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Horse profile

Winston's Folly (IRE)

2yo colt (at last run, Oct 2024) · Last trainer Andrew Balding · Last owner Mrs Fitri Hay
by Churchill (IRE) out of Merry Me (IRE) (Invincible Spirit)
5 runs · 5 courses · from Jul 2024
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 21 Oct 2024 — 745 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Oct 2024 · 9th of 12 First-time headgear LTO Last raced off OR 59
KTB Profile

Winston's Folly is a Churchill colt out of a Merry Me mare who has yet to win from five starts. He ran on turf and all-weather, over trips from 6f to 1m4f, without placing. His last run, at Southwell in Oct 2024, was his first in first-time headgear when he finished 9 of 12 in a Class 6 nursery off an official rating of 59. He reached a highest ever mark of 61.

Based on 5 archived runs · run-style from 4 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 74 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Epsom Downs, 12 Sep 2024

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 5 figures · best 74B · median 66
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 6 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)371A66—
Soft1———
Good to Firm1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 6 Nov 2025
6f – 7f374B62—
1m – 1m1f1———
1m2f – 1m4f1———

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 5 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 60B the best of the last 3 rated runs · Epsom Downs, 12 Sep 2024 Official rating 59 at the last run, 21 Oct 2024

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 5 figures · best 62A · median 60
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 6 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)362A51—
Soft1———
Good to Firm1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 6 Nov 2025
6f – 7f362A60—
1m – 1m1f1———
1m2f – 1m4f1———

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 5 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 4 analysed runs since Aug 2024

  • Mid-division 2 (50%) · 0 wins
  • Led 1 (25%) · 0 wins
  • Prominent 1 (25%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 11% of 4,841 runs since Apr 2021 (462 horses).

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm9111.1%+0.1—
Good to Firm6487912.2%+1.20 from 1
Good1,38416612%+1—
Good to Soft534519.6%−1.4—
Soft724638.7%−2.30 from 1
Heavy227208.8%−2.2—
Standard (AW)1,31515311.6%+0.60 from 3
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f1481711.5%+0.5—
6f – 7f1,31114811.3%+0.30 from 3
1m – 1m1f1,12711910.6%−0.40 from 1
1m2f – 1m4f1,30613910.6%−0.40 from 1
1m5f – 2m6538112.4%+1.4—
2m1f – 2m4f2512811.2%+0.2—
2m5f – 3m4512.2%−8.8—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2021 · as at 6 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Merry Me (IRE) (Invincible Spirit)

5 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them Bell Shot (IRE) (9 wins).

The wins came over 6f–2m; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Bell Shot (IRE)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Bell Shot (IRE)5696f–7½fClass 4
Merry Minister (IRE)2227f–2mClass 5
Winston's Tipple (IRE)611m2fClass 4
Moonlight Warrior (IRE)317fClass 5
Herodotus (IRE)2011m2fClass 5

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Southwell (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Epsom Downs 1 0 0% −1.00
Kempton (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Doncaster 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
6f – 7f 3 0 0% −3.00
1m – 1m1f 1 0 0% −1.00
1m2f – 1m4f 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Jason Watson 3 0 0% −3.00
Callum Hutchinson 1 0 0% −1.00
P J McDonald 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 4 0 0% −4.00
Blinkers 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2024 · 5 runs
21 Oct 24+11d Southwell (AW) Download The Raceday Ready App Nursery Class 6 · 1m · Standard · 12 ran Held up in the pack early - unable to improve position through the race - finished well held in 9th 9/12 hd 9-4 5971A51A Jason Watson 22/1
10 Oct 24+28d Chelmsford City (AW) Betfair Racing Podcasts Nursery Class 6 · 1m2f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran Went straight to front - driven approaching 2f out then lost command inside final furlong - faded late to finish seventh 7/9 2¾ 9-5 6166A45A Jason Watson 9/2
12 Sep 24+22d Epsom Downs Yale British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 7f · Soft · 6 ran Handy in the pack early - drifted left with 3f remaining - dropped away steadily inside final furlong - eventually finished 5th 5/6 ¾ 9-7 —74B60B Jason Watson 33/1
21 Aug 24+27d Kempton (AW) Unibet/British Stallion Studs Ebf Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran Settled in the pack early - pushed along with 2f left - dropped away inside the final furlong to finish 9th 9/12 ¾ 9-1 —62B62A Callum Hutchinson 50/1
25 Jul 24 Doncaster Sky Bet Supporting Matt Hampson Foundation EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7/9 3¼ 9-4 —49A60A P J McDonald 16/1

Quick answers

How many races has Winston's Folly won?
Winston's Folly (IRE) has yet to win, from 5 archived starts in 2024.
Who trained Winston's Folly?
Winston's Folly (IRE) was trained by Andrew Balding on the most recent run on record, at Southwell (AW) on 21 October 2024.
Who is Winston's Folly's sire?
Winston's Folly (IRE) is by Churchill (IRE) out of Merry Me (IRE), whose sire is Invincible Spirit.
What is Winston's Folly's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 59, from the run on 21 October 2024. The highest on record is 61.
What is Winston's Folly's sire's record?
Churchill (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11% of 4,841 runs since Apr 2021 (462 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Winston's Folly's siblings?
Out of Merry Me (IRE), Winston's Folly (IRE) has 5 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: Bell Shot (IRE) (9). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Bell Shot (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–2m. As at Nov 2026.

Record shown from July 2024. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.