David Michaux
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.40).
Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1.4% (n=69, Fair A/E 0.38). The record read poorly over 6f – 7f — 2.6% over 38 rides, 3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 1m2f – 1m4f: Fair A/E 0.00 across 51 rides (7.8% strike, −30.70 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix de la Malivoye at Saint-Cloud (FR) (Nov 2007, £18,419).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 192 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 192 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 April 2005 to 6 March 2018.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is David Michaux's strike rate?
- David Michaux has won 8 of 143 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does David Michaux do best at?
- Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 59 rides (3.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- What is David Michaux's Fair A/E?
- 0.40, from 104 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.