What is Caroline Bonin's strike rate?

Caroline Bonin has won 4 of 57 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Is Caroline Bonin in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Caroline Bonin's Fair A/E?

0.72, from 57 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Caroline Bonin

57 runners in the last 5 seasons · 26 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)

from 1 Jan 2022

4–57

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=57

11 (19%)

Placed

0.72

Fair A/E

n=57 · 0.58 incl. margin

−23.88

£1 level stake

n=57 at SP · −41.9%

£117k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.3%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.5%+2.5

n=21 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +2.32

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−7.0

n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Debutants · first career start

11.8%+4.8

n=17 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −7.20

First-time headgear · true-first definition

13.3%+6.3

n=15 · A/E 1.61 · £1 +11.00

When favourite

25%

n=4 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −1.38

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.5%+5.5

n=8 · A/E 1.65 · £1 −2.70

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.0

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 12.5% vs 7% · n=32

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 25 0 0% −25.00

Hurdle 23 3 13% +5.62

Chase 9 1 11.1% −4.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 19 2 10.5% +6.20

Good 16 1 6.3% −13.38

Heavy 13 1 7.7% −7.70

Good to Soft 6 0 0% −6.00

Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 15 2 13.3% +11.00

Dax (FR) 14 1 7.1% −9.50

Toulouse (FR) 9 1 11.1% −6.38

La Teste De Buch (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Pau (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Chantilly (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Longchamp (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Lyon Parilly (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Deauville (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Compiegne (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 3 4 1 25% −1.38

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 4 1 25% 0.77 −1.38

2nd–3rd fav 14 1 7.1% 0.45 −9.50

4th–6th fav 14 1 7.1% 0.88 −8.70

7th+ in betting 25 1 4% 1.10 −4.30

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Manava (FR) 6 1 3 8 Oct 26

Le Lascar (FR) 5 1 1 2 Oct 26

Sainte Co 4 0 1 20 Oct 26

Seven For All (FR)from Mme Armony Tinchon 4 0 0 8 Oct 26

Lavasina (FR) 3 0 1 23 Sep 26

Eliott Chop (FR) 2 0 1 16 Oct 26

Rose De Bosda (FR) 2 0 0 2 Oct 26

Nektar De Lagarde (FR) 2 0 0 23 Sep 26

Manava 2 0 0 2 Sep 26

Puerto Madero (FR)from Mme C Chenu 2 0 0 31 Jul 26

Puerto Madero 2 0 0 31 Jul 26

Pablo (FR) 2 0 0 28 Mar 26

All 26 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 26 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive; 18 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard, most often for Julian Resimont (2); 22 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

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Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

Lucas Zuliani 8 1 12.5% −5.38

David Gallon 6 1 16.7% +14.70

V Chenet 5 0 0% −5.00

E Labaisse 5 1 20% −0.50

Fabrice Veron 5 0 0% −5.00

Antoine Werle 3 0 0% −3.00

Charly Prichard 2 0 0% −2.00

Samy Le Quilleuc 2 0 0% −2.00

Bryony Frost 2 1 50% +3.30

Mme Maryline Eon 2 0 0% −2.00

Gwen Richard 2 0 0% −2.00

Francesco Mula 2 0 0% −2.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→

Archived wins

£123k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 2 wins

Hamersley (FR) — Prix Mortemart (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Sep 2023

£24,690

Ganago (FR) — Prix Joseph De Laurens Dax (FR) · Oct 2026

£11,699

Le Lascar (FR) — Prix Patte D'oie Toulouse (FR) · Sep 2026 · Class 3

£11,040

Notable horses

Manava (FR) Le Lascar (FR) Hamersley (FR) Ganago (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Castle Du Berlais (FR) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 13% of 509 runs since 2008 (105 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.2% from 163.

Lord Du Sud (FR) 20% · 1–5

Progeny have won 8.8% of 1,022 runs since 2008 (115 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.8% from 145.

Anodin (IRE) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 8.8% of 2,408 runs since 2008 (274 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.4% from 116.

Mr Owen (USA) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 4.7% of 149 runs since 2008 (31 horses).

Dream Ahead (USA) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,679 runs since 2008 (528 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6% from 184.

Goliath Du Berlais (FR) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 16.2% of 407 runs since 2008 (114 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 23.1% from 108.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 80 · newest first

The latest 50 of 80 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 April 2019 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Sainte Co (FR)J: Lucas Zuliani Prix D'auteuil19.5f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 9/2

16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Eliott Chop (FR)J: Fabrice Veron Prix De La Societe Des Courses De CraonClass 4 · 15f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 10/1

08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Seven For All (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix Pierre ValentinClass 4 · 9.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 9th 18/1

08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Manava (FR)J: Lucas Zuliani Prix Leognan19f · Heavy · 9 ran 2nd 5/4F

02 Oct 26 Dax (FR) Sainte Co (FR)J: Edgar Labaisse Prix Du Sablar17.5f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 11/2

02 Oct 26 Dax (FR) Ganago (FR)J: Edgar Labaisse Prix Joseph De Laurens19f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 7/2

02 Oct 26 Dax (FR) Le Lascar (FR)J: G Richard Prix Jp. Loiseaux - Grande Course De Haies De Dax19f · Soft · 7 ran UR 7/2

02 Oct 26 Dax (FR) Rose De Bosda (FR)J: Edgar Labaisse Prix Chateau De PoyanneClass 3 · 19f · Soft · 11 ran 6th 100/30

23 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Giana (FR)J: Samy Le Quilleuc Prix Du Bas Armagnac10.5f · Good · 15 ran 13th 100/1

23 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Nektar De Lagarde (FR)J: Fabrice Veron Prix Du Bas Armagnac10.5f · Good · 15 ran 5th 40/1

23 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Lavasina (FR)J: Samy Le Quilleuc Prix Young Tiger12f · Good · 14 ran 12th 16/1

16 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Seven For All (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix De La Croix Falgarde10f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 11th 33/1

02 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Le Lascar (FR)J: Lucas Zuliani Prix Patte D'oieClass 3 · 19.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 13/8F

02 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Manava (FR)J: Lucas Zuliani Prix Guy Du Faur De Pibrac17.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 11/4

02 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Sainte Co (FR)J: Baptiste Le Clerc Prix De GaillacClass 3 · 17.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 10/1

23 Aug 26 Dax (FR) Seven For All (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix Du Chene De Saint-vincent De Paul10.5f · Very Soft · 6 ran 3rd 7/1

23 Aug 26 Dax (FR) Eliott Chop (FR)J: Fabrice Veron Prix ErmackClass 4 · 11.5f · Very Soft · 12 ran 4th 9/1

23 Aug 26 Dax (FR) Lavasina (FR)J: Alexandre Gavilan Prix Grand Dax 1ere Destination Thermale De France11.5f · Very Soft · 12 ran 3rd 50/1

17 Aug 26 Mont-De-Marsan (FR) Nektar De Lagarde (FR)J: Clement Cadel Prix Velox10.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Caroline Bonin's strike rate?: Caroline Bonin has won 4 of 57 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Caroline Bonin in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Caroline Bonin's Fair A/E?: 0.72, from 57 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.