Winters Breath (IRE)
Winters Breath is a filly by Caravaggio out of a Kodiac mare who won one of five starts on turf. She gained her sole success in the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap at Cork over 6f-7f on soft ground in Sep 2025 when winning by carrying an official rating of 67. That win came off her career-high mark. She last ran at Cork in Sep 2025.
- 1–5Wins / Runs
- 20%Strike rate
- 1 (20%)Placed
- +5.00£1 level staken=5 at SP
- 3.88Fair A/E n=5 · 3.12 incl. margin
- 67Highest OR
- 24dBetween runs (median)
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 99
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 6 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 86C | 74 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 99A | 23 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 6 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 99A | 67.5 | — |
| Under 6f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 5 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 5 analysed runs since May 2025
- Held up 4 (80%) · 1 win
- Mid-division 1 (20%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.8% of 1,776 runs since Mar 2021 (201 horses).
Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.3% from 166.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 6 | 0 | 0% | −11.8 | — |
| Good to Firm | 209 | 26 | 12.4% | +0.6 | — |
| Good | 452 | 54 | 11.9% | +0.1 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 167 | 17 | 10.2% | −1.6 | — |
| Soft | 253 | 28 | 11.1% | −0.7 | 1 from 2 |
| Heavy | 78 | 8 | 10.3% | −1.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 611 | 77 | 12.6% | +0.8 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 166 | 27 | 16.3% | +4.5 | 0 from 1 |
| 6f – 7f | 738 | 91 | 12.3% | +0.5 | 1 from 4 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 531 | 57 | 10.7% | −1.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 226 | 24 | 10.6% | −1.2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 90 | 9 | 10% | −1.8 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 23 | 2 | 8.7% | −3.1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −11.8 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Mar 2021 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Gentlemanlike (FR) (1 win).
The wins came over 7f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gentlemanlike (FR) | 5 | 1 | 7f | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Soft | 2 | 1 | 50% | +8.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cork | 1 | 1 | 100% | +9.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tipperary | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 1 | 25% | +6.00 |
| Under 6f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Crosse | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Dylan Browne McMonagle | 1 | 1 | 100% | +9.00 |
| W J Lee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 30 Sep 25+24d | Cork | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap Settled towards the back of the pack early - moved into 3rd by halfway - asked for effort with 2f left - responded and stayed on strongly through the final furlong - got up to win right at the finish | 1/12 | 9-0 | 67 | 99A | 86A | Dylan Browne McMonagle | 9/1 | |
| 06 Sep 25+49d | Navan | Navan Racing Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Handicap Tardy away - well adrift at the back early - given urgings after 1f - no response to pressure 2f out - angled left over 1f out - plugged on one-paced to finish 5th | 5/18 | ½ | 9-10 | 67 | 86C | 85A | Nathan Crosse | 50/1 |
| 19 Jul 25+10d | Curragh | Cavalor 'Bronchix Pulmo' Irish European Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden Settled midfield - asked for effort over 2f out but found little more - stayed on same gear to finish tenth | 10/21 | ½ | 9-3 | — | 61C | 67A | Nathan Crosse | 50/1 |
| 09 Jul 25+43d | Fairyhouse | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Slow to begin - settled towards the back - made progress entering the straight - stayed on final furlong to finish sixth | 6/17 | ½ | 9-3 | — | 74C | 62A | Nathan Crosse | 25/1 |
| 27 May 25 | Tipperary | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden Hesitant start - held up towards the back - urged forward two out then finished with a late flourish to be beaten a distance | 9/12 | 1 | 9-3 | — | -53C | 56C | W J Lee | 6/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Winters Breath won?
- Winters Breath (IRE) won 1 of 5 archived starts in 2025, a strike rate of 20%. Placed 1 time in total (20% of starts).
- Who trained Winters Breath?
- Winters Breath (IRE) was trained by W McCreery on the most recent run on record, at Cork on 30 September 2025.
- Who is Winters Breath's sire?
- Winters Breath (IRE) is by Caravaggio (USA) out of Samskara (IRE), whose sire is Kodiac.
- What is Winters Breath's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 67, from the run on 30 September 2025. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Winters Breath's sire's record?
- Caravaggio (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.8% of 1,776 runs since Mar 2021 (201 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.3% from 166.
- Who are Winters Breath's siblings?
- Out of Samskara (IRE), Winters Breath (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Gentlemanlike (FR) (1). The wins came over 7f. As at Nov 2026.