What is Barry McHugh's strike rate?

Barry McHugh has won 60 of 810 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Barry McHugh do best at?

Ripon by strike rate: 6 wins from 41 rides (14.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Barry McHugh ride most for?

Adrian Nicholls, with 131 rides since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (7.6%).

Is Barry McHugh in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 9 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Barry McHugh's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 804 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Barry McHugh

810 rides in the last 5 seasons · 413 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

60–810

Wins / Runs

7.4%

Strike rate

n=810

165 (20%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=804 · 0.85 incl. margin

−186.44

£1 level stake

n=810 at SP · −23.0%

£868k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 160 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (63 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 810 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 25% when favourite Adrian Nicholls: 7.6% from 131 LTO winners: 14.3% Rides the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ripon (14.6%, n=41) and Catterick (13.5%, n=37) — all clear of the rider's 7.4% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.3% (n=63, Fair A/E 1.02). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 5.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −170.05 to a £1 stake over 373 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Adrian Nicholls supplies 16% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7.6%, A/E 0.80). The rider also reads well at trips under 6f (13.9%, n=231). 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Goffs UK Premier Yearling Stakes at York (Aug 2018, £147,540). The standout partner of the record: Stanley Rigby (GB) — 5 wins from 14 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.1%−2.3

n=373 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −170.05

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.3%+6.9

n=63 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −15.27

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.1%−0.3

n=98 · A/E 1.37 · £1 −6.00

When favourite

25%

n=40 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −11.97

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.8%−2.6

n=125 · A/E 0.94 · £1 +10.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.2%−3.2

n=24 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −19.80

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 15% vs 7.4% · n=107

At trips under 6f 13.9% vs 7.4% · n=231

With debutants 0% vs 7.4% · n=58

On last-time-out winners 14.3% vs 7.4% · n=63

At Ripon 14.6% vs 7.4% · n=41

At Catterick 13.5% vs 7.4% · n=37

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 266 19 7.1% −57.05

Good 219 20 9.1% −20.39

Good to Firm 157 11 7% −86.12

Good to Soft 98 4 4.1% −7.50

Soft 57 6 10.5% −2.38

Heavy 13 0 0% −13.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 176 17 9.7% +20.95

Southwell (AW) 66 2 3% −54.00

York 50 1 2% −16.00

Doncaster 43 2 4.7% −32.12

Ripon 41 6 14.6% +16.87

Beverley 41 4 9.8% −18.00

Redcar 39 1 2.6% +2.00

Catterick 37 5 13.5% −15.34

Thirsk 34 3 8.8% −19.50

Carlisle 32 2 6.3% −19.50

Hamilton 28 5 17.9% +27.50

Chester 28 4 14.3% +36.00

Haydock 26 2 7.7% +5.00

Ayr 25 1 4% −18.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 22 0 0% −22.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 267 26 9.7% +11.11

Class 5 240 14 5.8% −139.38

Class 4 168 13 7.7% −21.75

Class 2 63 4 6.3% −0.50

Class 3 47 2 4.3% −15.12

Class 1 24 1 4.2% −19.80

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 48 11 22.9% 0.89 −14.97

2nd–3rd fav 95 18 18.9% 1.18 −2.47

4th–6th fav 268 20 7.5% 0.99 −84.00

7th+ in betting 399 11 2.8% 0.96 −85.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Heavenly Heather (GB) 11 1 4 3 Oct 26

King's Crown (IRE) 11 1 4 11 Jun 23

Green Valentine (IRE) 10 2 2 20 Jan 26

Thornaby Pearl (GB) 10 1 3 1 Sep 23

Tees Spirit (GB) 10 4 5 25 Aug 23

Hover On The Wind (IRE) 9 1 1 15 Sep 26

Glistening Nights (FR) 9 1 4 10 Jul 26

Sands Of Dubai (GB) 9 0 1 29 Dec 25

Castle Stuart (IRE) 8 0 4 10 Oct 26

Great Profit (IRE) 8 2 6 28 Sep 26

Tiriac (GB) 8 2 2 23 May 26

Elzaal (IRE) 8 1 4 6 Aug 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 413 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 9

Only 9 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

37359876671330

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardAdrian Nicholls

16% of all rides
7.6% SR · A/E 0.80

TrainerRWSR£1

Adrian Nicholls 131 10 7.6% −71.30

Richard Fahey 116 5 4.3% −73.50

Paul Midgley 69 7 10.1% −3.50

Richard & Peter Fahey 47 2 4.3% −28.75

Alan Brown 44 3 6.8% +59.00

Ivan Furtado 35 2 5.7% −25.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

524

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.00m

Prize money

2010

Best season · 60 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Red Balloons (GB) — Goffs UK Premier Yearling Stakes York · Aug 2018 · Class 2

£147,540

Bengali Boys (IRE) — Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes Newbury · Jul 2017 · Class 2

£122,925

Summer Sands (GB) — Racing TV Redcar Two Year Old Trophy (Listed) Redcar · Oct 2019 · Listed

£99,243

Notable horses

Stanley Rigby (GB) Keep It Dark (GB) Thatcherite (IRE) Sir George (IRE) Abate (GB) Tees Spirit (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 3.7% · 1–27

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,960 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Sands Of Mali (FR) 0% · 0–24

Progeny have won 11.5% of 797 runs since 2024 (87 horses). Weakest on Good going: 8.3% from 204.

Cotai Glory (GB) 9.1% · 2–22

Progeny have won 11.4% of 3,949 runs since 2021 (389 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.6% from 1,416. Weakest on Soft going: 7% from 427.

Mayson (GB) 13.6% · 3–22

Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,384 runs since 2016 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 1,731. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.

Profitable (IRE) 19% · 4–21

Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,437 runs since 2021 (358 horses).

Dark Angel (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,921 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 6,034 · newest first

The latest 50 of 6,034 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2006 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Star Material (IRE)T: Adrian Keatley Prestige Vehicles Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 14/1

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Sue's Last Chance (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 11/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Wobwobwob (IRE)T: Adrian Keatley Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 15 ran 1st 6/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Ninety Nine (IRE)T: John Wainwright Thanks And See You Next Season Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 14 ran 14th 100/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Miss Tino (GB)T: David Thompson Thanks And See You Next Season Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 14 ran 9th 50/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Uncertainty (IRE)T: Simon Whitaker Bowel Cancer Screening Programme Saves Lives Selling Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Heavy · 12 ran 5th 16/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Take The A Train (GB)T: Stephen Hanlon Market Cross Jewellers Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Heavy · 14 ran 7th 28/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Rhythm N Hooves (GB)T: Robert Cowell Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 5/1

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Wobwobwob (IRE)T: Adrian Keatley William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 20/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Crown Inn To Win (IRE)T: Ivan Furtado bettingsites.co.uk New Betting Sites Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 33/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Miss Tino (GB)T: David Thompson Every Race Live On Racing TV Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 7 ran 5th 200/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Uncertainty (IRE)T: Simon Whitaker racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 18 ran 1st 40/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Wrestling Revenue (IRE)T: Ben Haslam Sam Hall Memorial Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good · 10 ran 4th 10/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Waiting For Archie (GB)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Every Race Live On Racing TV Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 13/2

10 Oct 26 York Castle Stuart (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Sky Bet For The Fans Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 2 · 10.5f · Soft · 18 ran 13th 13/2

09 Oct 26 York Pete's Angel (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey William Hill Epic Boosts Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 4th 100/1

05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Sun Lord (FR)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 12/1

05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Sue's Last Chance (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 10/1

03 Oct 26 Ascot Rhythm N Hooves (GB)T: Robert Cowell Ascot Iron Stand Membership Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 2nd 14/1

03 Oct 26 Ascot Heavenly Heather (GB)T: Tracy Waggott Betmgm Rous Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 6th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 30 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Barry McHugh's strike rate?: Barry McHugh has won 60 of 810 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Barry McHugh do best at?: Ripon by strike rate: 6 wins from 41 rides (14.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Barry McHugh ride most for?: Adrian Nicholls, with 131 rides since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (7.6%).
Is Barry McHugh in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 9 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Barry McHugh's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 804 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.