Tread Carefully (IRE)
Tread Carefully is a maiden who has placed four times from seven starts on turf. He has contested six races over 1m5f to 2m and one over 2m1f to 2m4f, with no wins on good, good to soft or soft ground. By Affinisea out of a Trempolino mare, he showed his best effort when second of five in a Class 4 maiden hurdle at Market Rasen in Apr 2026. He was the beaten favourite that day and last raced off an official rating of 116.
- 0–7Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 4 (57.1%)Placed
- −7.00£1 level staken=7 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=7 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 117Highest OR
- 62dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 111
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 3 | 111B | 102 | 2 · 111 / 106.5 |
| Good | 2 | 119C | 109.5 | 1 · — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 5 | 111B | 100 | 3 · 111 / 102 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
Of 7 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: did not complete (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 7 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 6 analysed runs
- Led 3 (50%) · 0 wins
- Held up 2 (33%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 1 (17%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 12.9% of 1,250 runs since Jan 2008 (197 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 8 | 2 | 25% | +12.1 | — |
| Good | 450 | 57 | 12.7% | −0.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 319 | 41 | 12.9% | 0 | 0 from 3 |
| Soft | 336 | 44 | 13.1% | +0.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 135 | 17 | 12.6% | −0.3 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −12.9 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 8 | 2 | 25% | +12.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 462 | 52 | 11.3% | −1.6 | 0 from 6 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 536 | 72 | 13.4% | +0.5 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 210 | 30 | 14.3% | +1.4 | — |
| Over 3m | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | +1.8 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
5 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Isabella Bee (IRE) (4 wins).
The wins came over 2m–2m3½f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Isabella Bee (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Bee (IRE) | 17 | 4 | 2m–2m3f | Class 4 |
| Diamond Koda (IRE) | 17 | 1 | 2m3½f | Class 5 |
| Fleur De La Roque (FR) | 4 | 1 | 2m1½f | — |
| Costaweefortune (IRE) | 12 | 0 | — | — |
| Dream Frequency (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| NH Flat | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr 26+34d | Market Rasen | Live Racing Streaming At CopyBet Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Went straight to front - dictated a modest gallop - urged forward before two out - overtaken soon after - lost more ground to victor after last and gave way on the run to the line | 2/5 | 17 | 11-7 | 116 | 119C | 120B | Sam Twiston-Davies | 10/11F |
| 02 Mar 26+28d | Southwell | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Set the pace - well ahead of the field - blundered severely and lost jockey 4 out | UR/9 | — | 11-5 | 116 | — | — | Sam Twiston-Davies | 4/9F |
| 02 Feb 26+60d | Southwell | Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1) Set the pace early - driven and lost front spot approaching last - flashed a late effort but couldn't overhaul winner | 2/10 | 2 | 11-7 | 117 | 102B | 133A | Sam Twiston-Davies | 6/4 |
| 04 Dec 25+25d | Leicester | Dave Boydon 60th Birthday Celebration Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Settled just behind the front-runner early - held that spot wide on the far side - went up to challenge 3 out - lost that battle approaching 2 out and dropped away before the last - finished a well-held 5th | 5/6 | 2¾ | 11-0 | — | 92A | 114B | Sam Twiston-Davies | 5/2 |
| 09 Nov 25+30d | Sandown | Best Odds At Oddschecker Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Settled close up early - jinked at the 1st - hit front by the 2nd - driven on after the second-last - overtaken close home - couldn't respond and beaten into 2nd | 2/7 | 3 | 11-4 | — | 111B | 137A | Sam Twiston-Davies | 6/1 |
| 10 Oct 25+195d | Chepstow | Wasdell Group Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1) Held up in touch with the pace - nudged for effort three out - stayed the test until fading approaching the last - finished seventh | 7/15 | 1 | 10-13 | — | 74B | 122A | Sam Twiston-Davies | 10/3 |
| 29 Mar 25 | Uttoxeter | QuinnBet 'Junior' NH Flat Race (GBB Race) Set the pace early - driven and overtaken 2f out then slipped back to third - fought back on the inner inside the final furlong to regain second - kept going to the line | 2/13 | 1½ | 11-0 | — | 100B | 120A | Sam Twiston-Davies | 13/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Tread Carefully (IRE) won?
- Tread Carefully (IRE) has yet to win, from 7 archived starts between 2025 and 2026. Placed 4 times in total (57.1% of starts).
- Who trains Tread Carefully (IRE)?
- Tread Carefully (IRE) is trained by Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 5 April 2026.
- Who is Tread Carefully (IRE)'s sire?
- Tread Carefully (IRE) is by Affinisea (IRE) out of Myakoda (FR), whose sire is Trempolino.
- What is Tread Carefully (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 116, from the run on 5 April 2026. The highest on record is 117.
- What is Tread Carefully (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Affinisea (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.9% of 1,250 runs since Jan 2008 (197 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Tread Carefully (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Myakoda (FR), Tread Carefully (IRE) has 5 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Isabella Bee (IRE) (4). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Isabella Bee (IRE)). The wins came over 2m–2m3½f. As at Oct 2026.