Threatening (IRE)
Threatening is a gelding who has won two of 12 starts. Both wins came in handicaps on standard going on the all-weather, at 6f to 7f at Southwell in Apr 2025 off 65 and at 1m to 1m1f at Chelmsford City in Nov 2025 off 70. He has never won on turf from three starts. He finished second of eight at Wolverhampton in Jan 2026 when last raced off his career-high mark of 75.
- 2–12Wins / Runs
- 16.7%Strike rate
- 5 (41.7%)Placed
- −1.00£1 level staken=12 at SP
- 0.99Fair A/E n=12 · 0.85 incl. margin
- 75Highest OR
- 41dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 105
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 9 | 112B | 97 | 3 · 105 / 104 |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 6 | 105A | 98.5 | 3 · 105 / 104 |
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 112B | 87 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 12 figures from 12 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 6 analysed runs
- Held up 3 (50%) · 1 win
- Prominent 3 (50%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 16.3% of 5,056 runs since Jan 2008 (559 horses).
Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7% from 157.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 4 | 2 | 50% | +33.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 831 | 154 | 18.5% | +2.2 | — |
| Good | 1,217 | 199 | 16.4% | +0.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 579 | 92 | 15.9% | −0.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 698 | 118 | 16.9% | +0.6 | — |
| Heavy | 213 | 36 | 16.9% | +0.6 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,514 | 224 | 14.8% | −1.5 | 2 from 9 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 382 | 60 | 15.7% | −0.6 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 2,111 | 372 | 17.6% | +1.3 | 1 from 5 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,351 | 205 | 15.2% | −1.1 | 1 from 6 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 997 | 171 | 17.2% | +0.9 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 157 | 11 | 7% | −9.3 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 47 | 5 | 10.6% | −5.7 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | −5.2 | — |
| Over 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −16.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Angelic Appeal (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 1m2f; the highest grade won is Class 6 (Grand Pier (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angelic Appeal (IRE) | 6 | 1 | 1m2f | — |
| Grand Pier (GB) | 9 | 1 | 1m2f | Class 6 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 9 | 2 | 22% | +2.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Class 4 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +5.50 |
| Class 6 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.50 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lingfield (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.50 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +7.50 |
| Redcar | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ffos Las | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 6 | 1 | 17% | +2.50 |
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.50 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Morris | 7 | 2 | 29% | +4.00 |
| Poppy Scott | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Connor Planas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Dylan Hogan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Shane Kelly | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 8 | 2 | 25% | +3.00 |
| Blinkers | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Visor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2025 | 10 | 2 | 20% | +1.00 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan 26+44d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap Tracked the pace in second - asked for effort with over 3f left - hit the front approaching the final furlong - overtaken close to home - held for second beaten a length and a half | 2/8 | 1½ | 9-11 | 75 | 105A | 92A | Luke Morris | 5/2J |
| 19 Nov 25+13d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Apprentice Handicap Sat close behind pacesetter early - urged on entering home bend - driven with two furlongs left - unable to close in final furlong | 7/12 | shd | 9-10 | 75 | 100A | 81A | Connor Planas | 5/2F |
| 06 Nov 25+99d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap Close order in third turning for home - drifted left under pressure with a furlong left - roused to hit the front inside the last hundred yards and stayed on to win | 1/10 | 9-2 | 70 | 104A | 87A | Luke Morris | 15/2 | |
| 30 Jul 25+30d | Redcar | Free Racing TV At racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap Sat close up in second - dropped back with 3f left - pushed along and rallied inside final furlong - never a threat to leaders finishing third | 3/11 | 1½ | 8-10 | 71 | 94B | 71A | Poppy Scott | 11/4F |
| 30 Jun 25+11d | Ffos Las | Great Trekker Run At 3A's Handicap Pressed the pace - angled left and impeded another horse over 1f out before responding to pressure - stayed on through the final furlong to finish 5th | 5/13 | nk | 9-3 | 72 | 76C | 77A | Dylan Hogan | 11/2 |
| 19 Jun 25+14d | Lingfield (AW) | HighBet Football Acca Odds Boost Handicap Handy early - squeezed for space with 3f left - pushed along and one-paced approaching the final furlong - stayed on in the closing stages to finish 4th | 4/10 | 1¼ | 8-9 | 73 | 112B | 77A | Luke Morris | 9/1 |
| 05 Jun 25+40d | Lingfield (AW) | bet365 Handicap Sat close to front group early - urged forward with three furlongs left - lost touch and unable to close from over a furlong out - finished fifth beaten 5 lengths | 5/7 | 1 | 8-12 | 74 | 93B | 70A | Luke Morris | 8/1 |
| 26 Apr 25+6d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Sky Sports Racing Virgin 535 Handicap Slowly into stalls - held up in 3rd - moved to 2nd 8f out - struck the front over 6f out - pressure applied over 2f out - hard at work over 1f out and passed by the winner inside the final furlong - stuck on for 2nd | 2/6 | ½ | 9-12 | 65 | 97A | 84B | Luke Morris | EvensF |
| 20 Apr 25+97d | Southwell (AW) | Golf And Gallop Handicap Sat just behind the front-runner early - asked for effort and lost ground for a moment 2f out - drew level and edged ahead in the final furlong drifting left - kept finding through the line to win | 1/5 | 9-9 | 65 | 78C | 78B | Luke Morris | 6/4J | |
| 13 Jan 25+10d | Lingfield (AW) | BetMGM: It's Showtime Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Hesitant start - settled up with the pace on the rail - urged forward with 4f left but flattened out inside the final furlong to finish 4th | 4/5 | 3 | 9-7 | — | 87C | 66B | Luke Morris | 9/1 |
| 03 Jan 25+86d | Southwell (AW) | Win 1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Handy in the pack early - pressed for effort with 2f left - held level tempo into the last furlong - unable to find extra and beaten 5.25 lengths in 6th | 6/11 | ½ | 9-0 | — | 72A | 65A | Poppy Scott | 100/1 |
| 09 Oct 24 | Nottingham | Fireworks Tickets On Sale Now EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Hesitant leaving stalls and settled at back - urged forward once isolated with 3f remaining - offered no threat late finishing eighth | 8/10 | 2¾ | 9-7 | — | 90C | 58C | Shane Kelly | 33/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Threatening (IRE) won?
- Threatening (IRE) won 2 of 12 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 16.7%. Placed 5 times in total (41.7% of starts).
- Who trains Threatening (IRE)?
- Threatening (IRE) is trained by Sir Mark Prescott Bt, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 2 January 2026.
- Who is Threatening (IRE)'s sire?
- Threatening (IRE) is by Night Of Thunder (IRE) out of Gabrielle (FR), whose sire is Dark Angel.
- What going does Threatening (IRE) prefer?
- Threatening (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 2 wins from 9 starts (22.2%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Threatening (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 75, from the run on 2 January 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Threatening (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Night Of Thunder (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 16.3% of 5,056 runs since Jan 2008 (559 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7% from 157.
- Who are Threatening (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Gabrielle (FR), Threatening (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Angelic Appeal (IRE) (1). Highest grade won: Class 6 (Grand Pier (GB)). The wins came over 1m2f. As at Oct 2026.