Dylan Browne McMonagle
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 550 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.06). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (313 rides). Rides mostly for Joseph Patrick O'Brien — 53% of rides in the window.
The record is strongest at Limerick (31.4%, n=51), clear of the rider's 14.5% baseline. It is weakest at Ascot (2.7% over 75 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18.8% (n=313, Fair A/E 1.06), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 10.3% (n=478, Fair A/E 0.80). Joseph Patrick O'Brien supplies 53% of the rides and edges the rider's average (18.7% vs 14.5%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (22.8%, n=184). 65 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Goffs Million at Curragh (Sep 2024, £495,000).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 14.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2019→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 3,533 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 3,533 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 26 September 2019 to 25 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 17 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 19 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Dylan Browne McMonagle's strike rate?
- Dylan Browne McMonagle has won 401 of 2,759 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14.5% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Dylan Browne McMonagle do best at?
- Down Royal by strike rate: 15 wins from 65 rides (23.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Dylan Browne McMonagle ride most for?
- Joseph Patrick O'Brien, with 1,463 rides since 2022 — 53% of the total. That pairing has won 273 (18.7%).
- Is Dylan Browne McMonagle in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Dylan Browne McMonagle's Fair A/E?
- 1.06, from 2,754 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.