No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03).
Deterministic profile computed from 298 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceClaiming: 5.9%
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5.5%−0.2
n=146 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −46.92
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
11.8%+6.1
n=17 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −8.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
4.2%−1.5
n=71 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
30%
n=10 · A/E 1.37 · £1 +2.25
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
5.9%+0.2
n=288 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −78.67
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.8%−1.9
n=78 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −29.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.7
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With Alan King13.2% vs 5.7% · n=38
Over 2m5f – 3m1.6% vs 5.7% · n=64
With horses switching code2.1% vs 5.7% · n=47
On Good to Firm going2.7% vs 5.7% · n=37
With Nikki Evans2.7% vs 5.7% · n=37
With Reg Hollinshead2.9% vs 5.7% · n=34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle216136%−47.92
Chase5347.5%−11.75
NH Flat2800%−28.00
Flat100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good11165.4%−29.67
Good to Soft7767.8%−4.00
Soft5135.9%−11.50
Good to Firm3712.7%−25.00
Heavy2015%−16.50
Standard (AW)200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Hereford2926.9%+9.00
Bangor-on-Dee2627.7%+8.00
Uttoxeter2600%−26.00
Worcester2015%+6.00
Huntingdon15320%+15.83
Ludlow1417.1%−10.75
Stratford1200%−12.00
Southwell1100%−11.00
Warwick1100%−11.00
Chepstow9111.1%−5.50
Towcester900%−9.00
Newton Abbot800%−8.00
Market Rasen800%−8.00
Ffos Las800%−8.00
Newbury700%−7.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 413096.9%−13.92
Class 511565.2%−38.75
Class 33026.7%−13.00
Class 61700%−17.00
Class 1300%−3.00
Class 2300%−3.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite14428.6%1.36+1.50
2nd–3rd fav3026.7%0.44−20.17
4th–6th fav6769%1.32+6.00
7th+ in betting18752.7%1.13−76.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m12486.5%−14.00
2m1f – 2m4f8655.8%−34.00
2m5f – 3m6411.6%−59.00
Over 3m22313.6%+20.33
1m2f – 1m4f100%−1.00
1m – 1m1f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20081700%−17.00
20091915.3%+10.00
20108444.8%−55.25
201111686.9%+2.33
20126046.7%−26.75
2013200%−2.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps191157.9%+5.58
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners9888.2%+23.58
11-13 runners7822.6%−69.25
14-16 runners6234.8%−13.00
5-7 runners4349.3%−13.00
17+ runners1600%−16.00
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 147 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
148230105000183
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2007→
17
Archived wins
£81,886
Prize money
2011
Best season · 8 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,740 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Mark of Esteem (IRE)15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,657 runs since 2008 (199 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.7% from 128.
Sir Harry Lewis (USA)0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 11.8% of 2,425 runs since 2008 (190 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.3% from 306.
Old Vic (GB)10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).
Supreme Leader (GB)0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,984 runs since 2008 (349 horses).
Tobougg (IRE)0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 8.5% of 6,096 runs since 2008 (464 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 300 · newest first
The latest 50 of 300 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 May 2007 to 12 January 2013.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Peter Hatton's strike rate?
Peter Hatton has won 17 of 298 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Peter Hatton's Fair A/E?
1.03, from 298 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Peter Hatton·SR 5.7%·A/E 1.03
KTB
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