H Billot
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 90 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.83). With a claiming rider up the record reads 7% (324 runs).
It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (1.3% over 75 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 6.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.15 and +130.90 to a £1 stake over 324 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet new recruits from other stables on their first run: 3.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.66 and −39.30 to a £1 stake over 107 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Jean-Christopher Gagnon rode 9% of the entries and edges the yard's average (8.4% vs 5%, A/E 1.52) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The market has also underrated the yard off a 8-14-day break: Fair A/E 1.57 across 151 runners (7.9% strike, +44.70 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly on Standard (AW) going — 1.3% over 76 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.52 across 101 runners (2% strike, −57.70 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix de Beaune at Enghien (FR) (Sep 2014, £39,375). The stable star of the record was Mont Joux (FR) — 5 wins from 21 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 977 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 977 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 June 2005 to 25 November 2018.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is H Billot's strike rate?
- H Billot has won 49 of 971 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does H Billot do best at?
- Maisons-Laffitte (FR) by strike rate: 4 wins from 55 runners (7.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for H Billot?
- Jean-Christopher Gagnon, with 83 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (8.4%).
- What is H Billot's Fair A/E?
- 0.83, from 903 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.