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Jockey profile

Luke Fletcher

283 rides in our archive record, 2005 · 168 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Nov 2005
Archive record 2005
No rides from 1 Jan 2008, where our aggregate statistics normally begin — showing the full archive record instead, 2 Jan 2005 to 30 Nov 2005. Figures that need a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time since a run, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are left out: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
17–283
Wins / Runs
6%
Strike rate
n=283
51 (18%)
Placed
1.10
Fair A/E
n=282 · 0.92 incl. margin
−91.00
£1 level stake
n=283 at SP · −32.2%
£124k
Prize money (window)
KTB Rider Profile

Rode 283 times in our archive record (2005), winning on 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across that record (Fair A/E 1.10).

Deterministic profile computed from 283 archived runs (archive record 2005) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Jun–Jul M J Polglase: 4.4% from 68
The read

M J Polglase supplied 24% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (4.4%, A/E 0.88). The rider also read well over 1m2f – 1m4f (14%, n=43) and at trips under 6f (11.8%, n=34). The market has also underrated the rider on Good to Firm going: Fair A/E 1.75 across 75 rides (9.3% strike, +2.00 to a £1 stake). The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 5: Fair A/E 0.75 across 93 rides (3.2% strike, −56.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the David Wilson Homes Steventon Stakes at Newbury (Jul 2005, £16,240). Seasonally, the rider fired Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6% baseline
When favourite
20%
n=5 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −1.75
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
4.9%−1.1
n=41 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −34.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.7%−0.3
n=106 · A/E 1.49 · £1 −40.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
12.5%+6.5
n=8 · A/E 2.08 · £1 +7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 14% vs 6% · n=43
At trips under 6f 11.8% vs 6% · n=34
With James Eustace 10.4% vs 6% · n=48
On Good to Firm going 9.3% vs 6% · n=75
In Class 5 3.2% vs 6% · n=93
Over 6f – 7f 3.3% vs 6% · n=92
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 252 15 6% −88.00
Hurdle 17 1 5.9% +4.00
NH Flat 11 1 9.1% −4.00
Chase 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 98 5 5.1% −45.50
Good to Firm 75 7 9.3% +2.00
Good 50 3 6% −16.50
Soft 24 1 4.2% −3.00
Good to Soft 23 1 4.3% −15.00
Firm 8 0 0% −8.00
Heavy 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW) 45 2 4.4% −38.00
Wolverhampton 37 2 5.4% +3.00
Lingfield (AW) 16 1 6.3% −10.50
Nottingham 14 0 0% −14.00
Leicester 13 1 7.7% −7.50
Lingfield 11 0 0% −11.00
Redcar 9 1 11.1% +2.00
Folkestone 9 2 22.2% +1.00
Doncaster 8 0 0% −8.00
Catterick 8 0 0% −8.00
Yarmouth 7 1 14.3% +1.00
Newbury 7 1 14.3% +8.00
Haydock 7 1 14.3% +1.00
Carlisle 6 0 0% −6.00
Beverley 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 93 3 3.2% −56.00
Class 6 71 5 7% −14.75
Class 4 49 4 8.2% −1.75
Class 7 43 3 7% −27.50
Class 3 12 1 8.3% +9.00
Class 1 9 1 11.1% +6.00
Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 2 25% 0.93 −0.25
2nd–3rd fav 30 6 20% 1.55 +5.75
4th–6th fav 62 5 8.1% 1.19 −10.50
7th+ in betting 183 4 2.2% 0.76 −86.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Piccleyes (GB) 8 1 1 26 Sep 05
Marengo (GB) 8 0 0 16 Jun 05
Welcome Stranger (GB) 7 1 2 16 Sep 05
Verite (GB) 6 1 1 21 Jul 05
Toni Alcala (GB) 5 0 4 30 Nov 05
Alpaga Le Jomage (IRE) 5 0 0 18 Oct 05
Stoic Leader (IRE) 5 1 1 1 Oct 05
Tally (IRE) 5 0 2 24 May 05
Mi Odds (GB) 4 0 0 10 Oct 05
Miss Malone (IRE) 4 0 1 13 Sep 05
Raffish (GB) 4 0 0 23 Jul 05
Overdrawn (IRE) 4 0 0 28 Jun 05
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 168 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 2005
JFMAMJJASOND
49502713101300·
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardM J Polglase
24% of all rides
4.4% SR · A/E 0.88
TrainerRWSR£1
M J Polglase 68 3 4.4% −16.00
James Eustace 48 5 10.4% +25.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
17
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£124k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 17 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. On this page the header statistics and this card both count from the archive floor (2005), so they agree.
Welcome Stranger (GB) — David Wilson Homes Steventon Stakes (Listed) Newbury · Jul 2005 · Listed
£16,240
Desert Lord (GB) — Antonia Deuters Handicap Pontefract · Jul 2005 · Class 3
£9,340
Stoic Leader (IRE) — Carlsberg Straight-mile Championship Handicap (Qualifier) Redcar · May 2005 · Class 4
£7,368
Notable horses
Piccleyes (GB) Welcome Stranger (GB) Verite (GB) Stoic Leader (IRE) Chigorin (GB) Motu (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Daggers Drawn (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,233 runs since 2005 (176 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 239. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.8% from 125.
Piccolo (GB) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 7.9% of 9,146 runs since 2005 (498 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.3% from 367.
Tagula (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 9% of 7,506 runs since 2005 (483 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.9% from 1,219.
Inchinor (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 8.9% of 2,986 runs since 2005 (197 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 5.7% from 210.
Most Welcome (GB) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 10.9% of 1,276 runs since 2005 (64 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.1% from 403. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.1% from 140. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 14.5% from 296. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.2% from 178.
Never So Bold (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 3.4% of 89 runs since 2005 (12 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2005, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 283 · newest first

The latest 50 of 283 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 30 November 2005.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Nov 05 Wolverhampton (AW) Vibe (GB)T: Richard Price Betdirect.co.uk Banded StakesClass 7 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 9/1
30 Nov 05 Wolverhampton (AW) Toni Alcala (GB)T: Roger Fisher Trend Control Systems Banded StakesClass 7 · 16.5f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 13/2
29 Nov 05 Lingfield (AW) Highland Song (IRE)T: Roger Fisher Betdirect.co.uk Novice StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 14/1
29 Nov 05 Lingfield (AW) Transaction (IRE)T: James Eustace Betdirect Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 20/1
25 Nov 05 Wolverhampton (AW) Cornus (GB)T: M J Polglase Betdirect.co.uk HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard To Fast · 13 ran 5th 25/1
21 Nov 05 Southwell (AW) Cuesta Canyon (IRE)T: M J Polglase Daily Offers At Betdirect Selling StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 13th 80/1
05 Nov 05 Doncaster Orcadian (GB)T: James Eustace CIU Serlby Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 12f · Heavy · 8 ran 3rd 8/1
03 Nov 05 Musselburgh Cerebus (GB)T: M J Polglase Totequadpot HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 14 ran 5th 8/1
01 Nov 05 Catterick Cabopino Lad (USA)T: Linda Stubbs Hambleton Maiden StakesClass 5 · 12f · Soft · 15 ran 12th 100/1
29 Oct 05 Newmarket Obscene (GB)T: M J Polglase Zetland Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 10f · Soft · 6 ran 6th 100/1
24 Oct 05 Wolverhampton (AW) Courageous Dove (GB)T: Alan Bailey Book Your Christmas Party Now Banded StakesClass 7 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 20/1
22 Oct 05 Wolverhampton (AW) Garnock Venture (IRE)T: Alan Berry Betfredpoker.com Banded StakesClass 7 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 10/1
21 Oct 05 Newbury Smokey Brown (GB)T: Jimmy Fox E.B.F. Greene King IPA Maiden Stakes (Str) (Div 2)Class 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 16th 100/1
19 Oct 05 Nottingham Cetshwayo (GB)T: James Eustace Letheby & Christopher Stable Staff Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 16 ran 11th 40/1
19 Oct 05 Nottingham Obscene (GB)T: M J Polglase David Ashley Construction Limited Maiden Stakes (Div 1)Class 5 · 8f · Soft · 15 ran 7th 100/1
18 Oct 05 Southwell (AW) Cerebus (GB)T: M J Polglase Rippon Homes Ltd HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 12/1
18 Oct 05 Southwell (AW) Next Ness (IRE)T: Roger Fisher E.B.F. Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran PU 33/1
18 Oct 05 Southwell (AW) Alpaga Le Jomage (IRE)T: M J Polglase Betfredpoker.com HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 40/1
17 Oct 05 Pontefract Kaluana Court (GB)T: Richard Price Toteexacta Bluff Cove HandicapClass 5 · 18f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 33/1
17 Oct 05 Pontefract Little Ridge (IRE)T: Hughie Morrison Totequadpot HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 18th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Luke Fletcher's strike rate?
Luke Fletcher has won 17 of 283 rides in 2005, a strike rate of 6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
Which course does Luke Fletcher do best at?
Wolverhampton by strike rate: 2 wins from 37 rides (5.4%) in 2005. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Luke Fletcher ride most for?
M J Polglase, with 68 rides in 2005 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (4.4%).
What is Luke Fletcher's Fair A/E?
1.10, from 282 rides with a computed fair probability in 2005. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008). This profile has no runs from 2008, so every figure on this page counts from the start of the archive instead.