Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sends out around 130 runners a season, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.22). In Group and Graded company the record reads 16% (167 runs).
Deterministic profile computed from 661 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance37.3% when favouriteLudovic Philipperon: 15.5% from 412Group/Graded: 15.6%Sends off the favourite in 10% of races
The read
Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 6.6% (n=61, Fair A/E 0.93). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 15.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.34 and +19.30 to a £1 stake over 167 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Ludovic Philipperon rides 62% of the entries and edges the yard's average (15.5% vs 12.9%, A/E 1.23) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (24.4%, n=45) and off a 15-30-day break (16.9%, n=236). The market has also underrated the yard in Chase races: Fair A/E 1.50 across 98 runners (17.3% strike, +68.60 to a £1 stake). 111 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grande Course de Haies d'Auteuil at Auteuil (FR) (Jun 2009, £161,650). The stable star of the record: Questarabad (FR) — 15 wins from 24 runs for the yard.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 12.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10.4%−2.5
n=182 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −35.90
New recruits · first run for the yard
6.7%−6.2
n=30 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −14.80
Debutants · first career start
9.1%−3.8
n=88 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −15.40
First-time headgear · true-first definition
9.9%−3.0
n=101 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −14.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
50%+37.1
n=2 · A/E 8.73 · £1 +12.20
When favourite
37.3%
n=67 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −0.80
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.6%−6.3
n=61 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −8.40
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
15.6%+2.7
n=167 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +19.30
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners31.2% vs 12.9% · n=77
Over 1m5f – 2m24.4% vs 12.9% · n=45
With claiming riders up6.6% vs 12.9% · n=61
Off a 15-30-day break16.9% vs 12.9% · n=236
With new recruits6.7% vs 12.9% · n=30
In Chase races17.3% vs 12.9% · n=98
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle4745812.2%−91.70
Chase981717.3%+68.60
Flat881011.4%−10.00
NH Flat100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Heavy3274012.2%+1.20
Soft2834014.1%−15.00
Standard (AW)30413.3%−5.40
Good to Soft1815.6%−11.90
Good200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR)3825514.4%+44.60
Compiegne (FR)144149.7%−57.00
Saint-Cloud (FR)26415.4%+17.80
Clairefontaine (FR)2214.5%−18.50
Deauville (AW)21314.3%−7.50
Chantilly (FR)21314.3%−0.30
Dieppe (FR)11218.2%+13.50
Fontainebleau (FR)10110%−5.80
Longchamp (FR)600%−6.00
Moulins (FR)3133.3%−2.00
Saint-Malo (FR)300%−3.00
Chateaubriant (FR)300%−3.00
Vichy (FR)200%−2.00
Nancy (FR)200%−2.00
Chepstow11100%+1.10
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 11682615.5%+18.30
Class 49222.2%+15.50
Class 3600%−6.00
Class 5400%−4.00
Class 2200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite682638.2%1.20+2.80
2nd–3rd fav1512818.5%1.23−2.90
4th–6th fav1892211.6%1.44+29.00
7th+ in betting25283.2%0.87−63.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f4725812.3%−60.30
2m5f – 3m56610.7%+21.90
1m5f – 2m451124.4%+14.30
6f – 7f3937.7%−5.70
1m – 1m1f2627.7%−11.40
1m2f – 1m4f19421.1%+7.60
Under 6f4125%−0.50
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20221181411.9%−20.40
20231331712.8%−10.80
20241452617.9%+39.20
20251291612.4%−13.50
2026136128.8%−28.60
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps265259.4%−24.80
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners179137.3%−25.70
8-10 runners1753218.3%+8.90
11-13 runners1561710.9%+10.20
5-7 runners822125.6%+21.70
17+ runners6723%−47.20
2-4 runners200%−2.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 138 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 60 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from D Cottin (2) and Gabriel Leenders (2); 42 had their first archived run for this yard.
9 have since run for another yard; 51 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
Current form
significance-gated
Last 14 days
Small sample
0 from 10
Only 10 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.
When the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
2524101211164171671329
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
386
Archived wins
111
Pattern / graded wins
£19.2m
Prize money
2006
Best season · 34 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Questarabad (FR) — Grande Course de Haies d'Auteuil (Hurdle) Auteuil (FR) · Jun 2009 · Grade 1
£161,650
Questarabad (FR) — Grand Prix d'Automne (Hurdle) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2009 · Grade 1
£161,650
Questarabad (FR) — Grand Prix D'Automne (Hurdle) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2010 · Grade 1
Progeny have won 15.9% of 3,176 runs since 2008 (488 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.7% from 553. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.5% from 211. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 689. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.8% from 137.
Great Pretender (IRE)13.6% · 9–66
Progeny have won 13% of 3,532 runs since 2008 (410 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 151.
Progeny have won 12.3% of 1,664 runs since 2008 (218 horses). Strongest on Good going: 16.6% from 392. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.9% from 277.
Martaline (GB)18.8% · 6–32
Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,340 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.
Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,127 runs since 2008 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 254. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 142.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 2,919 · newest first
The latest 50 of 2,919 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 March 2005 to 19 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is M Rolland's strike rate?
M Rolland has won 85 of 661 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M Rolland do best at?
Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 55 wins from 382 runners (14.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M Rolland?
Ludovic Philipperon, with 412 runners since 2022 — 62% of the total. That pairing has won 64 (15.5%).
Is M Rolland in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is M Rolland's Fair A/E?
1.22, from 658 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
M Rolland·SR 12.9%·A/E 1.22
KTB
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