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Horse profile

Substance (IRE)

3yo colt · Trainer Mark Walford · Owner Ursa Major Racing Ltd
by Supremacy (IRE) out of Miranda Frost (IRE) (Cape Cross)
9 runs · 8 courses · from Aug 2025
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won at Roscommon Ran 41 days ago · 18th of 19 Last raced off OR 75
KTB Profile

Substance is a colt who has won one of nine starts on turf. The win came in the Athlone Handicap at Roscommon in May 2026 over 6f – 7f on good ground off an official rating of 68. He has raced off a mark of 75 at his last run, at York in Sep 2026, where he finished 18 of 19 in a Class 4 handicap. Typically ridden with patience, he was held up in four of five analysed runs.

Based on 9 archived runs · run-style from 5 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Typically held up Wins on good or faster
Official rating75↓ 3lb off peak
75 68–78

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 114 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Redcar, 22 Aug 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 9 figures · best 119A · median 82
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
Good6114A895 · 114 / 100
Good to Soft1——1 · —
Soft1——1 · —
Heavy1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
6f – 7f6119A895 · 119 / 100
1m – 1m1f3114A822 · 114 / 78

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 9 figures from 9 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 82A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Redcar, 22 Aug 2026 Official rating 75 at the last run, 6 Sep 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 9 figures · best 95A · median 73
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
Good695A75.55 · 95 / 76
Good to Soft1——1 · —
Soft1——1 · —
Heavy1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
6f – 7f695A745 · 95 / 75
1m – 1m1f382A662 · 82 / 69

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 9 figures from 9 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 5 analysed runs

  • Held up 4 (80%) · 1 win
  • Midfield 1 (20%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Supremacy (IRE)

Progeny in our archive have won 8.6% of 549 runs since Jan 2008 (93 horses).

Weakest on standard (aw) going: 4.7% from 148.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm200%−8.6—
Good to Firm114108.8%+0.2—
Good163169.8%+1.21 from 6
Good to Soft4349.3%+0.70 from 1
Soft66913.6%+50 from 1
Heavy1317.7%−0.90 from 1
Standard (AW)14874.7%−3.9—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f961616.7%+8.1—
6f – 7f320195.9%−2.71 from 6
1m – 1m1f10365.8%−2.80 from 3
1m2f – 1m4f22418.2%+9.6—
1m5f – 2m6116.7%+8.1—
2m1f – 2m4f2150%+41.4—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Miranda Frost (IRE) (Cape Cross)

7 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Ejtilaab (IRE) (5 wins).

The wins came over 6f–7f; the highest grade won is Listed (Eqtiraan (IRE)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Ejtilaab (IRE)1956f–7fClass 2
Eqtiraan (IRE)1026fListed
Licence To Conquer (IRE)717fClass 5
Frosty Dream (IRE)50——
Wintour (IRE)30——
Hailey Ya Mal (IRE)130——
Broken Time (IRE)40——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good 6 1 17% −2.50
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Curragh 2 0 0% −2.00
York 1 0 0% −1.00
Redcar 1 0 0% −1.00
Thirsk 1 0 0% −1.00
Fairyhouse 1 0 0% −1.00
Roscommon 1 1 100% +2.50
Sligo 1 0 0% −1.00
Listowel 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
6f – 7f 6 1 17% −2.50
1m – 1m1f 3 0 0% −3.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Dylan Browne McMonagle 3 1 33% +0.50
Jack Garritty 2 0 0% −2.00
Declan McDonogh 2 0 0% −2.00
Kyle McHugh 1 0 0% −1.00
J M Sheridan 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
Tongue tie 8 1 13% −4.50
None 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 7 1 14% −3.50
2025 2 0 0% −2.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
06 Sep 26+15d York Coopers Marquees Apprentice Handicap Stakes Class 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 19 ran Slow to begin - settled midfield - driven 3f out then dropped away late 18/19 ¾ 8-12 7542C56C Kyle McHugh 25/1
22 Aug 26+8d Redcar Marske Fabrications And Engineering Handicap Stakes (Marske Fabrications And Engineering Straight Mile Qualifier) Class 4 · 8f · Good · 10 ran Tracked pace early - hit front 2f out and drifted off a straight line - overtaken inside final furlong - couldn't quicken again close home 2/10 1¾ 9-5 75114A82A Jack Garritty 25/1
14 Aug 26+70d Thirsk Andrew Seaton Celebration Cup Handicap Stakes Class 4 · 7f · Good · 8 ran Held up towards the back - driven from over 2f out - never got involved with the front markers - finished sixth 6/8 ¾ 9-5 7669B73A Jack Garritty 33/1
05 Jun 26+13d Fairyhouse Fiver Fridays At Fairyhouse Rated Race 7f · Good · 6 ran Held up early - moved into 4th by halfway then pushed into 3rd inside final 2f - stayed on one-paced to finish 3rd 3/6 1¼ 9-1 77100A75B J M Sheridan 9/2
23 May 26+12d Curragh NorthStandard Handicap 7f · Good · 13 ran Held up in the pack - urged forward with over 2f left - stayed on at same rate inside the closing stages - finished 10th 10/13 shd 9-0 7878C76A Dylan Browne McMonagle 5/1
11 May 26+8d Roscommon Athlone Handicap (Div 2) 7.5f · Good · 13 ran Held up towards the back of the pack - still 11th at halfway - urged forward approaching the final two furlongs - moved into 4th inside the last - hit the front close home and stayed on strongly 1/13 9-10 68101C95A Dylan Browne McMonagle 5/2F
03 May 26+223d Sligo Tote.ie Median Auction Maiden 6.5f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran Sat close to front pack early - third at halfway - pushed along with a furlong and a half left - unable to gain over the final furlong and finished one-paced in 4th 4/8 1¼ 9-8 —119A69A Declan McDonogh 7/2
22 Sep 25+37d Listowel Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (Smullen Series) 8f · Heavy · 9 ran Up with the front group - 4th at halfway and making no inroads into the straight - faded from over 1f out to finish 6th 6/9 2¾ 9-6 —82A66A Dylan Browne McMonagle 7/1
16 Aug 25 Curragh Irish European Breeders Fund Median Sires Series Maiden 6f · Good · 19 ran Settled in the pack early - still down in 14th at halfway then urged forward to move up to third approaching 2f out - found nothing more and dropped away inside the final furlong 10/19 nk 9-6 —75C69A Declan McDonogh 7/1

Quick answers

How many races has Substance (IRE) won?
Substance (IRE) won 1 of 9 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 11.1%. Placed 2 times in total (22.2% of starts).
Who trains Substance (IRE)?
Substance (IRE) is trained by Mark Walford, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 6 September 2026.
Who is Substance (IRE)'s sire?
Substance (IRE) is by Supremacy (IRE) out of Miranda Frost (IRE), whose sire is Cape Cross.
What going does Substance (IRE) prefer?
Substance (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 6 starts (16.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Substance (IRE)'s official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 75, from the run on 6 September 2026. The highest on record is 78.
What is Substance (IRE)'s sire's record?
Supremacy (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 8.6% of 549 runs since Jan 2008 (93 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 4.7% from 148.
Who are Substance (IRE)'s siblings?
Out of Miranda Frost (IRE), Substance (IRE) has 7 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Ejtilaab (IRE) (5). Highest grade won: Listed (Eqtiraan (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–7f. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from August 2025. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.