What is James Turner's strike rate?

James Turner has won 28 of 410 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does James Turner do best at?

Worcester by strike rate: 2 wins from 37 rides (5.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does James Turner ride most for?

Nigel Twiston-Davies, with 141 rides since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (11.3%).

Is James Turner in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is James Turner's Fair A/E?

0.82, from 410 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

James Turner

410 rides in the last 5 seasons · 196 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 9 days ago 97% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)

from 1 Jan 2022

28–410

Wins / Runs

6.8%

Strike rate

n=410

83 (20%)

Placed

0.82

Fair A/E

n=410 · 0.70 incl. margin

−126.14

£1 level stake

n=410 at SP · −30.8%

£385k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.5%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 80 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.82). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (43 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 410 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Dec Nigel Twiston-Davies: 11.3% from 141 LTO winners: 14% Claiming: 7%

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14% (n=43, Fair A/E 0.84), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.1% (n=98, Fair A/E 0.57). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 5.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −140.67 to a £1 stake over 196 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Nigel Twiston-Davies supplies 34% of the rides and edges the rider's average (11.3% vs 6.8%, A/E 0.87). The rider also reads well on Soft going (15.9%, n=69) and in Class 3 (15.8%, n=38). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.6% over 39 rides, 4.2pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires Oct–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.6%−1.2

n=196 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −140.67

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14%+7.2

n=43 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −12.72

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3.1%−3.7

n=98 · A/E 0.57 · £1 +11.50

When favourite

29.2%

n=24 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −4.22

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7%+0.2

n=383 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −102.39

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.9%−2.9

n=51 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −34.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.8

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Soft going 15.9% vs 6.8% · n=69

In Class 3 15.8% vs 6.8% · n=38

On last-time-out winners 14% vs 6.8% · n=43

With Nigel Twiston-Davies 11.3% vs 6.8% · n=141

Off a break of 180+ days 2.6% vs 6.8% · n=39

Off a 61-180-day break 3.4% vs 6.8% · n=59

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 268 20 7.5% −121.97

Chase 88 4 4.5% +25.00

NH Flat 42 4 9.5% −17.17

Flat 12 0 0% −12.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 193 10 5.2% −125.97

Good to Soft 104 6 5.8% −49.75

Soft 69 11 15.9% +89.08

Heavy 27 1 3.7% −22.50

Good to Firm 12 0 0% −12.00

Standard (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Worcester 37 2 5.4% −24.00

Uttoxeter 24 0 0% −24.00

Hereford 24 3 12.5% −1.50

Ludlow 22 1 4.5% +12.00

Southwell 21 2 9.5% +86.00

Warwick 21 1 4.8% −8.00

Stratford 18 0 0% −18.00

Cheltenham 18 0 0% −18.00

Ffos Las 17 0 0% −17.00

Chepstow 15 1 6.7% −10.50

Newton Abbot 15 1 6.7% −9.50

Doncaster 14 3 21.4% +1.03

Huntingdon 14 2 14.3% −5.00

Fontwell 13 2 15.4% −4.75

Plumpton 12 0 0% −12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 204 15 7.4% −15.67

Class 4 114 6 5.3% −49.00

Class 3 38 6 15.8% −10.97

Class 2 34 1 2.9% −30.50

Class 1 11 0 0% −11.00

Class 6 9 0 0% −9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 29 8 27.6% 0.97 −4.72

2nd–3rd fav 76 12 15.8% 0.94 −4.42

4th–6th fav 126 6 4.8% 0.68 −50.00

7th+ in betting 179 2 1.1% 0.44 −67.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

72.8% completed · 356 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 88 58% 2 1 34 0 0

Hurdle 268 77.6% 3 2 52 1 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Norman Fletcher (GB) 13 1 4 20 May 26

Hillsin (IRE) 11 2 4 22 Aug 26

Jewel Eyed Judy (GB) 11 0 0 19 Apr 26

Fantomas (FR) 11 1 4 21 Apr 25

No Guarantee (GB) 9 2 2 12 Apr 26

Awesome Foursome (GB) 9 0 6 19 Jan 25

Uncle Bert (GB) 8 3 3 14 Mar 25

Chance A Tune (FR) 8 2 4 16 Sep 24

Moroval (IRE) 8 1 1 18 Mar 24

My Lovely Horse (FR) 7 0 0 12 Jul 26

Hunsbury (GB) 7 0 0 11 Feb 23

Babychino (IRE) 5 0 1 28 Mar 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 196 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 1

Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

671034300512911

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardNigel Twiston-Davies

34% of all rides
11.3% SR · A/E 0.87

TrainerRWSR£1

Nigel Twiston-Davies 141 16 11.3% −42.64

Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies 49 3 6.1% −34.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→

Archived wins

£387k

Prize money

2024

Best season · 13 wins

Uncle Bert (GB) — Sky Bet Cheltenham Non-Runner No Bet Handicap Hurdle Haydock · Jan 2025 · Class 3

£26,405

Uncle Bert (GB) — DragonBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Bangor-on-Dee · Mar 2024 · Class 2

£15,609

Equinus (IRE) — Jewson Click And Collect Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Aintree · Oct 2023 · Class 3

£10,562

Notable horses

Uncle Bert (GB) Hillsin (IRE) No Guarantee (GB) Chance A Tune (FR) Norman Fletcher (GB) Fantomas (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Pether's Moon (IRE) 24% · 6–25

Progeny have won 13.2% of 912 runs since 2020 (106 horses).

Mount Nelson (GB) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,274 runs since 2012 (538 horses).

Blue Bresil (FR) 0% · 0–17

Progeny have won 12.2% of 3,527 runs since 2013 (461 horses).

Getaway (GER) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,971 runs since 2016 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

No Risk At All (FR) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 14.3% of 3,144 runs since 2016 (438 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.5% from 949.

Telescope (IRE) 0% · 0–13

Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,911 runs since 2019 (296 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 1.9% from 105. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13% from 284.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 416 · newest first

The latest 50 of 416 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 March 2019 to 25 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

25 Oct 26 Market Rasen Lightning Flash (IRE)T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies £27 Race & Roast Package Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 7/4F

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Kadex (FR)T: Alan Jones Back British Farming Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 4 ran PU 20/1

17 Oct 26 Stratford Most Wanted (IRE)T: David Bridgwater Invades Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 17f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 11/2

17 Oct 26 Stratford Emerald West (GB)T: Ryan Hatch Keogh & Hows Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 22f · Good · 7 ran PU 200/1

12 Oct 26 Worcester Most Wanted (IRE)T: David Bridgwater CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 25/1

25 Sep 26 Worcester Emerald West (GB)T: Ryan Hatch Fbc Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran PU 50/1

06 Sep 26 Fontwell Kings Order (IRE)T: Mrs C Williams Download The At The Races App Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 6 ran PU 16/1

29 Aug 26 Cartmel Al Mootamarid (IRE)T: Ryan Hatch Molson Coors Cartmel Cup Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 7th 14/1

22 Aug 26 Newton Abbot Hillsin (IRE)T: Alan Jones Torbay Weekly Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 28/1

22 Jul 26 Worcester Galeforcechopper (GB)T: David Brace Colin Jones Memorial Maiden Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) (Div I)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 9th 125/1

19 Jul 26 Stratford Ghost Pepper (IRE)T: David Brace Dave Shrader Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 18/1

15 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Emerald West (GB)T: Dom Elsworth & Ryan Hatch QuinnBet Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 7th 16/1

13 Jul 26 Newton Abbot Miss Denver (GB)T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies Racing To School Reaches 250,000 Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 3 ran 2nd 5/1

12 Jul 26 Stratford My Lovely Horse (FR)T: David Bridgwater Gary Hubball's 60th Celebration Year Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran PU 22/1

01 Jul 26 Worcester Touchwoodexpress (IRE)T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies Britannia Dynamic Logistics Promises Delivered Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran 6th 28/1

01 Jul 26 Worcester Miss Denver (GB)T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies Worcestershire Ambassadors Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 22/1

17 Jun 26 Worcester Galeforcechopper (GB)T: David Brace CopyBet Daily World Cup Profit Boost Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 6th 125/1

13 Jun 26 Uttoxeter My Lovely Horse (FR)T: David Bridgwater Noble Minds Counselling Services Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 25/1

11 Jun 26 Worcester Eagles Promise (IRE)T: Tom George CopyBet Royal Ascot BOG From Sunday Mares' NH Flat Race (Conditionals/Amateurs) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 7th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 19 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 19 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is James Turner's strike rate?: James Turner has won 28 of 410 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Turner do best at?: Worcester by strike rate: 2 wins from 37 rides (5.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does James Turner ride most for?: Nigel Twiston-Davies, with 141 rides since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (11.3%).
Is James Turner in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is James Turner's Fair A/E?: 0.82, from 410 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.