What is Charlie Todd's strike rate?

Charlie Todd has won 61 of 831 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Charlie Todd do best at?

Market Rasen by strike rate: 8 wins from 55 rides (14.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Charlie Todd ride most for?

Ian Williams, with 333 rides since 2022 — 40% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (7.5%).

Is Charlie Todd in form?

In the last 14 days: 15 rides, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 7.3% since 2022.

What is Charlie Todd's Fair A/E?

0.85, from 829 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Charlie Todd

831 rides in the last 5 seasons · 389 individual horses

As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 97% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2022

61–831

Wins / Runs

7.3%

Strike rate

n=831

185 (22%)

Placed

0.85

Fair A/E

n=829 · 0.74 incl. margin

−174.49

£1 level stake

n=831 at SP · −21.0%

£1.01m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 170 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.85). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (53 rides). Rides mostly for Ian Williams — 40% of rides in the window. The rider is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 831 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 10 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr 33.3% when favourite Ian Williams: 7.5% from 333 LTO winners: 17% Claiming: 14.3% Rides the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Market Rasen (14.5%, n=55), clear of the rider's 7.3% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17% (n=53, Fair A/E 0.97), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.2% (n=190, Fair A/E 0.65). Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 0 from 15 rides in the last 14 days (0%, 7.3pts below the 7.3% baseline). Ian Williams supplies 40% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7.5%, A/E 0.78). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the bet365 Handicap Hurdle at Uttoxeter (Mar 2024, £51,440). The standout partner of the record: Tide Times (IRE) — 5 wins from 27 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.1%−0.2

n=352 · A/E 1.06 · £1 +41.02

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

17%+9.7

n=53 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −18.29

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.2%−3.1

n=190 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −102.38

When favourite

33.3%

n=48 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +0.37

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

14.3%+7.0

n=63 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −28.27

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.4%−0.9

n=109 · A/E 1.45 · £1 −54.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.1%+3.8

n=27 · A/E 1.66 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 17% vs 7.3% · n=53

With Sam Allwood 0% vs 7.3% · n=81

When claiming 14.3% vs 7.3% · n=63

At Market Rasen 14.5% vs 7.3% · n=55

With first-time headgear 15.6% vs 7.3% · n=32

With C&D winners 14.6% vs 7.3% · n=48

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 481 34 7.1% −33.00

Chase 272 22 8.1% −107.49

NH Flat 57 3 5.3% −29.00

Flat 21 2 9.5% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 396 34 8.6% −12.90

Good to Soft 234 11 4.7% −91.07

Soft 157 12 7.6% −68.02

Heavy 26 1 3.8% −19.50

Good to Firm 16 2 12.5% +0.00

Standard (AW) 2 1 50% +17.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell 81 4 4.9% −53.50

Uttoxeter 62 6 9.7% −16.15

Market Rasen 55 8 14.5% +18.31

Warwick 53 4 7.5% −26.62

Huntingdon 53 2 3.8% +152.00

Doncaster 44 2 4.5% −36.38

Worcester 43 3 7% −27.67

Ludlow 39 5 12.8% −18.17

Bangor-on-Dee 38 1 2.6% −27.00

Stratford 31 2 6.5% −17.00

Chepstow 27 3 11.1% +26.00

Hereford 22 0 0% −22.00

Wetherby 19 1 5.3% −14.67

Fakenham 16 3 18.8% −5.65

Wincanton 15 2 13.3% −5.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 372 22 5.9% +31.60

Class 5 270 23 8.5% −121.29

Class 3 93 8 8.6% −55.30

Class 2 53 2 3.8% −40.00

Class 1 38 5 13.2% +6.50

Class 6 3 1 33.3% +6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 58 17 29.3% 0.98 −5.30

2nd–3rd fav 144 22 15.3% 0.89 −35.69

4th–6th fav 297 16 5.4% 0.76 −136.50

7th+ in betting 332 6 1.8% 0.72 +3.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.1% completed · 753 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 272 79% 6 3 47 0 1

Hurdle 481 82.3% 11 5 68 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mary (IRE) 22 1 7 29 Sep 26

Tide Times (IRE) 21 4 8 6 May 25

Party Business (IRE) 20 1 2 29 Aug 25

Galway Reel (IRE) 14 1 5 4 Dec 25

Garitsa Bay (IRE) 12 2 3 11 May 25

Catch Catchfire (GB) 11 2 4 14 Mar 26

Callin Baton Rouge (IRE) 10 1 3 9 Jun 26

Kings Justice (GB) 10 0 2 17 May 25

One More Fleurie (IRE) 9 0 1 29 Dec 23

Two To Tango (GB) 8 1 5 4 Nov 26

Kayce Dutton (IRE) 8 1 4 24 May 26

Minella Choice (IRE) 8 0 2 11 Jun 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 389 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

0 from 15 0% · −7.3pts vs baseline

Last 14 days0%

5-season base7.3%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

44129711102011457

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardIan Williams

40% of all rides
7.5% SR · A/E 0.78

TrainerRWSR£1

Ian Williams 333 25 7.5% −184.57

Dan Skelton 151 14 9.3% −19.05

Charles & Adam Pogson 84 7 8.3% −40.77

Sam Allwood 81 0 0% −81.00

Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero 36 3 8.3% −12.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

127

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.53m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 35 wins

Gwennie May Boy (IRE) — bet365 Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Uttoxeter · Mar 2024 · Class 2

£51,440

Heltenham (FR) — BetVictor Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Newbury · Feb 2026 · Class 1

£45,560

Gwennie May Boy (IRE) — William Hill Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2024 · Class 1

£42,203

Notable horses

Tide Times (IRE) One More Fleurie (IRE) Sheneededtherun (IRE) Hydroplane (IRE) Malakahna (FR) Psychedelic Rock (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Walk In The Park (IRE) 6.3% · 2–32

Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,075 runs since 2011 (711 horses).

Getaway (GER) 6.7% · 2–30

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,017 runs since 2016 (1,033 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Shantou (USA) 10.3% · 3–29

Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,843 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.

Yeats (IRE) 3.6% · 1–28

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,853 runs since 2013 (708 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Ocovango (GB) 8.3% · 2–24

Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,020 runs since 2019 (308 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.8% from 196.

Mahler (GB) 13% · 3–23

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,892 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,408 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,408 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 October 2017 to 9 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Nov 26 Stratford Thunder Thief (IRE)T: Dan Skelton Stratford Extra Raceday 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 80/1

07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Bella Decree (GB)T: Emma Lavelle Download The Matchbook App Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 5th 12/1

07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter King's Threshold (IRE)T: Emma Lavelle Matchbook Loves Racing Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 24f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 8/1

07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Rehill Relic (IRE)T: Sam Allwood Bet £20 Get £40 In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 33/1

07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Cool Ocean (IRE)T: Sam Allwood Matchbook Signup Get 20% Back On Losses Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 12th 300/1

06 Nov 26 Fontwell Wet Sail (GB)T: Dan Skelton KSR Lighting Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good · 10 ran 9th 250/1

05 Nov 26 Newbury Cheerio For Now (GB)T: Emma Lavelle BetVictor Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 28/1

05 Nov 26 Newbury Military Air (GB)T: Michael Blake CSP Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 250/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Two To Tango (GB)T: Emma Lavelle DragonBet Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 13/2

03 Nov 26 Lingfield Ballyboy Prince (FR)T: Dan Skelton John Marshall 80th Birthday Celebration Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 6th 12/1

02 Nov 26 Southwell Ricky Roma (GB)T: Dan Skelton Winter Ladies Night Saturday 27th November 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 14 ran PU 80/1

01 Nov 26 Carlisle Listentoyourheart (IRE)T: Dan Skelton Pricedup Bog From 10am Castletown Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 16/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Indemnity (IRE)T: Emma Lavelle Lavazza Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 2nd 28/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Shakeyatailfeather (IRE)T: Dan Skelton Sodexo Live! Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 16/1

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Muskoka (IRE)T: Emma Lavelle Walters Group Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 25.5f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 12/1

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Finn Lough (IRE)T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero Overton Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 8th 28/1

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Jimmy Jazz (GB)T: Dan Skelton Jodie Standing's Point-To-Point Recruits Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good · 11 ran PU 200/1

26 Oct 26 Hereford Stepanov (IRE)T: Emma Lavelle BETTING.BET Play Champion Tipster Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (Div II) (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 4th 7/1

24 Oct 26 Kelso Mumford's Magic (IRE)T: Dan Skelton Edinburgh Gin Steeple Chase (a Limited Handicap) (gbb Race)Class 2 · 26f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 9/2

22 Oct 26 Ffos Las Thunder Thief (IRE)T: Dan Skelton bettingsites.co.uk Instant Withdrawal Novices' Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran PU 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 0) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Charlie Todd's strike rate?: Charlie Todd has won 61 of 831 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Charlie Todd do best at?: Market Rasen by strike rate: 8 wins from 55 rides (14.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Charlie Todd ride most for?: Ian Williams, with 333 rides since 2022 — 40% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (7.5%).
Is Charlie Todd in form?: In the last 14 days: 15 rides, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 7.3% since 2022.
What is Charlie Todd's Fair A/E?: 0.85, from 829 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.