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Trainer profile

Henry Oliver

497 runners in the last 5 seasons · 75 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 12 days ago 95% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
from 1 Jan 2022
48–497
Wins / Runs
9.7%
Strike rate
n=497
135 (27%)
Placed
0.90
Fair A/E
n=495 · 0.78 incl. margin
−92.08
£1 level stake
n=497 at SP · −18.5%
£635k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.90). New recruits from other yards win at 13% first time out (39 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 497 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Jun 20.6% when favourite David Noonan: 9.3% from 108 New recruits: 12.8% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Stratford (19.4%, n=31) and Market Rasen (16.7%, n=36) — all clear of the yard's 9.7% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 12.8% (n=39, Fair A/E 1.42), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 3.3% (n=60, Fair A/E 0.34). David Noonan rides 22% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.3%, A/E 0.89). The yard also reads well on Good going (14.2%, n=246). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 4.3% over 93 runners, 5.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Generous Day (IRE) — 7 wins from 43 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
9.7%+0.0
n=113 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −14.87
New recruits · first run for the yard
12.8%+3.1
n=39 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +15.75
Debutants · first career start
7.4%−2.3
n=27 · A/E 1.70 · £1 +9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5%−4.7
n=20 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
13.3%+3.6
n=15 · A/E 1.76 · £1 +0.50
When favourite
20.6%
n=34 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −14.49
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.3%−6.4
n=60 · A/E 0.34 · £1 −35.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.7
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Stratford 19.4% vs 9.7% · n=31
With C&D winners 17% vs 9.7% · n=53
With claiming riders up 3.3% vs 9.7% · n=60
At Market Rasen 16.7% vs 9.7% · n=36
On Good going 14.2% vs 9.7% · n=246
On Soft going 4.3% vs 9.7% · n=93
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 231 16 6.9% −106.41
Chase 225 28 12.4% +6.08
Flat 23 2 8.7% +0.00
NH Flat 18 2 11.1% +8.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 246 35 14.2% +43.92
Good to Soft 114 6 5.3% −74.25
Soft 93 4 4.3% −37.50
Heavy 25 0 0% −25.00
Good to Firm 14 3 21.4% +5.75
Standard (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Uttoxeter 43 3 7% −7.00
Hereford 40 4 10% −7.50
Market Rasen 36 6 16.7% +6.37
Stratford 31 6 19.4% +39.45
Southwell 30 4 13.3% +14.88
Doncaster 27 4 14.8% −6.62
Chepstow 27 3 11.1% −6.00
Warwick 23 1 4.3% −20.00
Ludlow 22 1 4.5% −15.50
Worcester 22 1 4.5% −19.00
Ffos Las 17 0 0% −17.00
Leicester 15 0 0% −15.00
Huntingdon 15 0 0% −15.00
Bangor-on-Dee 12 0 0% −12.00
Newton Abbot 11 3 27.3% −1.04

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 204 15 7.4% −85.84
Class 4 196 24 12.2% +14.89
Class 3 46 4 8.7% −26.13
Class 2 26 2 7.7% −6.00
Class 6 17 2 11.8% +6.00
Class 1 8 1 12.5% +5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 46 8 17.4% 0.58 −24.29
2nd–3rd fav 123 16 13% 0.75 −40.79
4th–6th fav 162 19 11.7% 1.48 +49.00
7th+ in betting 166 5 3% 0.92 −76.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
84.6% completed · 456 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 225 79.6% 2 8 35 1 0
Hurdle 231 89.6% 4 1 19 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Coastguard Station (IRE)from S Curling 35 6 14 25 Sep 26
Boys Of Wexford (GB) 29 3 9 6 May 26
Can't Beat History (IRE)from Jonathan Sweeney 18 6 8 8 Jun 25
Juan Bermudez (GB)from Dan Skelton 15 2 5 5 Oct 26
Try The Money (IRE) 15 0 6 1 Feb 26
Jessie Lightfoot (IRE)from John Groucott · then Samuel Drinkwater 15 3 6 19 Feb 25
Captain Attridge (IRE)from J A Stack 14 1 6 9 May 25
Foveros (FR)from W P Mullins 13 0 3 20 Dec 24
Striking Out (GB) 13 1 5 17 Jul 24
Nedzor (IRE) 12 0 3 24 Feb 26
Patient Owner (IRE)from Colin Motherway 12 0 3 18 Mar 24
Pillar Of Steel (GB)from John Spearing 11 2 4 15 Oct 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 75 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 34 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Tom George (3) and Christian Williams (2); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for Cian Collins (2); 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
241114112281710885
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDavid Noonan
22% of all rides
9.3% SR · A/E 0.89
RiderRWSR£1
David Noonan 108 10 9.3% −41.25
Lee Edwards 93 11 11.8% −11.37
James Davies 37 6 16.2% +50.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
197
Archived wins
£1.90m
Prize money
2019
Best season · 25 wins
Dresden (IRE) — Shawbrook Handicap Chase Ascot · Nov 2015 · Class 2
£43,792
The Big Bite (IRE) — BetVictor Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Newbury · Mar 2023 · Class 1
£34,170
Keel Haul (IRE) — Paddy Power Handicap Chase Cheltenham · Nov 2015 · Class 2
£28,152
Notable horses
Generous Day (IRE) Whispering Harry (GB) Coastguard Station (IRE) Hard To Forget (IRE) Can't Beat History (IRE) Keel Haul (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 16.2% · 6–37
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,487 runs since 2008 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Millenary (GB) 10.3% · 3–29
Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,412 runs since 2008 (120 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 233.
Yeats (IRE) 11.5% · 3–26
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,807 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.
Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,811 runs since 2008 (678 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Malinas (GER) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 14.2% of 3,938 runs since 2008 (419 horses).
Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,913 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,664 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,664 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 31 January 2013 to 8 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 Oct 26 Market Rasen Footage Detectives (GB)J: Lee Edwards Book Boxing Day At The Races Today! Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 9/1
07 Oct 26 Worcester Himayta (GB)J: Isabella Oliver Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite National Hunt Flat Race (catgory 2 Elimination) (Conditional And Amateur Jockeys) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 7th 66/1
05 Oct 26 Stratford Juan Bermudez (GB)J: Fern O'Brien QuinnBet Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 22f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 3rd 7/2
26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Annie Don (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Agriculture Raceday Returns On 12th November Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran PU 25/1
25 Sep 26 Worcester Coastguard Station (IRE)J: Shane Fenelon Copybet Arc Summer Chase Series Final Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 8th 50/1
18 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Babs (GB)J: Kielan Woods Southlands Care Home Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 1st 11/8F
15 Sep 26 Uttoxeter Thiscouldbetheone (IRE)J: David Noonan Pip & Chris Emerald Wedding Anniversary Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 12th 66/1
05 Sep 26 Stratford Juan Bermudez (GB)J: Lilly Pinchin Rich Ellis's 60th Vinyl Countdown Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 22f · Good · 8 ran 8th 5/1
04 Sep 26 Worcester Ebarayna (GB)J: Lee Edwards Copybet For Premier League Profit Boosts Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 8th 9/2
23 Aug 26 Worcester Thiscouldbetheone (IRE)J: David Noonan Neu-Servo Phils Last Shift Maiden Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 9th 15/2
23 Aug 26 Worcester Coastguard Station (IRE)J: David Noonan Neu-Servo Rapid Response Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 8th 33/1
24 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Ebarayna (GB)J: Lee Edwards QuinnBet Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 33/1
16 Jul 26 Worcester Stay Hopeful (IRE)J: Lee Edwards CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 9/2
29 Jun 26 Stratford Juan Bermudez (GB)J: Lilly Pinchin Visit racingtv.com Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 4th 2/1F
28 Jun 26 Uttoxeter Coastguard Station (IRE)J: David Noonan bet365 Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 6th 6/1
17 Jun 26 Worcester Babs (GB)J: Kielan Woods CopyBet Daily World Cup Profit Boost Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 1st 2/1
06 Jun 26 Worcester Stay Hopeful (IRE)J: Lee Edwards CopyBet Supporting UK Horse Racing Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23f · Good · 11 ran 7th 11/1
31 May 26 Fakenham Coastguard Station (IRE)J: David Noonan Prince Of Wales Cup Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 21f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 4/1
30 May 26 Stratford Juan Bermudez (GB)J: Lilly Pinchin Julie Satterley 50th Birthday Celebration Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 1st 9/4
28 May 26 Worcester Stay Hopeful (IRE)J: Lee Edwards CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 6th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Henry Oliver's strike rate?
Henry Oliver has won 48 of 497 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Henry Oliver do best at?
Stratford by strike rate: 6 wins from 31 runners (19.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Henry Oliver?
David Noonan, with 108 runners since 2022 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (9.3%).
Is Henry Oliver in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Henry Oliver's Fair A/E?
0.90, from 495 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).