Frederic Spanu
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 70 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.74). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 9% (44 rides).
The record is strongest at Maisons-Laffitte (FR) (13.9%, n=72), clear of the rider's 5.9% baseline. It is weakest at Chantilly (FR) (0.9% over 107 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 9.1% (n=44, Fair A/E 0.92). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 6.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.70 and −67.90 to a £1 stake over 269 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Mme C Barande-Barbe supplied 30% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.3%, A/E 0.93). The rider also read well off a break of 180+ days (18.2%, n=55) and over 1m5f – 2m (18.2%, n=33). The market has consistently overbet the rider on Heavy going: Fair A/E 0.53 across 64 rides (9.4% strike, −29.20 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 10 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Grand Handicap des Bords de Seine at Maisons-Laffitte (FR) (Jul 2014, £27,417). The standout partner of the record was Chopouest (FR) — 5 wins from 25 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 875 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 875 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 March 2005 to 13 July 2016.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Frederic Spanu's strike rate?
- Frederic Spanu has won 37 of 628 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Frederic Spanu do best at?
- Maisons-Laffitte (FR) by strike rate: 10 wins from 72 rides (13.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Frederic Spanu ride most for?
- Mme C Barande-Barbe, with 189 rides since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (5.3%).
- What is Frederic Spanu's Fair A/E?
- 0.74, from 569 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.