What is Ian Williams's strike rate?

Ian Williams has won 339 of 3,402 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ian Williams do best at?

Epsom by strike rate: 10 wins from 70 runners (14.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ian Williams?

Charlie Todd, with 333 runners since 2022 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (7.5%).

Is Ian Williams in form?

In the last 14 days: 22 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 10% since 2022.

What is Ian Williams's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 3,386 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ian Williams

3,402 runners in the last 5 seasons · 293 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 11.8% of 875 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 21 Oct 2026.

Last runner 2 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

339–3,402

Wins / Runs

10%

Strike rate

n=3,402

927 (27%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=3,386 · 0.82 incl. margin

−1,101.23

£1 level stake

n=3,402 at SP · −32.4%

£5.89m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 680 runners a season, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.95). The yard is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 3,402 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 33% when favourite Charlie Todd: 7.5% from 333 Claiming riders: 11.2% Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

It is weakest at Nottingham (1.2% over 83 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 2.6% (n=76, Fair A/E 0.71). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.66 and −218.25 to a £1 stake over 473 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 0 from 22 runners in the last 14 days (0%, 10pts below the 10% baseline). Charlie Todd rides 10% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (7.5% vs 10%, A/E 0.78). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (21.2%, n=274). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.1% over 191 runners, 7.9pts below the baseline. 14 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the 188bet Chester Cup Handicap at Chester (May 2018, £92,385). The stable star of the record: Beauzon (GB) — 13 wins from 56 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.8%−6.2

n=473 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −218.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.4%−4.6

n=149 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −23.95

Debutants · first career start

2.6%−7.4

n=76 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −50.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.3%−2.7

n=96 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −30.14

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.3%−2.7

n=219 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −100.67

When favourite

33%

n=358 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −16.48

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.2%+1.2

n=699 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −263.82

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7%−3.0

n=43 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −15.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 20.9% vs 10% · n=339

Off a 0-7-day break 21.2% vs 10% · n=274

With C&D winners 18.2% vs 10% · n=347

With Billy Loughnane 18.7% vs 10% · n=203

Off a break of 180+ days 2.1% vs 10% · n=191

At Nottingham 1.2% vs 10% · n=83

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,911 298 10.2% −853.83

Hurdle 307 21 6.8% −176.83

Chase 141 16 11.3% −57.89

NH Flat 43 4 9.3% −12.68

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,371 151 11% −453.48

Good 868 90 10.4% −216.84

Good to Firm 478 52 10.9% −111.63

Good to Soft 392 27 6.9% −197.67

Soft 251 17 6.8% −109.94

Heavy 39 2 5.1% −8.67

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 449 59 13.1% −78.61

Southwell (AW) 246 28 11.4% −41.59

Kempton (AW) 225 14 6.2% −123.01

Chester 212 16 7.5% −44.50

Newcastle (AW) 155 15 9.7% −102.08

Lingfield (AW) 150 16 10.7% −55.01

Chelmsford City (AW) 143 17 11.9% −55.81

Ascot 115 7 6.1% −49.87

Doncaster 114 12 10.5% −58.22

Haydock 92 5 5.4% −48.00

Newbury 89 10 11.2% −18.95

Leicester 84 7 8.3% −40.25

Nottingham 83 1 1.2% −75.50

York 76 7 9.2% +0.83

Epsom 70 10 14.3% −2.67

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 865 65 7.5% −411.36

Class 5 825 108 13.1% −123.89

Class 6 746 101 13.5% −218.52

Class 2 537 25 4.7% −264.50

Class 3 371 35 9.4% −64.71

Class 1 47 3 6.4% −19.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 408 128 31.4% 1.06 −25.52

2nd–3rd fav 678 104 15.3% 0.92 −121.21

4th–6th fav 1,017 80 7.9% 0.97 −221.50

7th+ in betting 1,299 27 2.1% 0.66 −733.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Beauzon (GB)from David O'Meara 56 13 18 17 Oct 26

Mr Trick (IRE)from Richard Hannon 51 3 14 12 Jan 26

Night On Earth (IRE)from Michael Appleby 50 6 15 24 Oct 25

Mokaatil (GB)from Owen Burrows 49 6 16 2 Dec 24

Haliphon (GB)from F-H Graffard 48 3 12 5 Feb 26

Tribal Wisdom (IRE)from Charlie Appleby 46 6 13 30 Mar 26

Dream Harder (IRE)from Jamie Osborne · then Mark Loughnane 45 6 15 29 Nov 25

Buxted Too (GB) 44 9 12 15 Oct 25

Beylerbeyi (GB)from Patrick Morris 42 8 22 10 Oct 26

Simiyann (IRE)from F-H Graffard · then Mike Sowersby 42 4 8 27 Aug 26

Just Typical (GB) 40 6 15 1 Oct 26

Oneforthegutter (GB) 40 3 11 27 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 293 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 19 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 41 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from F-H Graffard (4) and Charlie Appleby (3); 19 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Olly Murphy (2); 51 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

0 from 22 0% · −10.0pts vs baseline

Last 14 days0%

5-season base10%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

131210898121281188

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderCharlie Todd

10% of all rides
7.5% SR · A/E 0.78

RiderRWSR£1

Charlie Todd 333 25 7.5% −184.57

Ryan Kavanagh 280 36 12.9% −113.16

Richard Kingscote 205 16 7.8% −90.84

Billy Loughnane 203 38 18.7% −46.36

David Egan 140 7 5% −91.67

Charles Bishop 115 14 12.2% −9.55

Ben Sanderson 112 10 8.9% −53.76

Edward Greatrex 109 14 12.8% −3.97

Cieren Fallon 93 7 7.5% −68.25

Luke Morris 88 5 5.7% −47.50

Kieran O'Neill 87 12 13.8% −1.12

Dougie Costello 82 4 4.9% −32.65

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,386

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£16.1m

Prize money

2018

Best season · 102 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Magic Circle (IRE) — 188bet Chester Cup Handicap Chester · May 2018 · Class 2

£92,385

Beylerbeyi (GB) — Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) Newmarket · Oct 2025 · Class 2

£90,195

Bulwark (IRE) — totesport.com Chester Cup Heritage Handicap Chester · May 2008 · Class 2

£74,772

Notable horses

Beauzon (GB) Mokaatil (GB) Byron Flyer (GB) Boy In The Bar (GB) Buxted Too (GB) Lucky's Dream (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Muhaarar (GB) 10.8% · 15–139

Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,785 runs since 2008 (412 horses).

Frankel (GB) 8.2% · 9–110

Progeny have won 18% of 7,499 runs since 2008 (875 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.3% from 324. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.4% from 267.

Kodiac (GB) 8.6% · 9–105

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,538 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Australia (GB) 8.9% · 9–101

Progeny have won 11.2% of 5,639 runs since 2008 (563 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 13.2% · 10–76

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,817 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.

Churchill (IRE) 9.3% · 7–75

Progeny have won 11% of 4,788 runs since 2008 (459 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 12,282 · newest first

The latest 50 of 12,282 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Symphony's Song (GB)J: Billy Loughnane bettingsites.co.uk Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 17/2

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Artagnan (IRE)J: Robert Havlin Cavani Best Dressed Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 18/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Call Glory (IRE)J: Ryan Kavanagh bettingsites.co.uk Compare Before You Bet Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 12/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Beauzon (GB)J: Ryan Kavanagh Saturday 24th October Gents Night Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 150/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Jodhpur Blue (FR)J: Ryan Kavanagh Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 17/2

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Lyric (IRE)J: Cieren Fallon Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 12th 50/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Be Frank (GB)J: Billy Loughnane Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 4th 9/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Harvey (FR)J: Clifford Lee Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 11th 50/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Law Of Design (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan Christmas Parties At Leicester Racecourse Book Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 11/4

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Newtown Duke (IRE)J: Jack Callan Aks Skip Hire Services Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 7/1

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Supido (FR)J: Clifford Lee Inkerman London Handicap StakesClass 2 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 3rd 20/1

10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Chilly Breeze (GB)J: Ryan Kavanagh Erdinger Weissbier Stein Selling Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 12/1

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Jaytee (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Dragonbet John Ayres Memorial Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 8th 50/1

10 Oct 26 Newmarket Vaguely Royal (IRE)J: Ethan Tindall Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 18f · Good · 29 ran 13th 150/1

10 Oct 26 Newmarket Beylerbeyi (GB)J: Billy Loughnane Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 18f · Good · 29 ran 7th 8/1

10 Oct 26 York Aqua Bear (IRE)J: David Probert Sky Bet Peter Nolan Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 20 ran 19th 66/1

10 Oct 26 York Ganodin (FR)J: P. J. McDonald Sky Bet Peter Nolan Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 20 ran 18th 100/1

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Valpovo (GB)J: Kielan Woods Dragonbet Best Odds Guaranteed Juvenile Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 8/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Gallant Lion (GB)J: Ryan Kavanagh Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 6th 11/1

09 Oct 26 York Baltic Fleet (IRE)J: Jason Watson William Hill Finale Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 2 · 14f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ian Williams's strike rate?: Ian Williams has won 339 of 3,402 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ian Williams do best at?: Epsom by strike rate: 10 wins from 70 runners (14.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ian Williams?: Charlie Todd, with 333 runners since 2022 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (7.5%).
Is Ian Williams in form?: In the last 14 days: 22 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 10% since 2022.
What is Ian Williams's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 3,386 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.