Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 15% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
14.7%−0.3
n=34 · A/E 1.76 · £1 +38.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−15.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
16.7%+1.7
n=18 · A/E 2.45 · £1 +43.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−15.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−15.0
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Chase22522.7%+23.50
Hurdle1715.9%+23.00
Flat100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft18422.2%+19.50
Heavy16212.5%+32.00
Good400%−4.00
Good to Soft100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR)12216.7%+9.00
Dax (FR)7114.3%−2.50
Craon (FR)5120%+14.00
Compiegne (FR)400%−4.00
Nancy (FR)300%−3.00
Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR)200%−2.00
Pau (FR)2150%+38.00
Mont-De-Marsan (FR)200%−2.00
La Teste De Buch (FR)100%−1.00
Corlay (FR)11100%—
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR)100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 1700%−7.00
Class 3700%−7.00
Class 211100%+18.00
Class 4100%−1.00
Class 5100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite100%0.00−1.00
2nd–3rd fav6116.7%1.05−1.50
4th–6th fav16212.5%1.98+5.00
7th+ in betting16212.5%3.68+43.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f25312%+32.50
2m5f – 3m12216.7%+15.00
Over 3m3133.3%−2.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2023200%−2.00
20247114.3%+1.00
202511218.2%+30.00
202620315%+16.50
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps6116.7%+2.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
5-7 runners15213.3%+2.50
8-10 runners12216.7%+8.00
11-13 runners8225%+40.00
14-16 runners400%−4.00
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 34 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Current form
significance-gated
Last 14 days
Small sample
0 from 4
Only 4 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.
By month
strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
·0000100001814033
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Progeny have won 15.1% of 5,339 runs since 2008 (642 horses).
Samum (GER)66.7% · 2–3
Progeny have won 11.8% of 1,178 runs since 2008 (139 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.5% from 308. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.3% from 109.
Progeny have won 10.1% of 716 runs since 2008 (122 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 97 · newest first
The latest 50 of 97 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 22 April 2015 to 11 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Edgar Labaisse's strike rate?
Edgar Labaisse has won 6 of 40 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 15% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Edgar Labaisse in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Edgar Labaisse's Fair A/E?
1.81, from 38 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Edgar Labaisse·SR 15%·A/E 1.81
KTB
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