To Nathaniel (GB)
To Nathaniel (GB) is 3 from 7. Won last time out at Newmarket (Class 4). All 3 wins have come over 1m2f – 1m4f.
- 3–7Wins / Runs
- 42.9%Strike rate
- 4 (57.1%)Placed
- +15.50£1 level staken=7 at SP
- 3.18Fair A/E n=7 · 2.78 incl. margin
- 88Highest OR
- 42dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 100
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 100A | 75.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 5 | 100A | 86 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | — | — | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 7 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.6% of 7,066 runs since Jan 2008 (634 horses).
Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.2% from 324.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 21 | 4 | 19% | +7.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 784 | 102 | 13% | +1.4 | 1 from 1 |
| Good | 1,866 | 232 | 12.4% | +0.8 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 1,003 | 114 | 11.4% | −0.2 | — |
| Soft | 1,226 | 141 | 11.5% | −0.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 405 | 47 | 11.6% | 0 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,759 | 183 | 10.4% | −1.2 | 2 from 4 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −11.6 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 324 | 20 | 6.2% | −5.4 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 877 | 78 | 8.9% | −2.7 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2,498 | 333 | 13.3% | +1.7 | 3 from 5 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2,138 | 252 | 11.8% | +0.2 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 819 | 91 | 11.1% | −0.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 337 | 32 | 9.5% | −2.1 | — |
| Over 3m | 69 | 17 | 24.6% | +13 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 22 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Arkinthestars (GB) (3 wins).
The wins came over 1m2f–1m3f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Arkinthestars (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkinthestars (GB) | 15 | 3 | 1m2f–1m3f | Class 4 |
| Oussel Falls (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 2 | 50% | +6.50 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 1 | 100% | +11.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.50 |
| Class 4 | 2 | 2 | 100% | +16.00 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kempton (AW) | 3 | 2 | 67% | +7.50 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 1 | 100% | +11.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 5 | 3 | 60% | +17.50 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicky Mackay | 3 | 2 | 67% | +15.00 |
| Robert Havlin | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.50 |
| Kieran O'Neill | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheekpieces | 5 | 3 | 60% | +17.50 |
| None | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 6 | 3 | 50% | +16.50 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug 20+41d | Newmarket | Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap | 1/8 | 9-7 | 85 | 86A | 86A | Nicky Mackay | 11/1 | |
| 05 Jul 20+18d | Haydock | bet365 Handicap | 6/8 | 7½ | 8-12 | 88 | 85C | 74C | Nicky Mackay | 12/1 |
| 17 Jun 20+5d | Ascot | King George V Stakes (Handicap) | 13/17 | 1¼ | 8-9 | 84 | 81C | 76A | Robert Havlin | 11/1 |
| 12 Jun 20+142d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet Money Back Free Bet If Second Handicap | 1/7 | 9-7 | 84 | 100A | 86A | Nicky Mackay | 5/1 | |
| 22 Jan 20+13d | Kempton (AW) | 32Red On The App Store Novice Stakes (Plus 10) | 1/7 | 9-5 | — | 31A | 84A | Robert Havlin | 7/2 | |
| 09 Jan 20+35d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Celebrate Birthdays And Anniversaries At CCR Novice Stakes | 3/8 | 1½ | 9-5 | — | 95A | 82A | Robert Havlin | 9/2 |
| 05 Dec 19 | Kempton (AW) | Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Maiden Stakes (Div 2) | 10/12 | 1 | 9-5 | — | 56A | 61A | Kieran O'Neill | 11/4 |
Quick answers
- How many races has To Nathaniel (GB) won?
- To Nathaniel (GB) won 3 of 7 archived starts between 2019 and 2020, a strike rate of 42.9%. Placed 4 times in total (57.1% of starts).
- Who trained To Nathaniel (GB)?
- To Nathaniel (GB) was trained by John Gosden on the most recent run on record, at Newmarket on 15 August 2020.
- Who is To Nathaniel (GB)'s sire?
- To Nathaniel (GB) is by Nathaniel (IRE) out of Too The Stars (IRE), whose sire is Sea The Stars.
- What going does To Nathaniel (GB) prefer?
- To Nathaniel (GB) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is To Nathaniel (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 85, from the run on 15 August 2020. The highest on record is 88.
- What is To Nathaniel (GB)'s sire's record?
- Nathaniel (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.6% of 7,066 runs since Jan 2008 (634 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.2% from 324.
- Who are To Nathaniel (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Too The Stars (IRE), To Nathaniel (GB) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Arkinthestars (GB) (3). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Arkinthestars (GB)). The wins came over 1m2f–1m3f. As at Oct 2026.