What is Cieren Fallon's strike rate?

Cieren Fallon has won 425 of 2,829 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 15% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Cieren Fallon do best at?

Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 24 wins from 110 rides (21.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Cieren Fallon ride most for?

W J Haggas, with 784 rides since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 189 (24.1%).

Is Cieren Fallon in form?

In the last 14 days: 49 rides, 6 winners, a strike rate of 12.2%. That is in line with the baseline of 15% since 2022.

What is Cieren Fallon's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 2,805 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Cieren Fallon

2,829 rides in the last 5 seasons · 1,828 individual horses

As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2022

425–2,829

Wins / Runs

15%

Strike rate

n=2,829

995 (35%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=2,805 · 0.89 incl. margin

−402.98

£1 level stake

n=2,829 at SP · −14.2%

£7.32m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15.7%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 570 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.04). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 25% (319 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,829 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 27 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Nov Fresh horses: 15.3% 39.2% when favourite W J Haggas: 24.1% from 784 LTO winners: 25.4% Rides the favourite in 16% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Redcar (26%, n=50), Beverley (27.3%, n=33) and Salisbury (26.5%, n=34) — all clear of the rider's 15% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 25.4% (n=319, Fair A/E 1.22), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 9.4% (n=286, Fair A/E 1.26). W J Haggas supplies 28% of the rides and beats the rider's average (24.1% vs 15%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (23.9%, n=92). 25 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Betfair Sprint Cup Stakes at Haydock (Sep 2024, £234,496). The standout partner of the record: Goldmoyne (IRE) — 6 wins from 11 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

13.1%−1.9

n=1,740 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −373.14

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

25.4%+10.4

n=319 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +77.98

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

15.3%+0.3

n=451 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −59.37

When favourite

39.2%

n=439 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −9.15

Big fields · 14+ runners

9.4%−5.6

n=286 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −80.11

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

13.4%−1.6

n=164 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −35.34

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With W J Haggas 24.1% vs 15% · n=784

On last-time-out winners 25.4% vs 15% · n=319

At Redcar 26% vs 15% · n=50

At Beverley 27.3% vs 15% · n=33

At Salisbury 26.5% vs 15% · n=34

Off a 0-7-day break 23.9% vs 15% · n=92

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,099 143 13% −274.09

Good 598 97 16.2% −30.18

Good to Firm 568 90 15.8% −93.00

Soft 256 46 18% +29.77

Good to Soft 226 36 15.9% −23.78

Heavy 74 11 14.9% −12.53

Firm 8 2 25% +0.83

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 268 28 10.4% −91.96

Wolverhampton (AW) 253 32 12.6% −129.13

Lingfield (AW) 185 22 11.9% −59.96

Southwell (AW) 150 21 14% +50.33

Yarmouth 141 17 12.1% −50.01

Chelmsford City (AW) 131 16 12.2% −23.30

Newmarket 123 16 13% −7.03

Doncaster 122 16 13.1% +8.88

Newmarket 114 13 11.4% −6.25

Newcastle (AW) 110 24 21.8% −18.07

Haydock 105 19 18.1% +24.41

Nottingham 99 19 19.2% −14.89

Ascot 91 8 8.8% −37.65

Goodwood 75 14 18.7% −10.23

Windsor 67 7 10.4% −11.95

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 844 133 15.8% −212.47

Class 4 726 118 16.3% −66.51

Class 6 536 78 14.6% −36.05

Class 2 280 23 8.2% −120.17

Class 3 277 51 18.4% +69.56

Class 1 164 22 13.4% −35.34

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 496 182 36.7% 1.12 −26.82

2nd–3rd fav 846 145 17.1% 0.97 −147.16

4th–6th fav 871 76 8.7% 1.04 −82.00

7th+ in betting 616 22 3.6% 0.98 −147.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Montassib (GB) 15 5 7 30 Sep 26

Goldmoyne (IRE) 11 6 9 10 Jul 26

Beach Point (IRE) 9 1 4 30 Apr 26

Bomb Squad (IRE) 9 2 7 29 Dec 25

Sonnerie Power (FR) 8 0 3 12 Feb 25

Aphelios (GB) 8 2 5 19 Aug 23

First Instinct (GB) 7 0 2 19 Sep 26

High Degree (GB) 7 2 6 29 Aug 26

Lake Forest (GB) 7 2 3 22 Aug 26

Wiltshire (GB) 7 2 3 27 Jun 26

Eye Of The Water (IRE) 7 0 2 6 Jun 26

Another Abbot (IRE) 7 1 2 1 May 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,828 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

6 from 49 12.2% · −2.8pts vs baseline

Last 14 days12.2%

5-season base15%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

111612101716151616161914

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardW J Haggas

28% of all rides
24.1% SR · A/E 1.15

TrainerRWSR£1

W J Haggas 784 189 24.1% +71.79

James Owen 137 24 17.5% −26.51

Ian Williams 93 7 7.5% −68.25

William Knight 83 9 10.8% −15.87

Hugo Palmer 73 6 8.2% −45.29

Michael Appleby 73 8 11% −24.55

David O'Meara 54 9 16.7% +9.63

Ed Dunlop 49 6 12.2% −18.30

Tony Carroll 41 4 9.8% −7.50

Charles Hills 37 4 10.8% +34.50

John & Thady Gosden 36 7 19.4% −4.95

Roger Teal 31 3 9.7% −7.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

638

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£10.1m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 136 wins

Montassib (GB) — Betfair Sprint Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Haydock · Sep 2024 · Group 1

£234,496

Oxted (GB) — King's Stand Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Ascot · Jun 2021 · Group 1

£198,485

Oxted (GB) — Darley July Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Newmarket · Jul 2020 · Group 1

£141,775

Notable horses

Goldmoyne (IRE) Montassib (GB) Oxted (GB) Social City (GB) Extremely Zain (FR) Twilight Heir (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dark Angel (IRE) 17.4% · 15–86

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,898 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Sea The Stars (IRE) 29.8% · 25–84

Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,951 runs since 2008 (1,112 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.2% from 456. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.

Kingman (GB) 15.7% · 11–70

Progeny have won 14.5% of 7,487 runs since 2008 (775 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 961. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 16.4% · 11–67

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,175 runs since 2008 (1,103 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 957.

Kodiac (GB) 14.1% · 9–64

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,559 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Roaring Lion (USA) 20% · 12–60

Progeny have won 12.5% of 1,027 runs since 2008 (83 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.5% from 117.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,506 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,506 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 31 August 2018 to 26 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Extremely Zain (FR)T: W J Haggas Prix de Seine-et-Oise (Group 3)1 · 6f · Heavy · 18 ran 4th 5/2

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Royally (IRE)T: Christopher Head Criterium De VitesseClass 1 · 5.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 6th 28/1

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Poppy Foxy (IRE)T: Charlie Clover Darley Prix Des Reservoirs (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Heavy · 6 ran 4th 11/1

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Coral Cove (FR)T: James Owen Prix IsonomyClass 1 · 9f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 9/1

25 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Pierian (GB)T: William Haggas Prix Belle de NuitClass 1 · 14f · Soft · 13 ran 10th 14/1

25 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Crown Of Oaks (GB)T: William Haggas Prix Perth (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 100/30

25 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Hoseki (IRE)T: William Haggas Prix de FloreClass 1 · 10.5f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 3/1

24 Oct 26 Doncaster Crown Office (GB)T: William Haggas Rfj And Bee Jays Electrical Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Heavy · 13 ran 12th 5/2F

24 Oct 26 Doncaster City Of Delight (USA)T: David Menuisier William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 10f · Heavy · 14 ran 2nd 20/1

24 Oct 26 Doncaster Rogue Jewel (IRE)T: Edward Bethell William Hill Remembering Sue Wright Prospect Stakes (registered As The Doncaster Stakes) (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Heavy · 7 ran 5th 18/1

24 Oct 26 Doncaster Ancient State (IRE)T: Adam Kirby Richard James Hone Memorial Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Heavy · 10 ran 2nd 9/2

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Fans Favourite (GB)T: Hugo Palmer William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Heavy · 18 ran 18th 14/1

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Kodi Lion (IRE)T: Michael Appleby William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Soft · 15 ran 7th 16/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Desert Treasure (GB)T: William Haggas Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 14/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Acclamique (GB)T: William Haggas Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 5/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) If I Could Dream (GB)T: Stephen Hanlon All-Weather Championship Is Back Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 50/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mao Shang Wong (IRE)T: David O'Meara Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 9/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Rubellite (IRE)T: Stephen Hanlon Midnite: Built For 2027 Not 2007 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 17/2

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Viking Glory (IRE)T: James Owen Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 1st 9/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Elvetham (IRE)T: Conrad Allen Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 9th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Cieren Fallon's strike rate?: Cieren Fallon has won 425 of 2,829 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 15% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Cieren Fallon do best at?: Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 24 wins from 110 rides (21.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Cieren Fallon ride most for?: W J Haggas, with 784 rides since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 189 (24.1%).
Is Cieren Fallon in form?: In the last 14 days: 49 rides, 6 winners, a strike rate of 12.2%. That is in line with the baseline of 15% since 2022.
What is Cieren Fallon's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 2,805 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.