T Poche
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 100 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.98). New recruits from other yards win at 8% first time out (40 runs).
The record is strongest at Saint-Cloud (9.1%, n=77), clear of the yard's 5.3% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.26 and +40.30 to a £1 stake over 158 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −22.80 to a £1 stake over 155 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. L Plommee rides 21% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.7%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (10.1%, n=69) and on Good to Soft going (8.7%, n=69). The record reads poorly in Class 3 — 0% over 31 runners, 5.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.29 across 76 runners (1.3% strike, −53.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 806 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 806 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 April 2005 to 19 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is T Poche's strike rate?
- T Poche has won 26 of 493 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does T Poche do best at?
- Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 7 wins from 77 runners (9.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for T Poche?
- L Plommee, with 105 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (5.7%).
- Is T Poche in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is T Poche's Fair A/E?
- 0.98, from 491 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.