The Likely Lad (FR)
The Likely Lad (FR) is 1 from 10. Last raced off a career-high mark of 129.
- 1–10Wins / Runs
- 10%Strike rate
- 3 (30%)Placed
- −7.00£1 level staken=10 at SP
- 0.71Fair A/E n=10 · 0.57 incl. margin
- 129Highest OR
- 155dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 93
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Of 3 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (1) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 1 figure from 3 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 13% of 3,548 runs since Mar 2010 (410 horses).
Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 151.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 1 | 1 | 100% | +87 | — |
| Good to Firm | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | −2.5 | — |
| Good | 715 | 100 | 14% | +1 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 571 | 78 | 13.7% | +0.7 | — |
| Soft | 1,404 | 181 | 12.9% | −0.1 | 1 from 4 |
| Heavy | 756 | 96 | 12.7% | −0.3 | 0 from 3 |
| Standard (AW) | 81 | 4 | 4.9% | −8.1 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | −5.9 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 28 | 0 | 0% | −13 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 151 | 10 | 6.6% | −6.4 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 728 | 120 | 16.5% | +3.5 | 0 from 2 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,653 | 210 | 12.7% | −0.3 | 0 from 4 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 772 | 94 | 12.2% | −0.8 | 1 from 4 |
| Over 3m | 202 | 27 | 13.4% | +0.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Mar 2010 · as at 31 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Be A Nice Girl (FR) (1 win).
The wins came over 2m6f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Be A Nice Girl (FR) | 12 | 1 | 2m6f | — |
| Tarquin Stardust (FR) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
| The Likely Lad (FR) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.00 |
| Heavy | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compiegne (FR) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Clairefontaine (FR) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Auteuil (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aix-Les-Bains (FR) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
| Newton Abbot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wincanton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felix De Giles | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| James Reveley | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Francesco Mula | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| F Giles | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
| Nicolas Gauffenic | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jonathan Burke | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sean Bowen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.00 |
| None | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.00 |
| 2024 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2023 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.00 |
| Hurdle | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has The Likely Lad won?
- The Likely Lad (FR) won 1 of 10 archived starts between 2022 and 2026, a strike rate of 10%. Placed 3 times in total (30% of starts).
- Who trains The Likely Lad?
- The Likely Lad (FR) is trained by Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 17 September 2026.
- Who is The Likely Lad's sire?
- The Likely Lad (FR) is by Great Pretender (IRE) out of Turgotine (FR), whose sire is Turgeon.
- What going does The Likely Lad prefer?
- The Likely Lad (FR) has the best record on soft going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is The Likely Lad's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 129, from the run on 17 September 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is The Likely Lad's sire's record?
- Great Pretender (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 13% of 3,548 runs since Mar 2010 (410 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 151.
- Who are The Likely Lad's siblings?
- Out of Turgotine (FR), The Likely Lad (FR) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Be A Nice Girl (FR) (1). The wins came over 2m6f. As at Nov 2026.