Welcome Stranger (GB)
Welcome Stranger (GB) is 2 from 21, including a Listed win. The biggest win we hold: the David Wilson Homes Steventon Stakes at Newbury (Jul 2005). Hasn't won since Mar 2006. Both wins came on good or faster ground (0 from 3 on softer). Last raced off 95, 30lb below the career-high mark.
- 2–21Wins / Runs
- 9.5%Strike rate
- 5 (23.8%)Placed
- −3.62£1 level staken=21 at SP
- 0.81Fair A/E n=21 · 0.72 incl. margin
- 125Highest OR
- 120dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 12.3% of 479 runs since Jan 2008 (28 horses).
Strongest on standard (aw) going: 19.3% from 145. Weakest on good to firm going: 5.8% from 103.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | +16.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 103 | 6 | 5.8% | −6.5 | 2 from 10 |
| Good | 113 | 11 | 9.7% | −2.6 | 0 from 8 |
| Good to Soft | 56 | 7 | 12.5% | +0.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 39 | 3 | 7.7% | −4.6 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | +0.2 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 145 | 28 | 19.3% | +7 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 99 | 17 | 17.2% | +4.9 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 135 | 19 | 14.1% | +1.8 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 47 | 2 | 4.3% | −8 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 81 | 16 | 19.8% | +7.5 | 1 from 4 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 74 | 3 | 4.1% | −8.2 | 1 from 10 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 32 | 2 | 6.3% | −6 | 0 from 3 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 11 | 0 | 0% | −12.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 22 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helena Of Troy (GB) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
| Be Bop Aloha (GB) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 10 | 2 | 20% | +7.38 |
| Good | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 9 | 1 | 11% | −6.62 |
| Class 1 | 7 | 1 | 14% | +8.00 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worcester | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Hereford | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Warwick | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.38 |
| Newbury | 2 | 1 | 50% | +13.00 |
| Windsor | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| York | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Stratford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newton Abbot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aintree | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 10 | 1 | 10% | −7.62 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 1 | 25% | +11.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Fletcher | 7 | 1 | 14% | +8.00 |
| Peter Hatton | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Jamie Moore | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.62 |
| Sean Flanagan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Denis O'Regan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Danny Cook | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Robert Winston | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 18 | 2 | 11% | −0.62 |
| Tongue tie | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2010 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2006 | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.62 |
| 2005 | 8 | 1 | 13% | +7.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 13 | 1 | 8% | −10.62 |
| Flat | 8 | 1 | 13% | +7.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Welcome Stranger (GB) won?
- Welcome Stranger (GB) won 2 of 21 archived starts between 2005 and 2011, a strike rate of 9.5%. Placed 5 times in total (23.8% of starts).
- Who trained Welcome Stranger (GB)?
- Welcome Stranger (GB) was trained by Louise Davis on the most recent run on record, at Hereford on 17 November 2011.
- Who is Welcome Stranger (GB)'s sire?
- Welcome Stranger (GB) is by Most Welcome (GB) out of Just Julia (GB), whose sire is Natroun.
- What going does Welcome Stranger (GB) prefer?
- Welcome Stranger (GB) has the best record on good to firm going: 2 wins from 10 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Welcome Stranger (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 95, from the run on 17 November 2011. The highest on record is 125.
- What is Welcome Stranger (GB)'s sire's record?
- Most Welcome (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.3% of 479 runs since Jan 2008 (28 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 19.3% from 145. Weakest on good to firm going: 5.8% from 103.
- Who are Welcome Stranger (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Just Julia (GB), Welcome Stranger (GB) has 2 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.