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Trainer profile

Louise Davis

61 runners in the lifetime window · 20 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Apr 2019 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
2–61
Wins / Runs
3.3%
Strike rate
n=61
9 (15%)
Placed
0.59
Fair A/E
n=61 · 0.50 incl. margin
−9.00
£1 level stake
n=61 at SP · −14.8%
£9,834
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 6.5% Claiming riders: 4.3%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.5%+3.2
n=31 · A/E 1.67 · £1 +21.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
6.3%+3.0
n=16 · A/E 1.86 · £1 +10.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
50%+46.7
n=2 · A/E 15.32 · £1 +24.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.3%+1.0
n=47 · A/E 0.77 · £1 +5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races 3.6% vs 3.3% · n=56 · A/E 0.63
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 56 2 3.6% −4.00
Chase 4 0 0% −4.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 28 1 3.6% −2.00
Good to Firm 13 0 0% −13.00
Soft 9 0 0% −9.00
Good to Soft 8 1 12.5% +18.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Worcester 11 1 9.1% +15.00
Uttoxeter 9 0 0% −9.00
Bangor-on-Dee 8 1 12.5% +18.00
Hereford 6 0 0% −6.00
Southwell 5 0 0% −5.00
Warwick 5 0 0% −5.00
Huntingdon 4 0 0% −4.00
Towcester 3 0 0% −3.00
Doncaster 2 0 0% −2.00
Leicester 2 0 0% −2.00
Ludlow 2 0 0% −2.00
Stratford 1 0 0% −1.00
Folkestone 1 0 0% −1.00
Haydock 1 0 0% −1.00
Newbury 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 29 0 0% −29.00
Class 5 29 2 6.9% +23.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
4th–6th fav 14 0 0% 0.00 −14.00
7th+ in betting 37 2 5.4% 2.07 +15.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
78.3% completed · 60 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 4 75% 0 0 1 0 0
Hurdle 56 78.6% 3 1 7 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Welcome Stranger (GB)from Gary Moore 9 0 1 17 Nov 11
Spader (IRE)from Dan Skelton 7 0 0 26 Apr 19
Atahuelpa (GB)from Jennie Candlish 7 0 1 14 Mar 10
Hollies Favourite (IRE)from Neil King 6 1 2 24 Aug 11
Mount Welcome (IRE)from Martin Weston 5 0 0 22 Nov 14
Supreme Team (IRE)from Ben Case 5 0 3 8 Jan 12
Equity Release (IRE)from Philip Hobbs 3 0 1 25 Mar 11
Lord of Dreams (IRE)from Gary Moore 3 0 0 24 Apr 09
Second Brook (IRE)from Reg Hollinshead 2 1 1 11 Nov 14
Gracie May (GB)from Reg Hollinshead 2 0 0 7 Sep 11
Eastern Dagger (GB) 2 0 0 11 Nov 09
Stoneyford Ben (IRE)from Mrs J M Hodgson 2 0 0 25 Oct 09
All 20 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 20 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Dan Skelton (2) and Gary Moore (2); 2 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000·14000080
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Peter Hatton 23 2 8.7% +29.00
Adam Pogson 8 0 0% −8.00
Page Fuller 5 0 0% −5.00
Adam Hawkins 4 0 0% −4.00
Danny Cook 4 0 0% −4.00
Lilly Pinchin 3 0 0% −3.00
Denis O'Regan 2 0 0% −2.00
Sam Jones 2 0 0% −2.00
Richard Johnson 1 0 0% −1.00
Michael Murphy 1 0 0% −1.00
Jonjo O'Neill Jr 1 0 0% −1.00
Rachel King 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
3
Archived wins
£14,602
Prize money
2011
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Eastern Dagger (GB) — Bet Now at betdirectuk.com Handicap Hurdle Bangor-on-Dee · Dec 2006 · Class 5
£2,398
Second Brook (IRE) — Alder Hey Charity Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Bangor-on-Dee · Nov 2011 · Class 5
£2,079
Hollies Favourite (IRE) — Business Promotional Opportunities At Worcester Racecourse Selling Handicap Hurdle Worcester · Jun 2011 · Class 5
£1,691
Notable horses
Eastern Dagger (GB) Hollies Favourite (IRE) Second Brook (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Most Welcome (GB) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 12.3% of 479 runs since 2008 (28 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 19.3% from 145. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 5.8% from 103.
Supreme Leader (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,984 runs since 2008 (349 horses).
Hernando (FR) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,531 runs since 2008 (273 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 120.
Jeremy (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,724 runs since 2008 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.
Great Palm (USA) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 6.8% of 1,946 runs since 2008 (256 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 9.9% from 262.
Bach (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,289 runs since 2008 (240 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.7% from 244.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 90 · newest first

The latest 50 of 90 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 September 2005 to 26 April 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Apr 19 Bangor-on-Dee Spader (IRE)J: Page Fuller Saughall Rotary Club Firewalk 18th May Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 14 ran 9th 25/1
09 Apr 19 Southwell Spader (IRE)J: Page Fuller Toalsbet Live Race Simulator Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Good · 15 ran 9th 20/1
04 Mar 19 Southwell Red Devil Lads (IRE)J: Liam Heard Toalsbet Casino Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 24f · Good · 9 ran PU 66/1
01 Mar 19 Doncaster Spader (IRE)J: Page Fuller 888Sport Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 33/1
25 Jan 19 Doncaster Spader (IRE)J: Page Fuller Enter ITV7 Now Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 33/1
12 Jan 19 Warwick Spader (IRE)J: Page Fuller Trial Racing TV For Free Now Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran BD 66/1
14 Dec 18 Bangor-on-Dee Sarpech (IRE)J: Jonjo O'Neill Jr Garla Services Ltd Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 16/1
05 Dec 18 Ludlow Spader (IRE)J: Lilly Pinchin Racing Uk Club Day Today Novices' Claiming HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 33/1
12 Sep 18 Uttoxeter Spader (IRE)J: Lilly Pinchin Reliance Medical Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 11th 50/1
24 Jun 18 Worcester Calling Des Blins (FR)J: Lilly Pinchin Bet toteWIN At totesport.com Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Div II)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran PU 50/1
22 Nov 14 Huntingdon Mount Welcome (IRE)J: Mr Gary Derwin Bigger, Better, Brighter Cambridge News' Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 12/1
12 Nov 14 Bangor-on-Dee Estourah (IRE)J: Adam Pogson Strutt & Parker Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 100/1
11 Nov 14 Huntingdon Second Brook (IRE)J: Adam Pogson Omni Security K9 Services Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 9 ran PU 25/1
02 Nov 14 Huntingdon Mount Welcome (IRE)J: Adam Pogson Macer Gifford Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 25/1
09 Sep 14 Worcester Mount Welcome (IRE)J: Danny Cook Racing Dinner With Colin Brown 9th October Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 6/1
25 Aug 14 Huntingdon Mount Welcome (IRE)J: Danny Cook Liz Broughton Celebration Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 25/1
01 Aug 14 Bangor-on-Dee Mount Welcome (IRE)J: Danny Cook Follow Your Bets Now At CorbettSports Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 17.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 40/1
08 Jan 12 Hereford Supreme Team (IRE)J: Peter Hatton Play Casino At victorchandler.com Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25.5f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 11/4F
31 Dec 11 Uttoxeter Supreme Team (IRE)J: Peter Hatton Severn Valley Catering Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 8/1
31 Dec 11 Uttoxeter I'm In The Pink (FR)J: Peter Hatton John Smith's Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Heavy · 5 ran 5th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Louise Davis's strike rate?
Louise Davis has won 2 of 61 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.3% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Louise Davis's Fair A/E?
0.59, from 61 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).