Connor Planas
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 200 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.95). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (130 rides).
The record is strongest at Yarmouth (17.5%, n=40), clear of the rider's 10.5% baseline. It is weakest at Wolverhampton (AW) (6.5% over 138 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18.5% (n=130, Fair A/E 1.07). David Loughnane supplies 10% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (8.5% vs 10.5%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Good to Firm going (16.7%, n=215). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the bet365 Handicap at Newmarket (Jul 2023, £51,540). The standout partner of the record: Flaine (IRE) — 5 wins from 18 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jun–Jul.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2022→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 978 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 978 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 April 2022 to 14 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Connor Planas's strike rate?
- Connor Planas has won 103 of 978 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.5% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Connor Planas do best at?
- Yarmouth by strike rate: 7 wins from 40 rides (17.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Connor Planas ride most for?
- David Loughnane, with 94 rides since 2022 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (8.5%).
- Is Connor Planas in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Connor Planas's Fair A/E?
- 0.95, from 972 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.