Tom Marquand
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 830 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 15% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (699 rides).
The record is strongest at Bath (26.5%, n=49) and Brighton (26.7%, n=45) — all clear of the rider's 14.7% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20.9% (n=699, Fair A/E 1.08), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 9% (n=598, Fair A/E 1.11). William Haggas supplies 35% of the rides and beats the rider's average (21% vs 14.7%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. 136 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Royal Bahrain Irish Champion Stakes at Leopardstown (Sep 2024, £712,500). The standout partner of the record: Oh This Is Us (IRE) — 8 wins from 26 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Mar–Apr.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 14.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2014→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 10,404 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 10,404 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 14 November 2014 to 26 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 8 runs (won 2) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 11 runs (won 3) · fastest on KTB Speed in 8 runs (won 3) · to 26 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Tom Marquand's strike rate?
- Tom Marquand has won 613 of 4,161 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14.7% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Tom Marquand do best at?
- Haydock by strike rate: 39 wins from 198 rides (19.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Tom Marquand ride most for?
- William Haggas, with 1,460 rides since 2022 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 307 (21%).
- What is Tom Marquand's Fair A/E?
- 0.99, from 4,146 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.