The Expensive One (IRE)
The Expensive One is 2 from 8 on turf, both wins at Class 4. Each win came on a first visit to the course, at 2m1f – 2m4f on good at Stratford in Oct 2025 and on soft at Newton Abbot in Sep 2024. He has raced off an official rating of 109 at his last run, when sixth of eight at Ludlow in Feb 2026. He has never won at 1m5f – 2m or 2m5f – 3m.
- 2–8Wins / Runs
- 25%Strike rate
- 4 (50%)Placed
- −4.13£1 level staken=8 at SP
- 1.07Fair A/E n=8 · 0.92 incl. margin
- 111Highest OR
- 108dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 100
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 4 | 105A | 95 | 2 runs · 100 / 82 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 105A | 80 | 1 run · — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 8 runs looked at, 3 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (2) · did not complete (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 8 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 7 analysed runs since Sep 2024
- Prominent 4 (57%) · 0 wins
- Led 3 (43%) · 2 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 13.4% of 1,093 runs since Jan 2008 (139 horses).
Strongest on heavy going: 17% from 100. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 7.1% from 126. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 16.9% from 243. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 59 | 10 | 16.9% | +3.5 | — |
| Good | 335 | 48 | 14.3% | +0.9 | 1 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 181 | 27 | 14.9% | +1.5 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 292 | 35 | 12% | −1.4 | 1 from 4 |
| Heavy | 100 | 17 | 17% | +3.6 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 126 | 9 | 7.1% | −6.3 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −13.4 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 68 | 7 | 10.3% | −3.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 121 | 11 | 9.1% | −4.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 259 | 28 | 10.8% | −2.6 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 321 | 50 | 15.6% | +2.2 | 0 from 4 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 243 | 41 | 16.9% | +3.5 | 2 from 3 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 72 | 9 | 12.5% | −0.9 | 0 from 1 |
| Over 3m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −13.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
7 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them The New One (IRE) (20 wins).
The wins came over 1m6f–3m2f; the highest grade won is Grade 1 (The New One (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The New One (IRE) | 40 | 20 | 1m6f–2m5f | Grade 1 |
| The Newest One (IRE) | 37 | 4 | 2m7½f–3m2f | Class 3 |
| Shimmer's Rock (IRE) | 14 | 2 | 2m–2m1f | — |
| Le Nouveau (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| The Happy Chapati (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
| Josie Alice (IRE) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
| Bidentime (IRE) | 16 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.38 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.25 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 6 | 2 | 33% | −2.13 |
| Class 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ludlow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Stratford | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.25 |
| Worcester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fakenham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newton Abbot | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.62 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 2 | 67% | +0.87 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 5 | 1 | 20% | −3.38 |
| James Turner | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Nico de Boinville | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.25 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2025 | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.75 |
| 2024 | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.38 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 6 | 1 | 17% | −3.75 |
| NH Flat | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.38 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 18 Feb 26+96d | Ludlow | Suzuki King Quad Handicap Hurdle Settled close to the pace early - still in touch three out - lost ground approaching two out - dropped away after the last to finish sixth | 6/8 | 1¼ | 11-7 | 109 | 100A | 111A | Sam Twiston-Davies | 13/2 |
| 2025 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 14 Nov 25+21d | Cheltenham | Valda Energy Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Settled close to the front - shared the running from the 5th before a mistake let the front-runner past 3 out - lost touch under pressure approaching the last and beaten a long way home in 10th | 10/15 | 6½ | 11-1 | 111 | 64B | 97A | Sam Twiston-Davies | 20/1 |
| 24 Oct 25+18d | Cheltenham | William Hill Each Way Extra Handicap Hurdle Set the pace and opened a big advantage before the 4th - margin shortened soon after - blundered on touchdown three out losing a stirrup and was pulled up before the following fence | PU/20 | — | 9-11 | 111 | — | — | James Turner | 12/1 |
| 06 Oct 25+21d | Stratford | DragonBet Born From The Betting Ring Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Set the pace from the off - driven along at the home turn - challenged strongly inside the final furlong before shaking off the pressure - stayed on strongly to win | 1/6 | 11-13 | 106 | — | 120B | Nico de Boinville | 5/4F | |
| 15 Sep 25+332d | Worcester | BetWright Bangers N'Cash Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1) Tracked leading group early - hit front 3 out - drew level 2 out under urging - lost front spot by a whisker at the last then kept battling to the line for second | 2/14 | ¾ | 11-4 | — | 80B | 125A | Sam Twiston-Davies | 8/11F |
| 2024 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 18 Oct 24+39d | Fakenham | 130,000 Prize Money At Fakenham 1st January Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Sat handy behind front group early - hampered at the first - promoted into third - briefly disputed lead approaching two out before dropping away - kept plodding on for third | 3/8 | 4¼ | 10-8 | — | — | 98B | James Turner | 11/2 |
| 09 Sep 24+230d | Newton Abbot | newtonabbotracing.com Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) Went to front early - hit a rough spot at the bend on final loop - driven approaching 2f out - drawn level with a furlong left after slight bump - overtaken inside the last - unable to find more but promoted to first | 1/3 | 11-0 | — | 90C | 112C | Sam Twiston-Davies | 8/13F | |
| 23 Jan 24 | Newbury | Ricky Green Music Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) | 6/10 | 9½ | 10-3 | — | 105A | 93A | Sam Twiston-Davies | 13/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has The Expensive One won?
- The Expensive One (IRE) won 2 of 8 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 25%. Placed 4 times in total (50% of starts).
- Who trains The Expensive One?
- The Expensive One (IRE) is trained by Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 18 February 2026.
- Who is The Expensive One's sire?
- The Expensive One (IRE) is by Harzand (IRE) out of Thuringe (FR), whose sire is Turgeon.
- What going does The Expensive One prefer?
- The Expensive One (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is The Expensive One's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 109, from the run on 18 February 2026. The highest on record is 111.
- What is The Expensive One's sire's record?
- Harzand (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.4% of 1,093 runs since Jan 2008 (139 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on heavy going: 17% from 100. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 7.1% from 126. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 16.9% from 243. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.
- Who are The Expensive One's siblings?
- Out of Thuringe (FR), The Expensive One (IRE) has 7 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: The New One (IRE) (20). Highest grade won: Grade 1 (The New One (IRE)). The wins came over 1m6f–3m2f. As at Oct 2026.