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Horse profile

Taking A Chance (IRE)

6yo mare (at last run, Apr 2019) · Last trainer Ian Williams · Last owner Ian Williams Racing Club
by Flemensfirth (USA) out of Northern Mill (IRE) (Distinctly North)
8 runs · 5 courses · from Dec 2017
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 13 Apr 2019 — 2,755 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Apr 2019 Last raced off OR 94
KTB Profile

Taking A Chance (IRE) is yet to win from 8 starts, though has placed twice. Best effort: 3rd of 12 at Ludlow (Jan 2019). Last raced off 94, 8lb below the career-high mark.

Based on 8 archived runs · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 119 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Warwick, 22 Feb 2019

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Jumps 5 figures · best 119B · median 56
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 28 Oct 2025
Heavy256C47—
Soft291A65.5—
Good1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 28 Oct 2025
1m5f – 2m491A48—
Over 3m1———

Of 8 runs looked at, 3 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (2) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 8 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 106A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Warwick, 22 Feb 2019 Official rating 94 at the last run, 13 Apr 2019

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 6 figures · best 106A · median 99.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 28 Oct 2025
Heavy297A91.5—
Soft2105A94.5—
Good1———
Good to Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 28 Oct 2025
1m5f – 2m4105A91.5—
Over 3m1———
2m5f – 3m1———

Of 8 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (or a non-runner row) (2).

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 8 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Flemensfirth (USA)

Progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 17,282 runs since Jan 2008 (1,594 horses).

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm3800%−11.9—
Good to Firm522509.6%−2.3—
Good4,05444210.9%−10 from 2
Good to Soft2,93335412.1%+0.20 from 1
Soft5,87675112.8%+0.90 from 3
Heavy3,81744911.8%−0.10 from 2
Standard (AW)4224.8%−7.1—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
1m – 1m1f200%−11.9—
1m2f – 1m4f2514%−7.9—
1m5f – 2m4,48454712.2%+0.30 from 5
2m1f – 2m4f6,08172411.9%0—
2m5f – 3m5,25862311.8%−0.10 from 2
Over 3m1,43215310.7%−1.20 from 1

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Northern Mill (IRE) (Distinctly North)

4 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Basilisk (IRE)20——
Ma Cranky (IRE)10——
Millfirth (IRE)10——
Sweet Colleen (IRE)40——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Good 2 0 0% −2.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 4 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Warwick 3 0 0% −3.00
Ludlow 2 0 0% −2.00
Bangor-on-Dee 1 0 0% −1.00
Uttoxeter 1 0 0% −1.00
Wetherby 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
1m5f – 2m 5 0 0% −5.00
2m5f – 3m 2 0 0% −2.00
Over 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Charlie Todd 3 0 0% −3.00
Robert Dunne 3 0 0% −3.00
William Kennedy 2 0 0% −2.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2019 3 0 0% −3.00
2018 4 0 0% −4.00
2017 1 0 0% −1.00

TypeRunsWinsSR£1
Hurdle 7 0 0% −7.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2019 · 3 runs
13 Apr 19+50d Bangor-on-Dee Gaskells Waste Services Novices' Handicap Chase Class 4 · 24f · Good · 14 ran F/14 — 10-11 94—— Charlie Todd 7/1
22 Feb 19+25d Warwick racingtv.com Hands And Heels Handicap Hurdle (Conditionals And Amateurs) Class 5 · 26f · Good · 16 ran 4/16 ½ 11-6 96119B106A Charlie Todd 15/2
28 Jan 19+38d Ludlow A.J.A Amateur Riders' Handicap Hurdle Class 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3/12 11 10-6 97—102A Charlie Todd 7/1
2018 · 4 runs
21 Dec 18+268d Uttoxeter June Taylor Memorial Novices' Handicap Hurdle Class 5 · 16f · Heavy · 9 ran 6/9 10 12-0 10238A97A William Kennedy 8/1
28 Mar 18+17d Warwick Best Odds Guaranteed At 188bet Novices' Hurdle Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 8 ran 5/8 2½ 10-7 —40C84C Robert Dunne 20/1
11 Mar 18+60d Warwick Newark Livestock Market Novices' Hurdle Class 4 · 16f · Heavy · 14 ran 10/14 2½ 10-8 —56C86C Robert Dunne 10/1
10 Jan 18+14d Ludlow Racing UK Maiden Hurdle (Div 2) Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran 5/12 hd 10-12 —91A105A Robert Dunne 66/1
2017 · 1 run
27 Dec 17 Wetherby Read Noel Fehily At 188bet Novices' Hurdle Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran PU/12 — 10-5 ——— William Kennedy 14/1

Quick answers

How many races has Taking A Chance won?
Taking A Chance (IRE) has yet to win, from 8 archived starts between 2017 and 2019. Placed 2 times in total (25% of starts).
Who trained Taking A Chance?
Taking A Chance (IRE) was trained by Ian Williams on the most recent run on record, at Bangor-on-Dee on 13 April 2019.
Who is Taking A Chance's sire?
Taking A Chance (IRE) is by Flemensfirth (USA) out of Northern Mill (IRE), whose sire is Distinctly North.
What is Taking A Chance's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 94, from the run on 13 April 2019. The highest on record is 102.
What is Taking A Chance's sire's record?
Flemensfirth (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 17,282 runs since Jan 2008 (1,594 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Taking A Chance's siblings?
Out of Northern Mill (IRE), Taking A Chance (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from December 2017. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.