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Horse profile

The First Drop (GB)

2yo gelding · Trainer Adrian Keatley · Owner Garry Wilson And Partner
by Lope Y Fernandez (IRE) out of Patricia Grey (IRE) (Havana Grey)
4 runs · 4 courses · from Jun 2026
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Ran 17 days ago · 8th of 8 Last raced off OR 72
KTB Profile

The First Drop is a gelding by Lope Y Fernandez out of a Havana Grey mare who has yet to win from four starts on turf. He showed his best effort when second of 11 at Carlisle in Jun 2026. All three subsequent runs came over 6f to 7f or 1m to 1m1f on good or faster ground and ended off an official rating of 72. He finished last of eight at Musselburgh in Sep 2026.

Based on 4 archived runs · run-style from 3 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 77 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Musselburgh, 30 Sep 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 4 figures · best 77A · median 67
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
Good to Firm271A502 · 71 / 50
Good to Soft1——1 · —
Good1——1 · —
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
6f – 7f377A713 · 77 / 71
1m – 1m1f1——1 · —

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 4 figures from 4 runs · as at 8 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 68A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Ripon, 15 Aug 2026 Official rating 72 at the last run, 30 Sep 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 4 figures · best 81A · median 64
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
Good to Firm281A632 · 81 / 63
Good to Soft1——1 · —
Good1——1 · —
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
6f – 7f381A603 · 81 / 60
1m – 1m1f1——1 · —

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 4 figures from 4 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 3 analysed runs

  • Prominent 2 (67%) · 0 wins
  • Held up 1 (33%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Lope Y Fernandez (IRE)

Progeny in our archive have won 10.7% of 692 runs since Jan 2008 (101 horses).

Weakest on good going: 6.6% from 167. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 14.8% from 128. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 6.9% from 101.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm400%−10.7—
Good to Firm1522013.2%+2.50 from 2
Good167116.6%−4.10 from 1
Good to Soft631015.9%+5.20 from 1
Soft5946.8%−3.9—
Heavy1715.9%−4.8—
Standard (AW)2302812.2%+1.5—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f10176.9%−3.8—
6f – 7f3974010.1%−0.60 from 3
1m – 1m1f1281914.8%+4.10 from 1
1m2f – 1m4f63812.7%+2—
1m5f – 2m300%−10.7—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Patricia Grey (IRE) (Havana Grey)

No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00
Good 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Musselburgh 1 0 0% −1.00
Ripon 1 0 0% −1.00
York 1 0 0% −1.00
Carlisle 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
6f – 7f 3 0 0% −3.00
1m – 1m1f 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
M. P. Sheehy 2 0 0% −2.00
Barry McHugh 1 0 0% −1.00
Mikey Sheehy 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 3 0 0% −3.00
Cheekpieces 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
30 Sep 26+46d Musselburgh Dropkicks Split The G Nursery Handicap Stakes Class 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran held up in last group - shaken up 3f out - lost ground under pressure over 1f out - finished 8th 8/8 nk 9-7 7277A60A M. P. Sheehy 12/1
15 Aug 26+22d Ripon Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB/GBBPlus Race) Class 2 · 8f · Good · 13 ran Drifted left at the off - settled handy on the outer - shared third spot a furlong out - lost momentum close home to finish 5th 5/13 nk 9-7 —63C68A M. P. Sheehy 25/1
24 Jul 26+30d York Ire-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) Class 3 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran close to the pace and edging right for the whole trip - driven over 2f out - soon well held 8/8 1¾ 9-7 —29B45A Barry McHugh 11/4
24 Jun 26 Carlisle Download The Oddschecker App EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 11 ran Handy in the pack early - hit the front over a furlong out before being overtaken inside the final furlong - unable to fight back and beaten 2.5 lengths 2/11 2½ 9-7 —71A81A Mikey Sheehy 25/1

Quick answers

How many races has The First Drop (GB) won?
The First Drop (GB) has yet to win, from 4 archived starts in 2026. Placed 1 time in total (25% of starts).
Who trains The First Drop (GB)?
The First Drop (GB) is trained by Adrian Keatley, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 30 September 2026.
Who is The First Drop (GB)'s sire?
The First Drop (GB) is by Lope Y Fernandez (IRE) out of Patricia Grey (IRE), whose sire is Havana Grey.
What is The First Drop (GB)'s official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 72, from the run on 30 September 2026. That is also the highest on record.
What is The First Drop (GB)'s sire's record?
Lope Y Fernandez (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.7% of 692 runs since Jan 2008 (101 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on good going: 6.6% from 167. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 14.8% from 128. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 6.9% from 101.

Record shown from June 2026. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.