57

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,856 runs since 2013 (709 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 6.1% · 2–33

Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,898 runs since 2013 (687 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Mahler (GB) 14.3% · 4–28

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,894 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Balko (FR) 16.7% · 4–24

Progeny have won 12.7% of 2,667 runs since 2011 (297 horses).

Doyen (IRE) 16.7% · 4–24

Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,390 runs since 2009 (606 horses).

Milan (GB) 4.2% · 1–24

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,887 runs since 2008 (1,464 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,533 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,533 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 October 2014 to 11 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Nov 26 Bangor-on-Dee Static (FR)T: Donald McCain Festive Meeting Saturday 28th November Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 19.5f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 9/4

11 Nov 26 Bangor-on-Dee Solid Performer (IRE)T: Donald McCain Wrexham Lager Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 4/5F

11 Nov 26 Bangor-on-Dee Hang Out (IRE)T: Donald McCain Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 6/1

11 Nov 26 Bangor-on-Dee Supreme George (IRE)T: Donald McCain Overton Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 11/1

10 Nov 26 Huntingdon Latin (IRE)T: Donald McCain PricedUp BOG From 10am Selling Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 6th 11/4

09 Nov 26 Stratford Count Adhemar (IRE)T: Donald McCain Annual Membership For Christmas Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 4/1

09 Nov 26 Stratford Wallquatari (FR)T: Donald McCain Stratford Extra Raceday 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 6th 5/1

06 Nov 26 Aintree Whiskeywealth (IRE)T: Donald McCain Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 50/1

06 Nov 26 Aintree Avide (IRE)T: Donald McCain Bet £10 To Get £40 BetMGM Novices' Hurdle Race (Novices' Championship Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 17f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 4th 18/1

03 Nov 26 Sedgefield American Empire (IRE)T: Donald McCain Sedgefield Christmas Jumper Raceday 22nd December Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 11 ran 6th 5/1

01 Nov 26 Carlisle Soldiers Trick (IRE)T: Donald McCain Pricedup Bet Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 9/1

01 Nov 26 Carlisle Joltin N Jiving (IRE)T: Donald McCain Pricedup Bet Gordon Richards Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 21f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 9/4

31 Oct 26 Ayr Serious Chat (IRE)T: Donald McCain United Council Of Racecourse Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 3 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 9/1

31 Oct 26 Ayr Battle Of Arsuf (IRE)T: Donald McCain Ben Arthur's Bothy Of Arrochar Ebf 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 12/1

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Dino Bellagio (GB)T: Donald McCain Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 4/1

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Soldier In Mayo (IRE)T: Donald McCain Ted Anderson Dixon Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 5/1

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Phantom Of Delight (IRE)T: Donald McCain Support The Royal British Legion Poppy Appeal Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (Herring Queen Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 100/1

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Count Of Vendome (IRE)T: Donald McCain Kalahari King 'chasing Excellence' Beginners' Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good · 3 ran 2nd 2/1

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Cahier's Den (IRE)T: Donald McCain Overton Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 7th 15/2

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Laristote (FR)T: Donald McCain Bangor-On-Dee Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 7 runs (won 0) · to 11 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Theo Gillard's strike rate?: Theo Gillard has won 107 of 1,049 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Theo Gillard do best at?: Haydock by strike rate: 7 wins from 31 rides (22.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Theo Gillard ride most for?: Donald McCain, with 830 rides since 2022 — 79% of the total. That pairing has won 86 (10.4%).
Is Theo Gillard in form?: In the last 14 days: 18 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5.6%. That is below the baseline of 10.2% since 2022.
What is Theo Gillard's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 1,048 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.