Florent Bayle
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.13). In big fields of 14 or more the record reads 18% (38 rides). Rides mostly for A Chaille-Chaille — 53% of rides in the window.
Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a positive signal at 18.4% (n=38, Fair A/E 2.40), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 6.8% (n=59, Fair A/E 0.82). A Chaille-Chaille supplies 53% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (14.6%, A/E 1.32) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well in Hurdle races (17.1%, n=76) and on Soft going (17.1%, n=70). The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 6.4% over 47 rides, 6.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Chase races: Fair A/E 0.78 across 78 rides (9% strike, −25.70 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix The Fellow - Marquise de Moratalla at Auteuil (FR) (Sep 2023, £59,735).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 13% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 13% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2017→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 466 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 466 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 26 May 2017 to 29 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Florent Bayle's strike rate?
- Florent Bayle has won 20 of 154 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 13% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Florent Bayle do best at?
- Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 10 wins from 96 rides (10.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Florent Bayle ride most for?
- A Chaille-Chaille, with 82 rides since 2022 — 53% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (14.6%).
- Is Florent Bayle in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Florent Bayle's Fair A/E?
- 1.13, from 154 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.