What is N Paysan's strike rate?

N Paysan has won 15 of 256 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does N Paysan do best at?

Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 73 runners (8.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 11 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is N Paysan's Fair A/E?

0.76, from 252 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

N Paysan

256 runners in the last 5 seasons · 86 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

from 1 Jan 2022

15–256

Wins / Runs

5.9%

Strike rate

n=256

57 (22%)

Placed

0.76

Fair A/E

n=252 · 0.62 incl. margin

−100.00

£1 level stake

n=252 at SP · −39.7%

£457k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.76).

Deterministic profile computed from 256 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 6.1%

The read

A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 0% (n=47, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well on Standard (AW) going (18.4%, n=38). The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 0% over 44 runners, 5.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.24 across 55 runners (1.8% strike, −45.60 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Alain et Gilles de Goulaine at Auteuil (FR) (Sep 2021, £38,170). The stable star of the record: Aslan Senora (FR) — 5 wins from 10 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.1%+0.2

n=99 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −12.10

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.6%−0.3

n=18 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −13.10

Debutants · first career start

1.9%−4.0

n=54 · A/E 0.28 · £1 −47.80

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−5.9

n=47 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −44.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

33.3%+27.4

n=3 · A/E 3.69 · £1 +1.90

When favourite

14.3%

n=14 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −6.60

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

0%−5.9

n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

2.6%−3.3

n=38 · A/E 0.33 · £1 −26.40

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Standard (AW) going 18.4% vs 5.9% · n=38

With Theo Bachelot 17% vs 5.9% · n=47

With first-time headgear 0% vs 5.9% · n=47

In Hurdle races 0% vs 5.9% · n=44

On Heavy going 1.8% vs 5.9% · n=55

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 1.8% vs 5.9% · n=55

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 178 14 7.9% −37.60

Hurdle 44 0 0% −44.00

Chase 18 0 0% −14.00

NH Flat 16 1 6.3% −4.40

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 92 3 3.3% −41.30

Good to Soft 55 3 5.5% −28.20

Heavy 55 1 1.8% −33.30

Standard (AW) 38 7 18.4% +13.30

Good 16 1 6.3% −10.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Saint-Cloud (FR) 73 6 8.2% −6.80

Longchamp (FR) 29 1 3.4% +0.00

Auteuil (FR) 28 0 0% −28.00

Chantilly (FR) 25 5 20% +15.70

Deauville (FR) 23 2 8.7% −12.40

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 16 0 0% −16.00

Craon (FR) 11 0 0% −11.00

Compiegne (FR) 10 0 0% −10.00

Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) 6 1 16.7% −0.50

Dieppe (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Nantes (FR) 5 0 0% −4.00

Saint-Malo (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Vichy (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Vittel (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 38 1 2.6% −26.40

Class 4 16 1 6.3% −10.50

Class 3 10 1 10% +5.00

Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 15 2 13.3% 0.58 −7.60

2nd–3rd fav 37 6 16.2% 1.18 +1.80

4th–6th fav 83 3 3.6% 0.46 −55.90

7th+ in betting 117 4 3.4% 0.86 −38.30

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Chelsea Du Ninian (FR) 15 2 7 15 Mar 26

Fleur De Sel (FR)from F Foucher 10 1 1 10 Sep 26

Aslan Senora (FR)from F-X Belvisi 10 5 6 7 Sep 26

J'Ai La Cote (FR) 10 0 2 25 Oct 25

Don't Watch Me Cry (FR) 9 0 2 25 Sep 26

Sir George (FR)from F Vermeulen 9 0 1 26 Apr 24

Andouins (FR) 8 1 3 18 Oct 26

Scat Lady (FR) 7 0 1 22 Sep 26

Rue Jonas (FR)from Adrien Fouassier 7 0 2 17 Jun 24

Flamingway (FR) 6 0 1 28 Sep 26

Seabiscuit Du Rheu (FR)from Gregoire Leenders 5 0 2 8 Oct 26

Grand Leon (FR)from J Planque 5 2 3 21 Aug 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 86 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive; 40 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 56 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 11

Only 11 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

43044507436717

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderTheo Bachelot

18% of all rides
17% SR · A/E 1.80

RiderRWSR£1

Theo Bachelot 47 8 17% +54.90

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.00m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 7 wins

Becquathunder (FR) — Prix Alain et Gilles de Goulaine (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Sep 2021 · Listed

£38,170

Il Decamerone (FR) — Grand Prix des Provinces-Prix Andre Baboin () (3yo+) (Turf) Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) · Oct 2021 · Listed

£23,214

Becquathunder (FR) — Prix de Castets (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf) Compiegne (FR) · Apr 2021

£22,500

Notable horses

Aslan Senora (FR) Il Decamerone (FR) Rose Abella (GB) Becquathunder (FR) Chelsea Du Ninian (FR) American Saint (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dariyan (FR) 0% · 0–16

Progeny have won 6% of 1,108 runs since 2008 (140 horses).

Stormy Ocean (FR) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 17.5% of 57 runs since 2008 (5 horses).

George Vancouver (USA) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 5.9% of 1,171 runs since 2008 (132 horses). Weakest on Good going: 2.4% from 124.

Belardo (IRE) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,700 runs since 2008 (280 horses).

Buck's Boum (FR) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 11.1% of 1,361 runs since 2008 (175 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8% from 263.

Toronado (IRE) 50% · 5–10

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,848 runs since 2008 (416 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 189. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.5% from 142.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 514 · newest first

The latest 50 of 514 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 May 2015 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Andouins (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Des Erables15.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 10/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Becquathunder (FR)J: Malone Favriaux Prix Des Erables15.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 12/1

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Maestranzo (FR)J: Raphael Mayeur Prix De Distre17.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 2nd 9/1

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Zen Dream (FR)J: Raphael Mayeur Prix Des Conscrits17.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 8th 10/1

13 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Winterberry (FR)J: Fabrice Veron Prix Roger Simon13.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 7/1

13 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Libela Des Bambous (FR)J: Antoine Subias Prix Roger Simon13.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 12/1

13 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Walschan (FR)J: Pierre Remoue Prix Blanpain De Saint-mars17f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 2nd 20/1

11 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Pomme Rose (FR)J: Clement Guitraud Prix Jack Barbe18f · Heavy · 14 ran 8th 10/1

08 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) La Charmette (FR)J: Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux Prix De Rocquencourt10f · Soft · 15 ran 4th 20/1

08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Seabiscuit Du Rheu (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix Pierre ValentinClass 4 · 9.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 8th 4/1

08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Guapak (FR)J: Antoine Subias Prix Pierre ValentinClass 4 · 9.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 4th 16/1

28 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Flamingway (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix Spie (Prix Claude De Langle)Class 2 · 15f · Very Soft · 7 ran 6th 8/1

27 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Maestranzo (FR)J: Raphael Mayeur Prix Go Interim (Prix De L'oudon)17f · Very Soft · 11 ran 3rd 6/1

25 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Don't Watch Me Cry (FR)J: Theo Bachelot Prix Des YvelinesClass 3 · 12f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 12th 18/1

22 Sep 26 Vichy (FR) Scat Lady (FR)J: Pierre Remoue Prix Du Puy Mary12f · Soft · 14 ran 4th 9/2

21 Sep 26 Vichy (FR) Seabiscuit Du Rheu (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix De Combronde10f · Soft · 13 ran 3rd 4/1

17 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Pomme Rose (FR)J: Clement Guitraud Prix Le Paillon19.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 4th 16/1

12 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Magique Mirage (FR)J: Clement Guitraud Prix Michel Chirol18f · Heavy · 17 ran 14th 40/1

10 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) Fleur De Sel (FR)J: Pierre Remoue Prix De La Rue Du Chemin VertClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 10th 18/1

07 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Banksy Nova (FR)J: Gauvain Faivre-Picon Prix Ouest-france (Prix Fineau)17f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is N Paysan's strike rate?: N Paysan has won 15 of 256 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does N Paysan do best at?: Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 73 runners (8.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is N Paysan in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 11 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is N Paysan's Fair A/E?: 0.76, from 252 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.