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Horse profile

Very Muddy Waters (GB)

4yo gelding · Trainer Declan Carroll · Owner Four Juniperus
by Showcasing (GB) out of Bella Vita (GB) (Aussie Rules)
9 runs · 8 courses · from Oct 2024
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Headgear returns LTO Last run 7 Apr 2026 · 12th of 12 Last raced off OR 63
KTB Profile

Very Muddy Waters is a maiden who has shown two places from nine starts. His best effort came when second of 11 at Redcar in Oct 2024. The gelding, by Showcasing out of a daughter of Aussie Rules, has raced over 6f to 1m4f on turf and all-weather. He finished 12th of 12 at Pontefract in Apr 2026 on his latest start, which was his first in headgear.

Based on 9 archived runs · run-style from 9 commented runs since Oct 2024 · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Typically prominent OR ↓ 8lb off peak
Official rating63↓ 8lb off peak
63 63–71

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 101 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Carlisle, 1 Sep 2025

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 9 figures · best 101A · median 66
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 6 Nov 2025
Good3101A64—
Good to Soft283C74.51 run · —
Standard (AW)263B60.5—
Good to Firm1———
Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 6 Nov 2025
1m2f – 1m4f483C651 run · —
1m – 1m1f4101A73.5—
6f – 7f1———

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 9 figures from 9 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 66A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Newcastle (AW), 1 Nov 2025 Official rating 63 at the last run, 7 Apr 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 9 figures · best 82A · median 52
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 6 Nov 2025
Good377A52—
Good to Soft243C42.51 run · —
Standard (AW)266A60.5—
Good to Firm1———
Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 6 Nov 2025
1m2f – 1m4f466A47.51 run · —
1m – 1m1f477A52.5—
6f – 7f1———

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 9 figures from 9 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 9 analysed runs since Oct 2024

  • Prominent 5 (56%) · 0 wins
  • Mid-division 2 (22%) · 0 wins
  • Held up 2 (22%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Showcasing (GB)

Progeny in our archive have won 10.2% of 11,640 runs since Apr 2014 (998 horses).

Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm921010.9%+0.7—
Good to Firm1,9121879.8%−0.40 from 1
Good2,27723210.2%00 from 3
Good to Soft1,14111610.2%00 from 2
Soft1,27513310.4%+0.20 from 1
Heavy330298.8%−1.4—
Standard (AW)4,61347510.3%+0.10 from 2
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f2,28827111.8%+1.6—
6f – 7f5,91963410.7%+0.50 from 1
1m – 1m1f2,1801898.7%−1.50 from 4
1m2f – 1m4f893606.7%−3.50 from 4
1m5f – 2m219156.8%−3.4—
2m1f – 2m4f10965.5%−4.7—
2m5f – 3m24416.7%+6.5—
Over 3m8337.5%+27.3—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2014 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Bella Vita (GB) (Aussie Rules)

No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 5 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Pontefract 2 0 0% −2.00
Newcastle (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Nottingham 1 0 0% −1.00
Carlisle 1 0 0% −1.00
Doncaster 1 0 0% −1.00
Southwell (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Thirsk 1 0 0% −1.00
Redcar 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f 4 0 0% −4.00
1m – 1m1f 4 0 0% −4.00
6f – 7f 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Zak Wheatley 8 0 0% −8.00
Paul Mulrennan 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 5 0 0% −5.00
Blinkers 4 0 0% −4.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 1 0 0% −1.00
2025 7 0 0% −7.00
2024 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2026 · 1 run
07 Apr 26+157d Pontefract Tommy Hepple Memorial Handicap Class 5 · 1m4f · Good To Soft · 12 ran Settled in the pack - pushed along with 2f left - dropped away soon after - eventually well held in 12th 12/12 ½ 8-13 6366C42C Zak Wheatley 28/1
2025 · 7 runs
01 Nov 25+17d Newcastle (AW) Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Class 6 · 1m2f · Standard · 13 ran Handy early - pressed for effort with 2f left - edged off a true line and unable to quicken inside the final furlong - finished 6th 6/13 nk 9-8 6563B66A Zak Wheatley 50/1
15 Oct 25+20d Nottingham Close Brothers Motor Finance Handicap (Div 1) Class 5 · 1m½f · Good · 11 ran Settled towards the back - pressed for effort with 4f remaining - dropped away steadily over the closing 3f - finished last of the field 11/11 4¾ 9-2 6629C49C Zak Wheatley 28/1
25 Sep 25+24d Pontefract Racing TV Handicap Class 5 · 1m4f · Good To Soft · 9 ran Sat close to pace early - eased back under pressure 3f out - faded steadily through closing stages to finish 9th 9/9 7½ 9-3 6783C43C Zak Wheatley 16/1
01 Sep 25+39d Carlisle PricedUp Handicap (Div 1) Class 5 · 1m1f · Good · 8 ran Tracked leader - driven along over 2f out - stayed on same gear from inside final furlong - finished third beaten under two lengths 3/8 ½ 9-4 67101A77A Zak Wheatley 28/1
24 Jul 25+37d Doncaster 50 Days Until The St Leger Handicap Class 5 · 1m2f · Good · 11 ran Held up rear early - never a factor - well held throughout - finished 9th 9/11 2 9-2 7164A52A Zak Wheatley 66/1
17 Jun 25+56d Southwell (AW) Golf And Gallop Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) Class 5 · 1m · Standard · 9 ran Held up in the pack - pushed along 2f out and quickly dropped away - drifted left inside the final furlong to finish 7th 7/9 6 9-1 —58C55C Zak Wheatley 50/1
22 Apr 25+199d Thirsk racingtv.com Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 1m · Good To Firm · 6 ran Settled just off the pace - pushed along entering the straight - unable to threaten the leading group and beaten off well before the finish 6/6 nse 8-11 —89A50B Zak Wheatley 25/1
2024 · 1 run
05 Oct 24 Redcar Racing TV EBF Stallions Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) Class 4 · 7f · Soft · 11 ran Sat behind pace - asked for effort 3f out - stayed on inside final furlong to grab second close home - held no threat to winner 2/11 2½ 9-7 —87A82A Paul Mulrennan 28/1

Quick answers

How many races has Very Muddy Waters won?
Very Muddy Waters (GB) has yet to win, from 9 archived starts between 2024 and 2026. Placed 2 times in total (22.2% of starts).
Who trains Very Muddy Waters?
Very Muddy Waters (GB) is trained by Declan Carroll, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 7 April 2026.
Who is Very Muddy Waters's sire?
Very Muddy Waters (GB) is by Showcasing (GB) out of Bella Vita (GB), whose sire is Aussie Rules.
What is Very Muddy Waters's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 63, from the run on 7 April 2026. The highest on record is 71.
What is Very Muddy Waters's sire's record?
Showcasing (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.2% of 11,640 runs since Apr 2014 (998 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Record shown from October 2024. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.