What is Nicky Mackay's strike rate?

Nicky Mackay has won 295 of 2,890 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Nicky Mackay do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 54 wins from 346 rides (15.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Nicky Mackay ride most for?

John Gosden, with 785 rides since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 148 (18.9%).

What is Nicky Mackay's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 2,870 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Nicky Mackay

2,890 rides in the lifetime window · 1,773 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Aug 2021 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

295–2,890

Wins / Runs

10.2%

Strike rate

n=2,890

832 (29%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=2,870 · 0.84 incl. margin

−857.58

£1 level stake

n=2,890 at SP · −29.7%

£2.43m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.9%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 210 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (254 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,890 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Nov–Apr 39.4% when favourite John Gosden: 18.9% from 785 LTO winners: 14.6% Rode the favourite in 9% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newcastle (AW) (20.9%, n=43) and Wolverhampton (AW) (15.6%, n=346) — all clear of the rider's 10.2% baseline. It is weakest at Newbury (0% over 49 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.6% (n=254, Fair A/E 0.94), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5% (n=80, Fair A/E 0.62). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 8.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −126.37 to a £1 stake over 393 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. John Gosden supplied 27% of the rides and beats the rider's average (18.9% vs 10.2%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 10 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Britannia Handicap at Ascot (Jun 2011, £62,310). The standout partner of the record was Confidentiality (IRE) — 7 wins from 22 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Nov–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9.3%−0.9

n=1,742 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −504.25

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.6%+4.4

n=254 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −77.93

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.9%−1.3

n=393 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −126.37

When favourite

39.4%

n=259 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −6.93

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.3%−4.9

n=471 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −152.54

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5%−5.2

n=80 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −50.38

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With John Gosden 18.9% vs 10.2% · n=785

With headgear back on 0% vs 10.2% · n=59

At Newcastle (AW) 20.9% vs 10.2% · n=43

At Newbury 0% vs 10.2% · n=49

At Wolverhampton (AW) 15.6% vs 10.2% · n=346

At Ascot 3.5% vs 10.2% · n=57

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,889 295 10.2% −856.58

Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,410 171 12.1% −346.04

Good to Firm 608 47 7.7% −207.26

Good 439 40 9.1% −79.92

Good to Soft 189 16 8.5% −73.91

Soft 171 16 9.4% −98.20

Firm 39 3 7.7% −27.75

Heavy 34 2 5.9% −24.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 385 36 9.4% −104.04

Wolverhampton (AW) 346 54 15.6% +8.79

Kempton 339 37 10.9% −115.94

Yarmouth 162 14 8.6% −76.99

Chelmsford (AW) 149 17 11.4% −64.11

Southwell (AW) 148 18 12.2% −60.77

Newmarket 144 20 13.9% +69.36

Newmarket 135 9 6.7% −60.25

Windsor 76 6 7.9% −16.76

Doncaster 65 6 9.2% −37.52

Brighton 65 5 7.7% −33.62

Leicester 64 4 6.3% −45.50

Lingfield 63 6 9.5% +33.53

Goodwood 61 7 11.5% −6.25

Nottingham 61 4 6.6% −31.77

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,105 147 13.3% −251.60

Class 6 802 61 7.6% −295.39

Class 4 462 45 9.7% −112.79

Class 2 257 20 7.8% −98.97

Class 3 151 13 8.6% −44.46

Class 1 80 4 5% −50.38

Class 7 33 5 15.2% −3.99

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 301 111 36.9% 1.09 −12.56

2nd–3rd fav 606 95 15.7% 0.95 −126.52

4th–6th fav 854 59 6.9% 0.91 −180.50

7th+ in betting 1,129 30 2.7% 0.83 −538.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Roundabout Magic (IRE) 27 5 11 8 Oct 19

Fly True (GB) 23 3 5 19 Feb 21

Luath (GB) 22 1 5 27 May 19

Confidentiality (IRE) 17 2 6 3 Apr 10

Clear Spring (IRE) 15 4 9 23 Aug 13

Caprio (IRE) 15 5 9 17 May 11

Irish Ballad (GB) 13 3 7 19 Apr 09

Foreign Legion (IRE) 10 4 6 29 Jun 19

Dutch Diamond (GB) 9 1 5 20 Sep 12

Beach Babe (GB) 9 3 5 21 Oct 11

Astroleo (GB) 9 1 4 20 May 11

New Den (GB) 9 0 4 30 Mar 11

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,773 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

14181212510811861413

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJohn Gosden

27% of all rides
18.9% SR · A/E 1.08

TrainerRWSR£1

John Gosden 785 148 18.9% −53.90

Simon Dow 176 15 8.5% −74.87

Jim Boyle 123 15 12.2% −22.13

Michael Wigham 98 8 8.2% −13.29

Hughie Morrison 90 13 14.4% −14.15

David Elsworth 65 10 15.4% +41.00

Brian Meehan 60 7 11.7% −10.47

Mark Rimmer 52 2 3.8% +2.25

Gerard Butler 50 6 12% −12.04

J R Jenkins 48 3 6.3% −5.00

Mark H Tompkins 43 2 4.7% −36.42

Mark Johnston 41 4 9.8% −8.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

432

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.89m

Prize money

2006

Best season · 57 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Sagramor (GB) — Britannia Handicap (Str) Ascot · Jun 2011 · Class 2

£62,310

Enlace (GB) — 888Sport Handicap Goodwood · May 2015 · Class 2

£48,518

Zeitgeist (IRE) — Bet365 Old Newton Cup Heritage Handicap Haydock · Jul 2005 · Class 2

£43,500

Notable horses

Confidentiality (IRE) Roundabout Magic (IRE) Caprio (IRE) Clear Spring (IRE) Irish Ballad (GB) Foreign Legion (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Galileo (IRE) 18.3% · 11–60

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,201 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 5.3% · 3–57

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,863 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Dansili (GB) 17.3% · 9–52

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Oasis Dream (GB) 20% · 10–50

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,040 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 484. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.

Raven's Pass (USA) 13.3% · 6–45

Progeny have won 11.2% of 4,941 runs since 2012 (453 horses).

Royal Applause (GB) 7.1% · 3–42

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,210 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,210 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 27 August 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 Aug 21 Goodwood Well Spent (GB)T: John & Thady Gosden tote.co.uk Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10/GBB Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 7th 11/1

17 Jul 21 Newmarket Free Wind (IRE)T: John & Thady Gosden Ric And Mary Hambro Aphrodite Fillies' Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 12f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 11/5

02 Jul 21 Doncaster Jack Kennedy (GB)T: John & Thady Gosden Download The At The Races App Novice StakesClass 4 · 12f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 6th 10/1

24 Jun 21 Newmarket Sweet Enough (GB)T: John & Thady Gosden Nooresh Juglall Memorial Fillies' Novice StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 2nd 10/1

22 Jun 21 Beverley Captain St Lucifer (GB)T: Ivan Furtado Clearanswer Call Centres Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 12f · Good · 9 ran 6th 7/2

18 Jun 21 Newmarket Twelve Diamonds (IRE)T: Michael Herrington Anawilk Interiors Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 4/1

18 Jun 21 Newmarket Peter The Great (GB)T: John & Thady Gosden Daylin Flavell Floral Design EBF Novice Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 4/11F

17 Jun 21 Chelmsford City (AW) Voice Of Glory (GB)T: John & Thady Gosden Ladies Day 2021 On 26th August Median Auction Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 4 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 18/1

17 Jun 21 Chelmsford City (AW) Top Class Angel (IRE)T: Patrick Chamings Ministry Of Sound Classical 21st August HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 16/1

11 Jun 21 Chepstow Red Square (IRE)T: John & Thady Gosden Chepstow Plant International Brevity And Englishman Fillies' Novice StakesClass 5 · 12f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 2nd 15/8

05 Jun 21 Lingfield (AW) Sweet Enough (GB)T: John & Thady Gosden Get Hugh Taylor's Tips On Attheraces.com Fillies' Novice StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 5th 4/1

04 Jun 21 Doncaster Mezzotinto (GB)T: John & Thady Gosden Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 Novice Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 6th 17/2

25 May 21 Newcastle (AW) Stand Free (GB)T: Suzzanne France Equine Products In Saudi Arabia At Ramz-Al-Sharq HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 20/1

25 May 21 Newcastle (AW) Peter The Great (GB)T: John & Thady Gosden Equine Products Founder Michael Reay Novice StakesClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 5/2

20 May 21 Chelmsford City (AW) Captain St Lucifer (GB)T: Ivan Furtado Ladies Day 26th August 2021 HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 4/1

15 May 21 Doncaster Ironside (IRE)T: John & Thady Gosden Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 Novice StakesClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 33/1

14 May 21 Newbury Otyrar (GB)T: John & Thady Gosden Casumo Proud To Sponsor British Racing HandicapClass 4 · 11f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 17/2

14 May 21 Newbury Zagato (GB)T: John & Thady Gosden Join Casumo Today EBF Maiden Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 6th 4/1

13 May 21 Newmarket Top Brass (GB)T: John & Thady Gosden Betfair Exchange HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Good · 7 ran 5th 5/2F

07 May 21 Nottingham Meritorious (GB)T: John & Thady Gosden MansionBet Beaten By A Head Novice StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nicky Mackay's strike rate?: Nicky Mackay has won 295 of 2,890 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Nicky Mackay do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 54 wins from 346 rides (15.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Nicky Mackay ride most for?: John Gosden, with 785 rides since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 148 (18.9%).
What is Nicky Mackay's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 2,870 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.