A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed164the best of the last 1 graded (A or B) run · Tramore, 30 May 2026
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps 4 figures · best 164B · median 69.5
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 25 Oct 2025
Good
3
164B
88
3 runs · 164 / 88
Soft
1
—
—
1 run · —
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 25 Oct 2025
1m5f – 2m
2
51C
47.5
2 runs · 51 / 47.5
2m1f – 2m4f
1
—
—
1 run · —
2m5f – 3m
1
—
—
1 run · —
Of 7 runs looked at, 3 have no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (2) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 4 figures from 7 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
KTB Rating
Best recent KTB Rating (jumps)113Athe best of the last 3 rated runs · Tramore, 30 May 2026Official rating 102at the last jumps run, 15 Sep 2026
Best recent KTB Rating (flat)68Cthe best of the last 2 rated runs · Punchestown, 29 Apr 2025
What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →
Jumps 5 figures · best 113A · median 102
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 25 Oct 2025
Good
3
113A
102
3 runs · 113 / 102
Soft
2
111A
106.5
2 runs · 111 / 106.5
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 25 Oct 2025
1m5f – 2m
3
111A
102
3 runs · 111 / 102
2m1f – 2m4f
1
—
—
1 run · —
2m5f – 3m
1
—
—
1 run · —
Flat 2 figures · best 68C · median 65
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 25 Oct 2025
Soft
2
68C
65
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 25 Oct 2025
1m5f – 2m
2
68C
65
—
KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 7 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 7 analysed runs since Mar 2025
Prominent3 (43%)· 0 wins
Held up2 (29%)· 0 wins
Mid-division2 (29%)· 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Court Cave (IRE)
Progeny in our archive have won 10.1% of 7,935 runs since Jan 2008 (551 horses).
Weakest on heavy going: 6.9% from 934.
Going
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
Firm
2
0
0%
−10.1
—
Good to Firm
233
28
12%
+1.9
—
Good
3,026
341
11.3%
+1.2
0 from 3
Good to Soft
1,440
161
11.2%
+1.1
—
Soft
2,229
204
9.2%
−0.9
0 from 4
Heavy
934
64
6.9%
−3.2
—
Standard (AW)
71
3
4.2%
−5.9
—
Distance (all codes)
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
6f – 7f
24
1
4.2%
−5.9
—
1m – 1m1f
13
0
0%
−10.1
—
1m2f – 1m4f
71
1
1.4%
−8.7
—
1m5f – 2m
1,786
169
9.5%
−0.6
0 from 5
2m1f – 2m4f
2,850
294
10.3%
+0.2
0 from 1
2m5f – 3m
2,522
264
10.5%
+0.4
0 from 1
Over 3m
669
72
10.8%
+0.7
—
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Victorine (IRE) (Un Desperado)
9 siblings in the archive, 6 winners — best of them City Island (IRE) (5 wins).
The wins came over 1m5½f–3m1½f; the highest grade won is Grade 1 (City Island (IRE)).
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 25 ranSat close behind front group though fresh early - hesitant over first flight - 8th at halfway - asked for effort turning into straight - unable to make headway 2f out - stayed on same gait to finish sixth
Kevin McManus Bookmaker Champion (Pro/Am) Flat Race (Listed)16f · Soft · 10 ranHeld up towards the back - still 10th at halfway - found more to move through the field over 2f out and up to 5th but couldn't threaten the leading group - flattened out through the last furlong to finish 5th
Thiscouldbetheone (IRE) has yet to win, from 7 archived starts between 2025 and 2026. Placed 1 time in total (14.3% of starts).
Who trains Thiscouldbetheone?
Thiscouldbetheone (IRE) is trained by Henry Oliver, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 15 September 2026.
Who is Thiscouldbetheone's sire?
Thiscouldbetheone (IRE) is by Court Cave (IRE) out of Victorine (IRE), whose sire is Un Desperado.
What is Thiscouldbetheone's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 102, from the run on 15 September 2026. The highest on record is 107.
What is Thiscouldbetheone's sire's record?
Court Cave (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.1% of 7,935 runs since Jan 2008 (551 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on heavy going: 6.9% from 934.
Who are Thiscouldbetheone's siblings?
Out of Victorine (IRE), Thiscouldbetheone (IRE) has 9 other produce in our archive, 6 of them winners. Most wins: City Island (IRE) (5). Highest grade won: Grade 1 (City Island (IRE)). The wins came over 1m5½f–3m1½f. As at Oct 2026.
Thiscouldbetheone (IRE)·0–7·SR 0%
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