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Trainer profile

A Spanu

57 runners in the last 5 seasons · 5 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 17 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
7–57
Wins / Runs
12.3%
Strike rate
n=57
14 (25%)
Placed
1.91
Fair A/E
n=57 · 1.59 incl. margin
−3.90
£1 level stake
n=57 at SP · −6.8%
£108k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
18.2%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−12.3
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−12.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−12.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−12.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
50%
n=4 · A/E 2.03 · £1 +2.10
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
14.3%+2.0
n=7 · A/E 3.37 · £1 +10.20

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Fabien Lefebvre 20% vs 12.3% · n=30
In Flat races 12.3% vs 12.3% · n=57 · A/E 1.91
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 23 5 21.7% +3.60
Good to Soft 18 1 5.6% −0.80
Soft 10 1 10% −0.70
Good 4 0 0% −4.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Longchamp (FR) 17 1 5.9% −7.70
Chantilly (FR) 16 2 12.5% −6.60
Deauville (FR) 14 3 21.4% +3.20
Saint-Cloud (FR) 10 1 10% +7.20

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 3 60% 2.67 +7.10
2nd–3rd fav 4 2 50% 4.15 +10.50
4th–6th fav 15 1 6.7% 0.87 −5.70
7th+ in betting 33 1 3% 1.10 −15.80
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Fire Rebel (FR) 25 6 10 3 Oct 26
Toriano (FR)from N Caullery 21 1 3 29 Nov 23
Raja Luna (FR)from J-P Dubois 6 0 1 21 Jun 24
Miss Sham (FR) 4 0 0 24 Jun 22
Lady Danerose (FR) 1 0 0 27 Aug 23
All 5 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 5 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 3 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
25500000003303333
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderFabien Lefebvre
53% of all rides
20% SR · A/E 2.60
RiderRWSR£1
Fabien Lefebvre 30 6 20% +5.90
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
24
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£442k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Fire Rebel (FR) — Prix du Treport (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Jan 2026
£22,130
Miss Wind (FR) — Prix de la Pepiniere () (Fillies & Mares) Longchamp (FR) · Apr 2005 · Listed
£16,667
Chopouest (FR) — Prix Dagor (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Jun 2010
£15,044
Notable horses
Fire Rebel (FR) Chopouest (FR) Tostaky Blue (FR) Molitor (FR) Ringbow (IRE) Raja Luna (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Le Rebel (FR) 24% · 6–25
Progeny have won 13.8% of 58 runs since 2008 (7 horses).
Dutch Art (GB) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 12.1% of 8,107 runs since 2008 (600 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 18.1% from 700. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9% from 365.
Rajsaman (FR) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 6.9% of 2,836 runs since 2008 (311 horses).
Shamalgan (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.9% of 341 runs since 2008 (57 horses).
Morandi (FR) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 7.9% of 556 runs since 2008 (75 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 269 · newest first

The latest 50 of 269 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 March 2005 to 3 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Qatar Prix de la Place de la ConcordeClass 1 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 8th 66/1
10 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix CarrusClass 2 · 7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 14th 40/1
20 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix Du Cheval De Loisir (Prix Du Havre)Class 2 · 7.5f · Standard · 15 ran 8th 33/1
07 Jun 26 Longchamp (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix de l'Ile de la Cite (Handicap) (Turf)7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 11th 55/1
19 May 26 Chantilly (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix de la Theve (Conditions) (Turf)6f · Heavy · 12 ran 8th 20/1
26 Apr 26 Longchamp (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix du Gros Caillou (Conditions) (Turf)7f · Good · 9 ran 6th 14/1
05 Apr 26 Longchamp (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Super Handicap de Reouverture (Turf)7f · Good To Soft · 19 ran 8th 51/1
08 Mar 26 Chantilly (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix Anabaa (Conditions) (All Weather) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 3/1F
12 Feb 26 Chantilly (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix de Lassy (Conditions) (All Weather) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 12/5F
30 Jan 26 Deauville (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix du Treport (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 16 ran 1st 79/10
09 Jan 26 Deauville (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix du Volcan (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 16 ran 5th 14/1
26 Nov 25 Deauville (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix de l'Auberge des Peintres (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 1st 23/5
08 Nov 25 Chantilly (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix du Domaine de Valgenceuse (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 5/1J
22 Oct 25 Deauville (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix de la Foret de Bord (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 29/10F
30 Sep 25 Chantilly (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix du Bois Bourillon (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 16 ran 2nd 12/1
04 Sep 25 Longchamp (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix de la Rue de l'Abreuvoir (Handicap) (4yo) (New Course) (Turf)7f · Very Soft · 13 ran 1st 83/10
17 Aug 25 Deauville (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Mme Mickaelle Michel The Aga Khan Studs Prix de Glanville (Handicap) (4yo+) (Round Course) (Turf)8f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 11th 9/1
08 Jul 25 Chantilly (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Mme Mickaelle Michel Prix du Bois Saint-Denis (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)8f · Very Soft · 14 ran 3rd 87/10
06 May 25 Chantilly (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix des Chataigniers (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)6f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 9th 15/1
06 Apr 25 Longchamp (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Mme Mickaelle Michel Prix du Grand Chatelet (Handicap) (4yo+) (New Course) (Turf)7f · Good · 14 ran 6th 21/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is A Spanu's strike rate?
A Spanu has won 7 of 57 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is A Spanu's Fair A/E?
1.91, from 57 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).