What is Kieran O'Neill's strike rate?

Kieran O'Neill has won 291 of 3,444 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Kieran O'Neill do best at?

Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 19 wins from 147 rides (12.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Kieran O'Neill ride most for?

Alice Haynes, with 1,023 rides since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 103 (10.1%).

Is Kieran O'Neill in form?

In the last 14 days: 29 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 6.9%. That is in line with the baseline of 8.4% since 2022.

What is Kieran O'Neill's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 3,425 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Kieran O'Neill

3,444 rides in the last 5 seasons · 1,396 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 3 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

291–3,444

Wins / Runs

8.4%

Strike rate

n=3,444

881 (26%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=3,425 · 0.84 incl. margin

−905.94

£1 level stake

n=3,444 at SP · −26.3%

£3.50m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.8%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 690 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (284 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,444 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 33.3% when favourite Alice Haynes: 10.1% from 1,023 LTO winners: 14.4% Rides the favourite in 5% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.4% (n=284, Fair A/E 0.93), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 1.8% (n=55, Fair A/E 0.28). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 4.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −5.00 to a £1 stake over 231 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Alice Haynes supplies 30% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10.1%, A/E 0.95). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 1.8% over 55 rides, 6.6pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the 150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes at Newmarket (Oct 2018, £81,165). The standout partner of the record: Crosse Fire (GB) — 8 wins from 52 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.8%−1.6

n=1,304 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −303.09

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.4%+6.0

n=284 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −77.67

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.1%−2.3

n=425 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −224.42

When favourite

33.3%

n=183 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −17.20

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

0%−8.4

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.8%−3.6

n=231 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −5.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

1.8%−6.6

n=55 · A/E 0.28 · £1 −50.67

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Barry Brennan 19.4% vs 8.4% · n=31

With Christine Dunnett 0.8% vs 8.4% · n=122

On last-time-out winners 14.4% vs 8.4% · n=284

With J S Moore 0% vs 8.4% · n=37

With Rachel Cook & John Bridger 15.2% vs 8.4% · n=66

In Class 1 1.8% vs 8.4% · n=55

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 8.1% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 2,159 192 8.9% −463.06

Good to Firm 465 37 8% −114.16

Good 389 26 6.7% −189.56

Soft 192 16 8.3% −47.66

Good to Soft 165 9 5.5% −106.99

Heavy 53 7 13.2% +20.58

Firm 21 4 19% −5.09

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 671 65 9.7% −107.04

Southwell (AW) 455 39 8.6% −166.94

Lingfield (AW) 356 26 7.3% −112.14

Chelmsford (AW) 301 28 9.3% −48.75

Kempton (AW) 229 15 6.6% −107.52

Bath 181 20 11% +47.99

Newcastle (AW) 147 19 12.9% +79.33

Yarmouth 125 9 7.2% −53.93

Doncaster 93 8 8.6% −10.19

Lingfield 81 4 4.9% −45.09

Windsor 77 6 7.8% −27.12

Brighton 69 5 7.2% −40.88

Chepstow 62 6 9.7% −39.96

Leicester 52 5 9.6% +49.00

Nottingham 49 1 2% −40.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 1,433 105 7.3% −547.37

Class 5 1,118 120 10.7% −81.34

Class 4 500 38 7.6% −159.68

Class 2 181 15 8.3% −10.50

Class 3 154 11 7.1% −56.88

Class 1 55 1 1.8% −50.67

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 233 70 30% 1.07 −29.37

2nd–3rd fav 623 94 15.1% 0.91 −156.07

4th–6th fav 1,109 91 8.2% 1.09 −179.50

7th+ in betting 1,479 36 2.4% 0.86 −541.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Connie's Rose (GB) 23 5 13 29 Oct 26

Candy Warhol (USA) 22 2 12 15 Sep 26

Harbour Vision (GB) 21 4 12 28 Jun 26

Visibility (IRE) 20 1 5 1 Apr 25

Strong Power (IRE) 20 4 7 13 May 23

Kiss And Run (GB) 19 5 7 29 Oct 26

Pop Favorite (GB) 18 2 3 29 Apr 26

Mashaan (GB) 18 3 8 1 Dec 25

Fast Flo (GB) 18 0 3 16 Jul 25

Tasmanian Legend (IRE) 18 4 5 12 May 25

Keen Interest (IRE) 18 1 7 5 Apr 25

Josies Kid (IRE) 18 1 3 24 Jun 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,396 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

2 from 29 6.9% · −1.5pts vs baseline

Last 14 days6.9%

5-season base8.4%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

9911810767109107

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardAlice Haynes

30% of all rides
10.1% SR · A/E 0.95

TrainerRWSR£1

Alice Haynes 1,023 103 10.1% −274.39

Scott Dixon 557 51 9.2% −94.13

Grace Harris 132 9 6.8% −36.17

Christine Dunnett 122 1 0.8% −117.67

Ivan Furtado 95 11 11.6% −46.50

John & Thady Gosden 93 13 14% −41.02

Ian Williams 87 12 13.8% −1.12

Rachel Cook & John Bridger 66 10 15.2% −2.92

Joe Ponting 59 3 5.1% +26.00

Dean Ivory 43 2 4.7% −2.00

S Woods 41 6 14.6% −4.75

Jennie Candlish 40 5 12.5% +2.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

769

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.67m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 71 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Lorton (GB) — 150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes Newmarket · Oct 2018 · Class 2

£81,165

Cape Flora (GB) — Assured Data Protection EBF Fillies' Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) York · Aug 2025 · Class 2

£51,540

Probe (GB) — Howden Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · May 2023 · Class 2

£51,540

Notable horses

Crosse Fire (GB) Red Somerset (USA) Connie's Rose (GB) Kiss And Run (GB) Grey Horizon (GB) Roman Spring (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 9.4% · 15–160

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,603 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Havana Grey (GB) 12.8% · 10–78

Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,611 runs since 2022 (420 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9.9% from 424.

Aclaim (IRE) 5.4% · 4–74

Progeny have won 9.9% of 2,552 runs since 2021 (201 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.7% from 390.

Ardad (IRE) 8.5% · 6–71

Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,550 runs since 2021 (352 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5% from 100.

Dandy Man (IRE) 6.2% · 4–65

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,988 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Showcasing (GB) 5% · 3–60

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,659 runs since 2014 (999 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 9,265 · newest first

The latest 50 of 9,265 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Woolridge (GB)T: Scott Dixon Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 12/1

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Ten Of Clubs (GB)T: Scott Dixon AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 66/1

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Mighty Vega (IRE)T: Scott Dixon AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7.5f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 18/1

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Allaboutthelunch (GB)T: Edward Smyth-Osbourne All-Weather Championship Is Back Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 9/1

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Poke The Bear (IRE)T: Hayley Burton Midnite Built Different Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 10/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Receipt (GB)T: Tom Ellis Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 10th 25/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Hint Of The Jungle (IRE)T: Mike Murphy Unibet's New VAR Goal Guarantee Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 7th 40/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Virtual Hug (IRE)T: Nikki Evans Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 18/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Beach Partee (GB)T: Scott Dixon Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 6/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Create (IRE)T: Scott Dixon AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 22/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Enpassant (IRE)T: Scott Dixon ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 16/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Bella Bisbee (GB)T: Scott Dixon AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 16/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Cosmocrat (GB)T: Scott Dixon All-Weather Championship Is Back EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 25/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) The Fixer (IRE)T: Scott Dixon Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 7/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Daring Legend (GB)T: Mark Pattinson Munich's Grosser Dallmayr-preis Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 13th 40/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Vingegaard (IRE)T: Paul Midgley 157 Grosser Preis Von Baden Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 3rd 20/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Connie's Rose (GB)T: Grace Harris Mj Church Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 15 ran 1st 20/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Roman Spring (IRE)T: Rachel Cook & John Bridger Bristol Motor Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Soft · 16 ran 5th 17/2

29 Oct 26 Bath Kiss And Run (GB)T: Rachel Cook & John Bridger Oakenson Ltd Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5.5f · Soft · 12 ran 1st 3/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Divine Wish (GB)T: Mike Murphy Disability Inc Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Soft · 14 ran 9th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 5 runs (won 3) · fastest on KTB Speed in 11 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · to 5 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Kieran O'Neill's strike rate?: Kieran O'Neill has won 291 of 3,444 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Kieran O'Neill do best at?: Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 19 wins from 147 rides (12.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Kieran O'Neill ride most for?: Alice Haynes, with 1,023 rides since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 103 (10.1%).
Is Kieran O'Neill in form?: In the last 14 days: 29 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 6.9%. That is in line with the baseline of 8.4% since 2022.
What is Kieran O'Neill's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 3,425 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.