Substantial (GB)
Substantial (GB) is 3 from 9. Won last time out at York (Class 2). Last raced off a career-high mark of 83.
- 3–9Wins / Runs
- 33.3%Strike rate
- 7 (77.8%)Placed
- +6.38£1 level staken=9 at SP
- 1.35Fair A/E n=9 · 1.14 incl. margin
- 83Highest OR
- 88dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 115
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 104A | 88.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 115A | 108 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 104A | 86 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 115A | 99.5 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 9 figures from 9 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 13% of 8,322 runs since Jan 2008 (975 horses).
Weakest on heavy going: 9.3% from 454.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | +8.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 664 | 79 | 11.9% | −1.1 | — |
| Good | 1,662 | 236 | 14.2% | +1.2 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1,206 | 139 | 11.5% | −1.5 | 1 from 3 |
| Soft | 1,343 | 156 | 11.6% | −1.4 | 1 from 1 |
| Heavy | 454 | 42 | 9.3% | −3.7 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 2,977 | 429 | 14.4% | +1.4 | 1 from 4 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 413 | 53 | 12.8% | −0.2 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 3,213 | 421 | 13.1% | +0.1 | 2 from 5 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2,876 | 375 | 13% | 0 | 1 from 4 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,473 | 196 | 13.3% | +0.3 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 283 | 32 | 11.3% | −1.7 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 55 | 7 | 12.7% | −0.3 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | −1.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 22 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
6 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Fifty Sent (GB) (5 wins).
The wins came over 7f–1m3½f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Kettle Hill (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fifty Sent (GB) | 45 | 5 | 7f–1m2f | Class 6 |
| Kettle Hill (GB) | 8 | 3 | 1m–1m½f | Class 3 |
| Magical Sight (GB) | 3 | 1 | 1m3½f | Class 4 |
| Soft Cover (GB) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
| Vizija (GB) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
| Seconds Count (GB) | 11 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.12 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | +5.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.50 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.12 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +6.00 |
| Class 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 4 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.50 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.88 |
| York | 1 | 1 | 100% | +7.00 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thirsk | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.50 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 2 | 40% | +2.38 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 1 | 25% | +4.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Marquand | 4 | 1 | 25% | +0.50 |
| Cieren Fallon | 3 | 2 | 67% | +7.88 |
| Jamie Spencer | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Richard Kingscote | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 7 | 2 | 29% | +0.38 |
| Tongue tie | 2 | 1 | 50% | +6.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 6 | 3 | 50% | +9.38 |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct 22+16d | York | William Hill Autumn Mile Handicap | 1/20 | 8-7 | 83 | 91C | 104A | Cieren Fallon | 7/1 | |
| 21 Sep 22+53d | Goodwood | Heineken Optional Claiming Handicap | 2/12 | hd | 8-10 | 82 | 115A | 88A | Tom Marquand | 9/2 |
| 30 Jul 22+30d | Thirsk | William Hill Summer Cup Handicap | 9/16 | nk | 9-5 | 82 | 108C | 78A | Jamie Spencer | 9/4F |
| 30 Jun 22+37d | Haydock | Yale Handicap | 1/9 | 9-8 | 77 | 86A | 91A | Tom Marquand | 7/2C | |
| 24 May 22+20d | Newcastle (AW) | pulmangroup.co.uk Handicap | 2/7 | 4¼ | 8-11 | 77 | 80A | 82A | Tom Marquand | 8/11F |
| 04 May 22+189d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet Extra Place Offers Every Day Handicap | 1/9 | 9-5 | 71 | 97A | 92A | Cieren Fallon | 15/8F | |
| 27 Oct 21+15d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet New Instant Roulette Novice Stakes (Div 1) | 2/10 | 3 | 9-2 | — | 77A | 80A | Richard Kingscote | 13/8 |
| 12 Oct 21+347d | Newcastle (AW) | Follow MansionBet On Twitter Maiden Stakes | 3/8 | 2 | 9-5 | — | 104A | 81A | Cieren Fallon | 11/8F |
| 30 Oct 20 | Newmarket | Follow MansionBet On Instagram British EBF Novice Stakes (Plus 10) | 6/13 | ½ | 9-0 | — | 79C | 74A | Tom Marquand | 12/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Substantial (GB) won?
- Substantial (GB) won 3 of 9 archived starts between 2020 and 2022, a strike rate of 33.3%. Placed 7 times in total (77.8% of starts).
- Who trained Substantial (GB)?
- Substantial (GB) was trained by William Haggas on the most recent run on record, at York on 7 October 2022.
- Who is Substantial (GB)'s sire?
- Substantial (GB) is by Siyouni (FR) out of Sentaril (GB), whose sire is Danehill Dancer.
- What going does Substantial (GB) prefer?
- Substantial (GB) has the best record on good to soft going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Substantial (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 83, from the run on 7 October 2022. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Substantial (GB)'s sire's record?
- Siyouni (FR)'s progeny in our archive have won 13% of 8,322 runs since Jan 2008 (975 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on heavy going: 9.3% from 454.
- Who are Substantial (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Sentaril (GB), Substantial (GB) has 6 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Fifty Sent (GB) (5). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Kettle Hill (GB)). The wins came over 7f–1m3½f. As at Oct 2026.