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Jockey profile

Francesco Mula

59 rides in the last 5 seasons · 45 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)
from 1 Jan 2022
8–59
Wins / Runs
13.6%
Strike rate
n=59
21 (36%)
Placed
1.02
Fair A/E
n=59 · 0.83 incl. margin
−3.20
£1 level stake
n=59 at SP · −5.4%
£244k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
18.2%
KTB at a glance First rides: 15.6%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
15.6%+2.0
n=45 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −3.40
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
14.3%+0.7
n=7 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −5.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
17.4%+3.8
n=23 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +3.40
When favourite
28.6%
n=7 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −1.90
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
11.5%−2.1
n=26 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −5.40
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−13.6
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−13.6
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Auteuil (FR) 9.7% vs 13.6% · n=31
In Hurdle races 9.7% vs 13.6% · n=31
On Heavy going 16.7% vs 13.6% · n=30
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 15.7% vs 13.6% · n=51
On first rides for the horse 15.6% vs 13.6% · n=45
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 8.3% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 31 3 9.7% −18.80
Chase 28 5 17.9% +15.60

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Heavy 30 5 16.7% +13.75
Soft 29 3 10.3% −16.95

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR) 31 3 9.7% −3.60
Compiegne (FR) 15 4 26.7% +10.15
Clairefontaine (FR) 9 1 11.1% −5.75
Dieppe (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Nantes (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 2 3 1 33.3% +18.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 2 28.6% 0.92 −1.90
2nd–3rd fav 21 4 19% 1.05 −5.50
4th–6th fav 15 0 0% 0.00 −15.00
7th+ in betting 16 2 12.5% 3.59 +19.20
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
84.7% completed · 59 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 28 85.7% 1 2 1 0 0
Hurdle 31 83.9% 1 0 4 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Konfiner (FR) 6 1 2 17 Sep 26
Earl Of Shannon (FR) 5 1 3 29 Nov 24
La Sagra (GB) 2 0 2 6 Nov 26
Gentleman Valley (FR) 2 0 1 8 Sep 26
Kowloon Park (FR) 2 1 1 11 Nov 24
Inaya Jones (FR) 2 0 0 24 Oct 24
Hulapalu (GER) 2 1 2 23 Nov 22
Mapreference Allen (FR) 1 0 0 19 Oct 26
Iltone (FR) 1 0 0 17 Oct 26
Oak Creek (IRE) 1 0 0 26 Sep 26
Le Rouge Est Mis (FR) 1 0 0 26 Sep 26
Wantoknowhatloveis (GB) 1 0 0 22 Sep 26
All 45 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
··017140170231311·
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm 20 3 15% −11.50
Francois Nicolle 18 4 22.2% +23.60
Davide Satalia 5 0 0% −5.00
D Cottin 4 1 25% +1.70
Caroline Bonin 2 0 0% −2.00
Daniela Mele 2 0 0% −2.00
Giada Menato 2 0 0% −2.00
J Delaunay 1 0 0% −1.00
L Maceli 1 0 0% −1.00
J Jouin 1 0 0% −1.00
Josef Vana Jr 1 0 0% −1.00
Allan Estrabol 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→
8
Archived wins
£244k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 4 wins
Micawber (FR) — Prix Henri Gleizes Auteuil (FR) · Sep 2026 · Class 2
£25,300
Earl Of Shannon (FR) — Prix Northerntown (Chase) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf) Compiegne (FR) · Oct 2024
£23,600
Kowloon Park (FR) — Prix Djarvis (Chase) (AQPS Conditions) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · May 2024
£23,600
Notable horses
Konfiner (FR) Earl Of Shannon (FR) Kowloon Park (FR) Hulapalu (GER) Harry (SWE) Vaneadi (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
It's Gino (GER) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 13.7% of 974 runs since 2013 (131 horses). Strongest on Good going: 23.6% from 225. Weakest on Soft going: 9.9% from 312. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 16.8% from 143.
Doctor Dino (FR) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 16% of 3,227 runs since 2013 (497 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.7% from 563. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 212. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 695. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.
Cokoriko (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 13.2% of 2,316 runs since 2017 (382 horses).
Ivanhowe (GER) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 8.8% of 363 runs since 2021 (85 horses).
Kamsin (GER) 50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 9.7% of 848 runs since 2015 (110 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.9% from 186.
Kapgarde (FR) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 12.4% of 6,638 runs since 2008 (725 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 59 · newest first

The latest 50 of 59 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 September 2022 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) La Sagra (GB)T: Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm Prix De Champagne-sur-seine17.5f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 2/1
19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Mapreference Allen (FR)T: Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm Prix Saccageur17f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 11/2
17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Iltone (FR)T: Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm Prix Ferdinand RiantClass 2 · 22f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 11/4
26 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Oak Creek (IRE)T: Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm Prix Villez19.5f · Very Soft · 15 ran PU 7/1
26 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Le Rouge Est Mis (FR)T: Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm Prix Meli MeloClass 2 · 17.5f · Very Soft · 11 ran 9th 11/2
22 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) La Sagra (GB)T: Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm Prix Amati17.5f · Very Soft · 7 ran 2nd 11/10F
22 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Wantoknowhatloveis (GB)T: Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm Prix De Gien17.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran 6th 7/2
17 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Konfiner (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix LanisteClass 3 · 22f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 8/1
17 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Messy (FR)T: Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm Prix Le Paillon19.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 6th 10/11F
17 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Micawber (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix Henri GleizesClass 2 · 17.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 1st 20/1
09 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Vaneadi (IRE)T: Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm Prix Petit Bob17f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 1/1F
09 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Dunstall Rambler (IRE)T: Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm Prix De Pornic18f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 9/4
08 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Gentleman Valley (FR)T: Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm Prix Fortifications18f · Very Soft · 15 ran PU 4/1
30 Aug 26 Dieppe (FR) Kaiser De Sivola (FR)T: Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm Prix Nell Breaute (Chmpt Paris Turf Des Apprentis & Jeunes Jockeys)19f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 3/1
30 Aug 26 Dieppe (FR) Allure (FR)T: Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm Prix Heraclia17f · Heavy · 8 ran 3rd 5/2
26 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) The Likely Lad (FR)T: Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm Prix Latitude Gps (Grand Steeple-chase De La Ville De Deauville)22.5f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 14/1
26 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) The Likely Lad (FR)T: Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm Prix Latitude Gps (Grand Steeple-chase De La Ville De Deauville)22.5f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 14/1
17 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Gentleman Valley (FR)T: Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm Prix Des Centres Restos Du Calvados (Prix De Ranville)18f · Soft · 15 ran 2nd 9/1
27 Jul 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Merovee (FR)T: Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm Etienne De Crecy - You - Prix Du Vieux Poirier18.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran 2nd 7/1
27 Jul 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Merovee (FR)T: Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm Etienne De Crecy - You - Prix Du Vieux Poirier18.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran 2nd 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Francesco Mula's strike rate?
Francesco Mula has won 8 of 59 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 13.6% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Francesco Mula do best at?
Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 3 wins from 31 rides (9.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Francesco Mula in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Francesco Mula's Fair A/E?
1.02, from 59 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).