What is Robert Havlin's strike rate?

Robert Havlin has won 383 of 2,700 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14.2% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Robert Havlin do best at?

Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 23 wins from 89 rides (25.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Robert Havlin ride most for?

John & Thady Gosden, with 865 rides since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 183 (21.2%).

Is Robert Havlin in form?

In the last 14 days: 29 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 6.9%. That is below the baseline of 14.2% since 2022.

What is Robert Havlin's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 2,684 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Robert Havlin

2,700 rides in the last 5 seasons · 1,333 individual horses

As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

383–2,700

Wins / Runs

14.2%

Strike rate

n=2,700

953 (35%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=2,684 · 0.88 incl. margin

−575.82

£1 level stake

n=2,700 at SP · −21.3%

£8.26m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 540 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.03). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (296 rides). The rider is quiet just now — 2 winners in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,700 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 27 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr Fresh horses: 15.6% 40.7% when favourite John & Thady Gosden: 21.2% from 865 LTO winners: 20.6% Rides the favourite in 13% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newcastle (AW) (25.8%, n=89) and Nottingham (24.6%, n=61) — all clear of the rider's 14.2% baseline. It is weakest at Ascot (4.2% over 72 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20.6% (n=296, Fair A/E 0.99), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 7% (n=200, Fair A/E 0.92). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 10.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −61.19 to a £1 stake over 204 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 2 from 29 rides in the last 14 days (6.9%, 7.3pts below the 14.2% baseline). John & Thady Gosden supplies 32% of the rides and beats the rider's average (21.2% vs 14.2%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (26.7%, n=60). 70 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the bet365 Fillies' Mile at Newmarket (Oct 2022, £299,854). The standout partner of the record: Salute (IRE) — 7 wins from 41 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

13.3%−0.9

n=1,236 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −224.43

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

20.6%+6.4

n=296 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −75.55

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

15.6%+1.4

n=442 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −60.97

When favourite

40.7%

n=364 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −21.36

Big fields · 14+ runners

7%−7.2

n=200 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −53.30

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.3%−3.9

n=204 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −61.19

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Newcastle (AW) 25.8% vs 14.2% · n=89

Off a 0-7-day break 26.7% vs 14.2% · n=60

With John & Thady Gosden 21.2% vs 14.2% · n=865

At Ascot 4.2% vs 14.2% · n=72

At Nottingham 24.6% vs 14.2% · n=61

With new recruits 4.6% vs 14.2% · n=65

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,451 213 14.7% −312.99

Good 455 63 13.8% −29.56

Good to Firm 420 58 13.8% −100.34

Good to Soft 182 19 10.4% −101.08

Soft 145 25 17.2% −17.10

Heavy 47 5 10.6% −14.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 369 39 10.6% −138.49

Lingfield (AW) 326 51 15.6% −86.87

Wolverhampton (AW) 270 35 13% −31.22

Southwell (AW) 208 34 16.3% −29.77

Chelmsford City (AW) 189 31 16.4% −10.10

Newmarket 137 19 13.9% −31.15

Newmarket 133 10 7.5% −70.38

Yarmouth 127 17 13.4% −17.02

Newcastle (AW) 89 23 25.8% −16.54

Windsor 87 14 16.1% −3.23

Doncaster 84 17 20.2% +16.62

Newbury 77 7 9.1% −14.00

Sandown 75 9 12% −30.73

Goodwood 75 13 17.3% −2.93

Ascot 72 3 4.2% −61.67

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 793 120 15.1% −214.03

Class 4 651 102 15.7% −118.21

Class 6 645 82 12.7% −83.78

Class 2 210 30 14.3% −19.29

Class 1 204 21 10.3% −61.19

Class 3 197 28 14.2% −79.32

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 408 157 38.5% 1.07 −34.11

2nd–3rd fav 765 144 18.8% 1.06 −111.21

4th–6th fav 844 63 7.5% 0.93 −193.50

7th+ in betting 683 19 2.8% 0.83 −237.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sweet William (IRE) 24 7 21 18 Jun 26

Audience (GB) 20 4 10 25 Sep 26

Thomas Equinas (GB) 18 3 7 23 Feb 26

Storm Melody (GB) 18 1 4 31 Dec 23

Pablo Prince (GB) 17 2 5 10 Sep 26

Inanna (IRE) 12 0 1 30 Jan 24

Marnier (IRE) 11 2 6 3 Jul 26

Chancellor (GB) 11 4 6 5 Jun 26

Lost In Time (GB) 11 2 3 20 May 24

Cap D'antibes (IRE) 10 1 2 14 Mar 24

San Juanito (GB) 9 2 2 12 Aug 26

Galileo Charm (GB) 9 1 4 8 Jul 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,333 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

2 from 29 6.9% · −7.3pts vs baseline

Last 14 days6.9%

5-season base14.2%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

131515171515161114141214

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJohn & Thady Gosden

32% of all rides
21.2% SR · A/E 1.01

TrainerRWSR£1

John & Thady Gosden 865 183 21.2% −110.24

S Woods 231 37 16% −8.10

Ed Dunlop 132 14 10.6% +0.58

Dean Ivory 105 13 12.4% −36.75

Michael Attwater 94 6 6.4% −65.51

Thomas Faulkner 83 9 10.8% +24.12

Amanda Perrett 60 6 10% −26.87

Michael Appleby 56 10 17.9% −18.12

Karen Jewell 55 3 5.5% −21.75

Tom Clover 43 3 7% −25.50

Simon & Ed Crisford 40 9 22.5% −12.06

Mark Usher 35 5 14.3% −7.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,362

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£18.4m

Prize money

2018

Best season · 126 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Commissioning (GB) — bet365 Fillies' Mile (Group 1) Newmarket · Oct 2022 · Group 1

£299,854

Audience (GB) — Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Str) Newbury · May 2024 · Group 1

£226,840

Audience (GB) — HKJC World Pool Lennox Stakes (Group 2) Goodwood · Jul 2024 · Group 2

£102,078

Notable horses

Salute (IRE) Sweet William (IRE) Hereford Boy (GB) Real Estate (IRE) Buxton (GB) Teasing (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kingman (GB) 20% · 26–130

Progeny have won 14.5% of 7,487 runs since 2008 (775 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 961. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.

Dubawi (IRE) 21% · 22–105

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,952 runs since 2008 (1,525 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Frankel (GB) 20.2% · 18–89

Progeny have won 18% of 7,519 runs since 2008 (878 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.3% from 268.

Sea The Stars (IRE) 14.6% · 13–89

Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,951 runs since 2008 (1,112 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.2% from 456. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.

Dark Angel (IRE) 13% · 9–69

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,898 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Kodiac (GB) 14.5% · 9–62

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,559 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 11,036 · newest first

The latest 50 of 11,036 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 26 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) State Express (IRE)T: S. P. C. Woods Bet @racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 10th 15/2

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Express Train (IRE)T: Richard Phillips Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 5th 14/1

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Baron Wagstaff (GB)T: Richard Phillips Try Unibet's Superboosts Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 4th 9/1

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Virtue King (GB)T: Amanda Perrett Unibet's New Var Goal Guarantee Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 3rd 12/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Piscean Star (GB)T: Ed Dunlop All-weather Championship Is Back Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 25/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Blue Samuna (IRE)T: James Owen Aw Trails Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 12/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Kings Medal (GB)T: John & Thady Gosden Awc Season 14 Has Begun Ebf Maiden Stakes (Div II) (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 100/30

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) National Anthem (GB)T: John & Thady Gosden AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Maiden Stakes (Div I) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 10/11F

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Fighting Poet (IRE)T: Richard Phillips Join The Midnite Movement Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 80/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Almaty Star (IRE)T: Robert Cowell Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 11/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Bill The Bull (IRE)T: Adam Kirby Awc Season 14 Has Begun Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 4 ran 4th 11/8F

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Manitoba (GB)T: John & Thady Gosden British Stallion Studs Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 8f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 10/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Slack Bob (GB)T: Ed Dunlop CopyBet Proudly Backs UK Horse Racing Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 12th 16/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Sydney Carton (GB)T: James Owen CopyBet For Europa League Profit Boosts EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Div I) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 15/8F

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Guildmaster (IRE)T: John & Thady Gosden Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 2nd 100/30

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Tansy Lane (GB)T: James Owen Try Unibet's Improved Acca Boosts Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 8th 8/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Lady's Grace (GB)T: John & Thady Gosden Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 3rd 1/1F

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Wootton King (GB)T: John & Thady Gosden Unibet Interactive "confined" Maiden Stakes (For Horses Which Have Run No More Than Once) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 5 ran 3rd 30/100F

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Tactical Plan (GB)T: Ed Dunlop Brandford Restaurants & Bar Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 8/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Sea The Light (IRE)T: John Butler attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Robert Havlin's strike rate?: Robert Havlin has won 383 of 2,700 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14.2% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Robert Havlin do best at?: Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 23 wins from 89 rides (25.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Robert Havlin ride most for?: John & Thady Gosden, with 865 rides since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 183 (21.2%).
Is Robert Havlin in form?: In the last 14 days: 29 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 6.9%. That is below the baseline of 14.2% since 2022.
What is Robert Havlin's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 2,684 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.