What is T Castanheira's strike rate?

T Castanheira has won 75 of 1,340 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does T Castanheira do best at?

Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 14 wins from 209 runners (6.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for T Castanheira?

Maxime Guyon, with 141 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (11.3%).

What is T Castanheira's Fair A/E?

0.77, from 1,312 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

T Castanheira

1,340 runners in the lifetime window · 169 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Aug 2019 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

75–1,340

Wins / Runs

5.6%

Strike rate

n=1,340

273 (20%)

Placed

0.77

Fair A/E

n=1,312 · 0.70 incl. margin

−481.70

£1 level stake

n=1,328 at SP · −36.3%

£2.19m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 120 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.77). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 11% (66 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,340 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jun–Jul 13.2% when favourite Maxime Guyon: 11.3% from 141 New recruits: 6.7% Headgear returns: 10.6% Sent off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 10.6% (n=66, Fair A/E 1.18), but debutants struggle at 1.8% (n=111, Fair A/E 0.53). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.44 and −131.80 to a £1 stake over 246 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Maxime Guyon rode 11% of the entries and beats the yard's average (11.3% vs 5.6%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also read well over 1m5f – 2m (11.4%, n=44). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grand Prix Synergie at Nantes (Jun 2018, £23,009). Seasonally, the yard fired Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.3%−2.3

n=246 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −131.80

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.7%+1.1

n=60 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −18.90

Debutants · first career start

1.8%−3.8

n=111 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −65.30

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.8%+1.2

n=73 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −0.90

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10.6%+5.0

n=66 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +25.20

When favourite

13.2%

n=68 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −33.20

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

3.3%−2.3

n=270 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −151.30

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

2.8%−2.8

n=72 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −50.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Maxime Guyon 11.3% vs 5.6% · n=141

With Mlle Coralie Pacaut 0% vs 5.6% · n=86

Over 1m5f – 2m 11.4% vs 5.6% · n=44

With headgear back on 10.6% vs 5.6% · n=66

With Teddy Hautbois 0% vs 5.6% · n=37

With Alexis Badel 1.3% vs 5.6% · n=77

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,326 75 5.7% −467.70

Hurdle 14 0 0% −14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 501 29 5.8% −204.90

Good 290 20 6.9% +42.50

Soft 258 13 5% −137.70

Good to Soft 173 6 3.5% −115.50

Heavy 113 7 6.2% −62.10

Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (FR) 360 20 5.6% −136.40

Chantilly (FR) 344 16 4.7% −177.50

Saint-Cloud (FR) 209 14 6.7% −98.90

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 190 11 5.8% −32.10

Longchamp (FR) 172 7 4.1% −30.20

Cagnes-Sur-Mer 12 2 16.7% +19.60

Auteuil (FR) 9 0 0% −9.00

Clairefontaine 8 0 0% −8.00

Compiegne 6 1 16.7% −2.40

Fontainebleau 6 1 16.7% −0.60

Enghien (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Dieppe 3 2 66.7% +8.20

Amiens (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Nantes 2 1 50% +3.60

Le Croise-Laroche (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 72 2 2.8% −50.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 70 9 12.9% 0.59 −35.20

2nd–3rd fav 184 27 14.7% 0.95 −0.10

4th–6th fav 317 15 4.7% 0.61 −159.30

7th+ in betting 757 21 2.8% 0.88 −287.10

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Russian Dream (FR) 42 1 10 4 Jun 14

Saon Secret (FR) 36 3 12 18 Apr 17

Lunatic (FR) 33 3 7 31 Oct 16

Fly Dream (FR) 32 3 9 18 Apr 13

Panameras (FR) 31 1 5 16 Jun 19

Ziberto (FR)then G Arizkorreta Elosegui 30 1 9 6 Apr 15

Snow And Ice (FR) 29 2 8 10 May 17

Moonwalk Step (FR)then M Seror 28 3 8 27 Jun 19

Majik Charly (FR) 28 2 11 22 Jul 17

Aldoussa (FR) 27 2 3 7 Jun 12

Ever Desdemone (FR) 25 0 7 17 Jun 17

Top Sensation (FR) 24 2 8 8 Jul 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 169 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mme M Bollack-Badel (2) and P Demercastel (2); 46 had their first archived run for this yard.

24 have since run for another yard, most often for Laurent Loisel (3) and W P Mullins (2); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

4154448966635

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMaxime Guyon

11% of all rides
11.3% SR · A/E 1.01

RiderRWSR£1

Maxime Guyon 141 16 11.3% −18.90

Raphael Marchelli 110 5 4.5% −28.20

Frederic Spanu 91 4 4.4% −70.10

Mlle Coralie Pacaut 86 0 0% −86.00

Alexis Badel 77 1 1.3% −61.00

Stephane Pasquier 68 5 7.4% −14.40

Jerome Moutard 56 3 5.4% −18.50

Umberto Rispoli 54 3 5.6% −23.60

Thierry Jarnet 48 3 6.3% −30.90

Antoine Hamelin 47 2 4.3% −33.70

Mickael Barzalona 46 2 4.3% −22.30

Teddy Hautbois 37 0 0% −37.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.19m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 15 wins

Moonwalk Step (FR) — Grand Prix Synergie (Handicap) (Turf) Nantes · Jun 2018

£23,009

Aventador (FR) — Prix Ridgway () (3yo) (Turf) Compiegne (FR) · Jun 2014 · Listed

£22,917

Ice Love (FR) — Prix Ronde De Nuit () (3yo Fillies) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Mar 2014 · Listed

£22,917

Notable horses

Ice Love (FR) Saon Secret (FR) Lunatic (FR) Fly Dream (FR) Moonwalk Step (FR) River Cannes (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Medecis (GB) 5.8% · 4–69

Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,595 runs since 2008 (112 horses).

Air Chief Marshal (IRE) 9.1% · 5–55

Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,983 runs since 2008 (190 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.2% from 672. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.3% from 266. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.3% from 565.

Fly To The Stars (GB) 7.8% · 4–51

Progeny have won 11.5% of 218 runs since 2008 (27 horses).

Orpen (USA) 8% · 4–50

Progeny have won 9% of 4,038 runs since 2008 (381 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.4% from 113.

My Risk (FR) 4.3% · 2–47

Progeny have won 10.2% of 973 runs since 2008 (148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.5% from 110. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.9% from 287. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.8% from 129. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5% from 140.

Russian Blue (IRE) 2.3% · 1–44

Progeny have won 8% of 375 runs since 2008 (46 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,340 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,340 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 May 2009 to 31 August 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Aug 19 Chantilly (FR) Love Henry (IRE)J: Theo Bachelot Prix du Chateau Royal de Senlis (Claimer) (3yo) (Turf)8f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 89/10

13 Aug 19 Deauville (FR) Love Henry (IRE)J: Antoine Coutier Prix de la Vie (Claimer) (3yo Fillies) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 34/1

13 Aug 19 Moulins (FR) Hazienda (IRE)J: Mme Coralie Pacaut Prix de la Ville d'Avermes (Maiden Handicap) (3yo Fillies) (Round Course (2nd Post) (Turf)8f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 89/10

02 Aug 19 Deauville (FR) Lady Dya (FR)J: Teddy Hautbois Prix d'Houlgate (Handicap) (3yo Fillies) (Round Course) (Turf)8f · Good · 18 ran 15th 54/1

02 Aug 19 Deauville (FR) Baratin (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix d'Etreham (Maiden) (2yo Colts & Geldings) (Round Course) (Turf)7.5f · Good · 11 ran 9th 51/1

25 Jul 19 Deauville (FR) Hazienda (IRE)J: Theo Bachelot Prix d'Aubervilliers (Claimer) (3yo Fillies) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 12/1

18 Jul 19 Longchamp (FR) Huracan (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix des Colonnes Morris (Maiden) (2yo Colts & Geldings) (New Course: 2nd Post) (Turf)7f · Good · 8 ran 7th 12/5F

18 Jul 19 Longchamp (FR) Ma Petite Toscane (FR)J: Teddy Hautbois Prix du Parc de la Villette (Handicap) (4yo) (Grande Course) (Turf)8f · Good · 16 ran 10th 46/1

18 Jul 19 Longchamp (FR) Hoquilebo (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix du Parc de Belleville (Handicap) (4yo) (Grande Course) (Turf)8f · Good · 17 ran 12th 10/1

04 Jul 19 Longchamp (FR) Huracan (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix du Jardin Alpin (Conditions) (2yo Colts & Geldings) (New Course: 2nd Post) (Turf)7f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 9/1

02 Jul 19 Deauville (FR) Serendipite (FR)J: Mme Marie Rollando Prix de la Varenne (Claimer) (3yo) (Lady Amateur Riders) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 10/1

29 Jun 19 Chantilly (FR) Prime Time (FR)J: Hugo Besnier Prix STC Horse France (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)8f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 12th 20/1

29 Jun 19 Chantilly (FR) Hazienda (IRE)J: Hugo Besnier Prix BPE Lecieux - Carrieres de Saint-Maximin (Claimer) (3yo) (Turf)10f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 67/1

29 Jun 19 Chantilly (FR) Savoir Aimer (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Keymex Immobilier (Maiden) (3yo) (Turf)10.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 36/1

27 Jun 19 Longchamp (FR) Moonwalk Step (FR)J: Theo Bachelot Prix du Palais de Tokyo (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)12f · Good · 15 ran 6th 27/1

27 Jun 19 Longchamp (FR) Love Henry (IRE)J: Hugo Besnier Prix des Jeuxdis (Claimer) (3yo) (Turf)7f · Good · 7 ran 6th 54/1

25 Jun 19 Le Croise-Laroche (FR) Diva Du Dancing (FR)J: Teddy Hautbois Prix du Jockey-Club de Belgique (Claimer) (2yo) (Turf)5.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7th 7/2

21 Jun 19 Chantilly (FR) Lord Spirit (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix de l'Etang Neuf (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf)10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 11th 29/1

21 Jun 19 Chantilly (FR) Serendipite (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix de l'Etang de la Loge (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf)10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 29/1

16 Jun 19 Chantilly (FR) Prime Time (FR)J: Toby Eley Prix de Belleval Longines (Handicap) (Apprentice & Young Jockeys) (4yo+) (Turf)8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is T Castanheira's strike rate?: T Castanheira has won 75 of 1,340 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does T Castanheira do best at?: Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 14 wins from 209 runners (6.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for T Castanheira?: Maxime Guyon, with 141 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (11.3%).
What is T Castanheira's Fair A/E?: 0.77, from 1,312 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.