Substitute (IRE)
Substitute (IRE) won two of eight starts, both over 6f – 7f, one on good ground at Ripon in May 2024 and one in a Class 5 handicap on standard going at Newcastle (AW) in Oct 2024 off an official rating of 76. The filly was beaten on her final three starts, including when last of five off a mark of 81 at Brighton in Apr 2025. She raced once over 1m and once over 1m2f – 1m4f without success.
- 2–8Wins / Runs
- 25%Strike rate
- 2 (25%)Placed
- +22.00£1 level staken=8 at SP
- 2.28Fair A/E n=8 · 2.04 incl. margin
- 81Highest OR
- 49dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 99
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 3 | 95C | 64 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 99A | 97.5 | — |
| Good | 2 | 91A | 79 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 6 | 96A | 71 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 8 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 5 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Prominent 4 (80%) · 1 win
- Held up 1 (20%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 8.8% of 4,227 runs since Jan 2008 (353 horses).
Weakest on heavy going: 2.5% from 121. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 36 | 2 | 5.6% | −3.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 707 | 74 | 10.5% | +1.7 | 0 from 3 |
| Good | 1,077 | 96 | 8.9% | +0.1 | 1 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 428 | 29 | 6.8% | −2 | — |
| Soft | 484 | 43 | 8.9% | +0.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 121 | 3 | 2.5% | −6.3 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,374 | 125 | 9.1% | +0.3 | 1 from 2 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 1,529 | 176 | 11.5% | +2.7 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 2,094 | 158 | 7.5% | −1.3 | 2 from 6 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 431 | 35 | 8.1% | −0.7 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 124 | 3 | 2.4% | −6.4 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 37 | 0 | 0% | −8.8 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 11 | 0 | 0% | −8.8 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −8.8 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 22 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Have Secret (IRE) (5 wins).
The wins came over 7f–1m2f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Have Secret (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Have Secret (IRE) | 44 | 5 | 7f–1m2f | Class 2 |
| Roman Secret (IRE) | 29 | 3 | 1m½f–1m2f | Class 5 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +13.00 |
| Good | 2 | 1 | 50% | +13.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +13.00 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +13.00 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ripon | 2 | 1 | 50% | +13.00 |
| Brighton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +14.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 6 | 2 | 33% | +24.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Fanning | 4 | 1 | 25% | +11.00 |
| Archie Young | 2 | 1 | 50% | +13.00 |
| Sean D Bowen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Oisin Murphy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2024 | 6 | 2 | 33% | +24.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr 25+60d | Brighton | British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Handicap Settled off the front group early - eased over to the right approaching 3f out and made ground before 2f out - flattened out with no real threat inside the final furlong to finish fifth | 5/5 | 1½ | 8-11 | 81 | 95C | 62B | Sean D Bowen | 10/1 |
| 28 Feb 25+122d | Southwell (AW) | Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap Hesitant break - trailed the field early - urged on with over 2f left - stayed on late but couldn't close from the final furlong - finished 4th | 4/6 | 1½ | 9-2 | 81 | 99A | 78B | Archie Young | 16/1 |
| 29 Oct 24+47d | Newcastle (AW) | Win 1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Nursery Handy early - hit front two out - opened daylight approaching last furlong - drifted left and margin shortened - stayed on to prevail | 1/10 | 9-5 | 76 | 96A | 86A | Archie Young | 14/1 | |
| 12 Sep 24+42d | Doncaster | British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Nursery Tracked pace on far portion of field - pressed for effort then dropped away in closing stages - finished 12th | 12/15 | 1½ | 8-12 | 78 | 67C | 55A | Joe Fanning | 20/1 |
| 01 Aug 24+41d | Goodwood | Jaeger-LeCoultre Nursery Sat close to the pace holding a wide position - pushed along with a furlong remaining - lost ground approaching the line - finished sixth | 6/16 | 1¼ | 8-12 | 79 | 64C | 81A | Joe Fanning | 33/1 |
| 21 Jun 24+22d | Ascot | Albany Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) | 10/16 | ½ | 9-2 | — | 55C | 65A | Oisin Murphy | 50/1 |
| 30 May 24+11d | Ripon | British Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 3/5 | 1½ | 9-9 | — | 75C | 77B | Joe Fanning | 4/6F |
| 19 May 24 | Ripon | Hammond Associates Celebrating Yorkshire Wooden Spoon EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 1/7 | 9-2 | — | 91A | 95A | Joe Fanning | 14/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Substitute (IRE) won?
- Substitute (IRE) won 2 of 8 archived starts between 2024 and 2025, a strike rate of 25%. Placed 2 times in total (25% of starts).
- Who trained Substitute (IRE)?
- Substitute (IRE) was trained by Charlie Johnston on the most recent run on record, at Brighton on 29 April 2025.
- Who is Substitute (IRE)'s sire?
- Substitute (IRE) is by Bungle Inthejungle (GB) out of Secret Existence (IRE), whose sire is Sakhee's Secret.
- What is Substitute (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 81, from the run on 29 April 2025. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Substitute (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Bungle Inthejungle (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 8.8% of 4,227 runs since Jan 2008 (353 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on heavy going: 2.5% from 121. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.
- Who are Substitute (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Secret Existence (IRE), Substitute (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Have Secret (IRE) (5). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Have Secret (IRE)). The wins came over 7f–1m2f. As at Oct 2026.