Connor Planas
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 200 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (131 rides). The rider is quiet just now — 1 winner in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.
The record is strongest at Yarmouth (19.5%, n=41), clear of the rider's 10.7% baseline. It is weakest at Bath (2.6% over 39 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.1% (n=131, Fair A/E 1.11). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 10% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.16 and +0.60 to a £1 stake over 110 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 1 from 15 rides in the last 14 days (6.7%, 4pts below the 10.7% baseline). David Loughnane supplies 9% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (8.5% vs 10.7%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Good to Firm going (16.7%, n=215) and off a 0-7-day break (16.1%, n=87). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the bet365 Handicap at Newmarket (Jul 2023, £51,540). The standout partner of the record: Flaine (IRE) — 5 wins from 18 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jun–Jul.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Quiet spellBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2022→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 995 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 995 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 April 2022 to 4 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · to 31 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Connor Planas's strike rate?
- Connor Planas has won 106 of 995 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Connor Planas do best at?
- Yarmouth by strike rate: 8 wins from 41 rides (19.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Connor Planas ride most for?
- David Loughnane, with 94 rides since 2022 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (8.5%).
- Is Connor Planas in form?
- In the last 14 days: 15 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 6.7%. That is below the baseline of 10.7% since 2022.
- What is Connor Planas's Fair A/E?
- 0.96, from 988 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.